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Bird flu mutates during race against time to find vaccine

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  • Bird flu mutates during race against time to find vaccine

    From BFBRKN web site ("Examiner" news):
    http://www.birdflubreakingnews.com/templates/birdflu/window.php?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.examiner.com%2Fa-1497121%7EBird_flu_mutates_during_race_against_tim e_to_find_vaccine.html

    Bird flu mutates during race against time to find vaccine

    Jul 21, 2008 3:00 AM (5 hrs ago) by Kelly Brooks, The Examiner

    BALTIMORE - Avian flu — the H5N1 virus experts think could out-kill the infamous 1918 pandemic flu — mutates every time it infects a human, according to new research out of Thailand. (?)
    Epidemiologist Dr. Michael Greger, of Rockville, warns the bug only needs to find a way to move from person to person, and mutation is its tool of trade.
    “We know another pandemic is inevitable; we don’t know when, we don’t know how bad it will be,” said Greger, director of Public Health and Animal Agriculture at the Washington, D.C.-based Humane Society of the United States. “What this new research can show is what mutations we should be concerned about.”
    Scientists in Thailand discovered certain mutations in the bird flu — which currently does not transmit efficiently from person to person — that could spark a pandemic.
    Their study of specimens from three fatal human cases involving H5N1, a “highly pathogenic” type of avian influenza virus, was published recently in the Journal of General Virology.
    “Such adaptations may lead to the emergence of a virus that can cause a pandemic,” Dr. Prasert Auewarakul said in a statement.
    Auewarakul and four other scientists from Mahidol University in Thailand conducted the research and wrote the paper.
    They said their research highlights the need to control infection and transmission to humans to prevent further adaptations.
    The virus referred to in the paper has killed hundreds of millions of birds in the past 10 years, but only a few hundred people, said Greger, author of “Bird Flu: A Virus of Our Own Hatching.”
    “That shouldn’t give us too much solace,” he said. The virus has a 60 percent human fatality rate, and if H5N1 doesn’t trigger the next pandemic, another type will, he added.
    San Diego-based biopharmaceutical company Vical presented preliminary data from a trial of H5N1 pandemic flu DNA vaccines at a conference at the National Harbor in Prince George’s County.
    Scientists, however, still need to reduce the lag time, or the number of months it would take to vaccinate people once a pandemic occurs, Greger said. “The earlier, the better in terms of pandemic preparedness.”
    Examiner <!-- end body content -->

  • #2
    Re: Bird flu mutates during race against time to find vaccine

    > ?We know another pandemic is inevitable; we don?t know when,
    > we don?t know how bad it will be,? said Greger

    ... and we don't know whether it's influenza or something else
    ... and we don't know whether it starts in the next million years or later
    ... and we don't know whether it's on this earth or another planet
    ...

    Greger gives no probability estimate, but "knows" it's inevitable. Well.
    Must have been Osterholm ("not if but when")
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Bird flu mutates during race against time to find vaccine

      birdflu mutates just as human flu, or not ?
      The polymerase doesn't know that its produced
      segments will be packed with a H5 and N1 segment.
      It's the same polymerase that worked in other viruses,
      like H9N2,H6N1,...
      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
      my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Bird flu mutates during race against time to find vaccine

        They said their research highlights the need to control infection and transmission to humans to prevent further adaptations.

        Again. I hate to sound like a broken record, but respiratory illnesses are not in any way treated in a controllable fashion until the illness is diagnosed and confirmed. When patients initially activate the healthcare system either by ambulance or by walking to a clinic/emergency department, they are given oxygen as a treatment of respiratory symptoms. The devices that are routinely used have no filter capability whatsoever, and the practice of placing a surgical mask over top has never been tested for efficacy.

        Therefore, these patients expose healthcare workers and everyone in the surrounding area to these potentially infectious particles while we wait for the right vaccine to be released in sufficient quantity.

        I'm sorry, but to me that's like not having seat belts or airbags available until after the accident and we wait until scientists find a way to make our skulls thicker...hmm

        T

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Bird flu mutates during race against time to find vaccine

          Originally posted by gsgs View Post
          birdflu mutates just as human flu, or not ?
          The polymerase doesn't know that its produced
          segments will be packed with a H5 and N1 segment.
          It's the same polymerase that worked in other viruses,
          like H9N2,H6N1,...
          PLease. The data out of Thailand was on H5N1 RBD changes in dead patients, which has NOTHING to do with reassortment or polymerases.

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