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age-shift in 1957,1968

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  • age-shift in 1957,1968

    In the Influenza Surveillance Report No. 76 (April 12, 1963) it was observed that the
    age-specific attack rates of influenza have not been constant from epidemic to
    epidemic. This has further been shown to be true for relative age-specific pneumonia-
    influenza excess morta1ity1. In 1957-58, peak attack rates and relative excess
    deaths were noted in the age group 10-19.
    In 1962-63, by contrast, these peaks were not observed, and the age-specific rates
    were relatively flat. In 1968-69, a study of the age-specific attack rates was repeated
    in Kansas City, Kansas, using the same techniques which had been used in the
    same area in 1957. In contrast to the 1957-58 experience, in 1968-69 the age-specific
    attack rates were relatively flat. The two above reports on age-specific attack rates from other
    locations (Helena, Montan~and Baltimore, Maryland) tend to confirm this result.
    lSerfling, Robert E., Ida L. Sherman, and William J. Houseworth; Excess Pneumonia-
    Influenza Mortality by Age and Sex in Three Major Influenza A2 EpidemiCS, United
    States, 1957-58, 1960 and 1963.
    American Journal of Epidemiology, Volume 86,
    No.2, pages 433-441, 1967.

    [CDC, Influenza Surveillance Report No. 85 , June,30,1969]


    [however, later it was shown that there were an age.shift
    at age ~75 years in 1968/9 in USA and -clearer- in 1969/1970
    in Europe resulting from an assumed protection
    from H3 in 1889-~1895
    ---------------see also the Japan thread------------------
    Attached Files
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT
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