Re: Japan detects bird flu in wild swans
The evolution rate will increase. Fujian H5N1 in South Korea will migrate to Mongolia and Siberia and mix with Qinghai H5N1. This will lead to a global expansion of Fujian into Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. In addition the Fujian in northern Japan will continue moving north in the East Asian Flyway which takes it to Alaska where infection of North American birds will move Fujian south into Canada and the US in the fall.
The key indicators will likely be Russia and Mongolia in the upcoming months. US monitoring may pick this up because Fujian is higher in cloacal swabs and feces than Qinghai, but monitoring of live birds by US and Canada remains suspect.
Originally posted by Blue
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The key indicators will likely be Russia and Mongolia in the upcoming months. US monitoring may pick this up because Fujian is higher in cloacal swabs and feces than Qinghai, but monitoring of live birds by US and Canada remains suspect.
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