"Revere" will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

[sharon sanders]

I am pleased to announce that one of the Reveres of Effect Measure will appear on The Infectious Disease Hour on Monday 11, 2009 at 4 pm EST.

If you have any questions for him please post here.

Thanks!


p.s. The interview of Dr. Vincent Racaniello from this last Monday is not archived for download yet. I will post when it is.

[sharon sanders]

Re: "Revere" will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

`Revere’ Of Effect Measure Interviewed Today



# 4242


Later today one of the Reveres from Effect Measure will be interviewed on Radio Sandy Springs by Sharon Sanders of FluTrackers.

Which one, you ask? Sorry . . . that’s above my pay grade.

`Revere’ is one of the editors of Effect Measure, and they describe themselves this way: they are senior public health scientists and practitioners. Paul Revere was a member of the first local Board of Health in the United States (Boston, 1799). The Editors sign their posts "Revere" to recognize the public service of a professional forerunner better known for other things.

Of course, those of us in Flublogia recognize the Reveres of Effect Measure as being dispensers of solid scientific information and clear explanations about influenza, public health matters, and assorted trivia.

They are also no strangers to controversy, are possessed of a wonderfully warped sense of humor, and speak their minds freely. So this should be a lively interview.

The show will air at 4pm EST, on Atlanta's 1620 AM, and will be simulcast on the Internet on Radio Sandy Springs.

If you are unable to listen at 4pm, the show is archived for downloading within a couple of days.

This the latest in series of high profile interviews conducted by Sharon on Radio Sandy Springs. Over the past year she has had Dr. David Fedson, Dr. Michael Osterholm, Dr William Schaffner, writer and historian John Barry, and most recently Professor Vincent Racaniello as her guests, among others.

If you missed these shows, the follow links will take you to the archive, where you can listen online or download the MP3 files.

11/02/09 Guest Dr. David Fedson
08/17/09 Guest William Schaffner, MD
08/10/09 Guest Author John Barry
06/29/09 Guest Gregory Härtl of the WHO
05/26/09 Guest Dr. Michael Osterholm
05/18/09 Guest Dr. David Fedson

Last week’s interview with Vincent Racaniello should be posted soon.
* * * * * * * * * * *
Radio Sandy Springs 1620 AM, is a low-powered Atlanta based talk radio station that simulcasts on the Internet. An archive of recent Infectious Disease Hour shows may be accessed here.

[gsgs]

Re: "Revere" will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

what's the subjective probability estimate
that there will be a human influenza pandemic with the H5-subtype
within the next 5 years ?


preferrably average over all the reveres

or any of them , identified by a number of color, or whatever

[Vibrant62]

Re: "Revere" will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

Many media outlets are reporting the H1N1 pandemic in the northern hemisphere 'over'.

What is Revere's opinon on such statements, and what risks does he percieve of a more virulent wave emerging at some point within the next 10 months or so?

Given widespread reports of re-infections (and bearing in mind past pandemic patterns) should such a wave emerge, what is the risk of susceptibility to re-infection in a more virulent wave in his opinion?

[Laidback Al]

Re: "Revere" will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

I am still interested in knowing how we decide when a pandemic is over.

http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=138558

[gsgs]

Re: "Revere" will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

I missed it.
There should be an option for email notification
when infectious-disease-hour starts

[sharon sanders]

Re: "Revere" will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

It starts in 16 minutes.

Click on Listen Now at 4pm EST.

http://www.radiosandysprings.com/

[gsgs]

Re: "Revere" will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

ahh, silly me. 6 hours to MET.

I know you, you won't ask for probability estimates anyway.
And I know him/they they wo't give it anyway.

sigh. Maybe that's how epidemiologists are.
Einstein, his idol would have given a number, I think.

seems that Afghanistan is a bigger concern to him/them
thee days when compared to H5N1

[gsgs]

Re: "Revere" will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

{Sharon is louder today, but a bit hard to understand for me
revere also hard to understand for me
how many reveres are there}

22:04 5year anniversary , 2nd to blog about health , (12 months)
22:06 how fluwikie was founded
22:10 how to organize health and services in a pandemic with 30% absenteism

22:12 praising FW+FT
{with so much mutual praising, you wonder why they don't merge}

22:14 flu very unpredictable maybe the least predictable infectious disease

22:16 compares flu with auto-accidents

22:17 not learn from this pandemic for this pandemic, it takes longer

22:19 nobody knows where the resistance against panflu of the elderly comes from
22:20 what makes a virus virolent
22:22 different impact of the same strain in different communities

22:23
a)coughing+sneezing, big droplets
b)tiny droplets ... for days
{big droplets sink, become dust, rise again ?}
c)contact

22:26 no evidence that hanwashing helps against flu
22:27 why flu is seasonal
22:28 Palese for humidity , but Nicaragua against it July+August, peak 100% humidity
22:29 break



22:32 again all the posters listed {why}
thinks they want to be acknowledged

22:35 risk from vax many magnitudes lower than risk from the flu

22:37 {I didn't understand exactly, he predicts another wave ~Feb.15 ?}

22:39 too late for vax if a 3rd wave comes {why ?}

22:40 3rd wave likely H1N1, but seasonal also possible

22:42 human flu was H1,H2,H3 {back to when ?, early pandemics could have been anything}

22:43, 1957,1968,1977
2 types since 1977 {amount of flu increases or they share the human resources since then ?}

22:47 crowding out

22:48 my question !!!
{says I had asked him on the blog, so it's the same revere - I never felt there
were more than one }
no confidence in his own number , if he gave it (>0,<100) (<50%)

22:50 another pandemic is possible
{but pH1N1 may crowd it out as long as we have no immunity against it ?!}

22:52 dislikes numbers but "very,very high" (H5N1-CFR)

22:54 better invest in public health+social services to prepare for panflu
because vax,antivirals are only for one special strain

{blackout for me, no more sound}
{22:58 reload ... still nothing}

[sharon sanders]

Re: &quot;Revere&quot; will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

The radio station said that they got the last 5 minutes taped and it will be in the archived version.

[mixin]

Re: &quot;Revere&quot; will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

22:27 why flu is seasonal
22:28 Palese for humidity , but Nicaragua against it July+August, peak 100&#37; humidity

Did Revere to into detail about this?

Oh, and thanks for the interview and for the summary!

[Commonground]

Re: &quot;Revere&quot; will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

gsgs wrote:

22:12 praising FW+FT
{with so much mutual praising, you wonder why they don't merge}

I had to laugh at that gsgs....you could not resist slipping that in, huh?

[gsgs]

Re: &quot;Revere&quot; will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

that however makes me wonder how many Snowy Owls there are

[sharon sanders]

Re: &quot;Revere&quot; will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

that however makes me wonder how many Snowy Owls there are

Always counting something!

[Michael Coston]

Re: &quot;Revere&quot; will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010

Just wanted to thank you, Sharon, for bringing these terrific interviews to the listening audience.


It takes a lot of moxie to go `live' on the air, and interview people like John Barry, Mike Osterholm, David Fedson, Vincent Racaniello and today . . Revere.


Of course, your guests have been terrific. Like Revere tonight, who was both entertaining and informative. I thought it was a great show.


I look forward to more of these interviews in the future.


Congrats, and thanks to you and your guests.