novel A/H1N1 changes - symptom/outcome tracking

[AlaskaDenise]

Re: novel A/H1N1 changes - symptom/outcome tracking

Rev. #2...

Specific changes/outcomes to watch for:

1 - non-response to anti-viral therapy (one or more)

2 - increase in cases without underlying medical conditions

3 - more credible "leaks" from HCW that conflict with mild "official" statements

4 - increase in % of cases with serious illness

5 - quicker progression to severe disease and death

6 - increase in death rates

7 - death clusters

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[Snicklefritz]

Re: novel A/H1N1 changes - symptom/outcome tracking

I'm watching for the increasing incidence of public heath officials and physicians going 'off the reservation' and making statements about the reality on the ground - that contradict the 'talking points' of higher officials.

Biology will lead genetics.

Emergent Properties Regards,

Snick

[Commonground]

Re: novel A/H1N1 changes - symptom/outcome tracking

Do we have a place to post the death clusters? Putting the State/Province at the top of each post for easier identification....One place....one thread?

[AlaskaDenise]

Re: novel A/H1N1 changes - symptom/outcome tracking

Do we have a place to post the death clusters? Putting the State/Province at the top of each post for easier identification....One place....one thread?

Posting total deaths per state/province won't give us a "picture". They need to be located on a map for instant identification of close proximities - just like we've done for Indonesia (within a thead). Google would be nice, but who has the time to collect it all and do it throughout the day? Unfortunately, this time with death clusters, there will be no waiting to see IF it will go H2H. At that point, any mapping may be quickly overwhelmed - again.

Hopefully, any death clusters will be in the far future.

Given the Shanghai acquisition, increased infectivity and virulence cases may show up soon. That might be identified by hospital admissions numbers and anti-viral demand. Hospitals might postpone elective surgery and pharmacies will be out of antivirals. Given Mamabird's concern that this stage would overwhelm resources, ordinary people will be impacted fast enough to generate lots of red flag news reports. The news reporters need to be knowledgeable.

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