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Health Ministry confirms 633 deaths by influenza and ARVI
Today at 09:57 | Wire reports
The healt ministry confirmed 625 deaths caused by influenza and acute respiratory viral infections starting from October 29 and into December 26 in all the 24 regions, the cities of Kyiv and Sevastopol, and in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the ministry has informed.
Very high influenza activity has been most recently been reported in the country's eastern Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts. The first swine flu outbreak occurred during mid October in the western Lviv and Ternopil oblasts, eventually spreading to Kyiv by Halloween. A second wave of the virus returned in mid December.
They are reporting 21 more deaths to 675 total. As we were at 652 yesterday, there is a discrepancy of two deaths, which I am looking for.
Found it. Oblast #1, Crimea, has increased from 11 deaths to 13 without reporting a new death. Either they had two deaths (and the number today would be 23), or they are still at 11 deaths, and the total is 673.
Now 294 in ICU, 39 on respirators. We appear to be approaching the peak numbers attained in early November again.
They are reporting 18 more deaths to a total of 698, but obviously there have been 23 today. Three of the five disrepancies are in Oblast #1, Crimea, and I am still looking for the other two.
Found them. Oblast #18, Sumy, has gone from 13 to 15 without reporting any new deaths.
This is as far off as the daily report has ever been. I suspect some keyboard clerk is missing putting numbers in the "new deaths today in this oblast" cell, so when the formula in his spreadsheet sums down the column, it produces a wrong number.
Technical errors aside, we now have 266 in ICU, 26 on respirator. Nearly 53,000 ARI today.
Massive numbers of errors here. For starters, Lviv has increased from 98 to 101 deaths, but only reported one death. Secondly, they are reporting 31 new deaths overall, not 29 for a total of 727. I am taking a closer look at the data. Zaporizhia (#8) reported one new death, going from 20 to 21, two of whom were adults (can't even imagine). Oblast #4 went from 33 to 32 deaths by reporting four more. Oblast #1 went from 16 to 20 by reporting three deaths.
All columns in the table do seem to add down correctly (probably because the last row in their master spreadsheet is full of formulas).
Something is really wrong with this data. I have finally reached the point that I can't interpret what they really mean, as there at least six errors in this table. Many other countries, such as the United States have stopped trying to get a precise death toll; perhaps Ukraine should consider doing this as well. As it currently stands, they are trying to count or estimate every case of ARI in the entire country for the past three months - that's impossible.
One possible suggestion; In the Indian daily update table, fatalities occuring on the day of the update are included in the daily fatalities tally. Fatalities which occur earlier for which confirmation is received on that day are not counted as fatalities on that particular day, but are added to the total.
For example yesterday, 4 new fatalities were recorded, but the total was raised by 21.
The Indian government is kind enough to detail this process in the footnotes. I wonder if a similar process is happenining in the Ukraine, just without the explanation.
Twitter: @RonanKelly13
The views expressed are mine alone and do not represent the views of my employer or any other person or organization.
One possible suggestion; In the Indian daily update table, fatalities occuring on the day of the update are included in the daily fatalities tally. Fatalities which occur earlier for which confirmation is received on that day are not counted as fatalities on that particular day, but are added to the total.
For example yesterday, 4 new fatalities were recorded, but the total was raised by 21.
The Indian government is kind enough to detail this process in the footnotes. I wonder if a similar process is happenining in the Ukraine, just without the explanation.
I think that's some of it. I think some of it may also be due to reclassification of where fatalites are counted if a case dies away from home.
But there's no way to account for things like going from 33 deaths to 32 by reporting four more, or having one death, both of whom are adults. Those simply must be errors.
Perhaps also, as further information is aquired, a death in one oblast is reassigned to another if the patient is resident in another area. Or moved to another age category. (but you just said this as I typed)
The problems of keeping up with real time data are vast. As mentioned by alert, most nations have stopped giving daily data. I for one appreciate the efforts being made in both the Ukraine and India to give daily updates, even if it can be "fluid".
Twitter: @RonanKelly13
The views expressed are mine alone and do not represent the views of my employer or any other person or organization.
Health Ministry confirmed 759 deaths from influenza and SARS
КИЕВ, 3 января.
KIEV, January 3.
(УКРИНФОРМ).
(Ukrinform).
Министерство здравоохранения подтверждает 759 случаев смерти от гриппа и острых респираторных вирусных инфекций в период с 29 октября 2009 года до 2 января 2010 года во всех 24 областях, Киеве, Севастополе и Крыму.
Ministry of Health has confirmed 759 deaths from flu and acute respiratory viral infections during the period from October 29, 2009 to January 2, 2010 in all 24 regions, Kyiv and Sevastopol and the Crimea.
Об этом сказано в информации министерства, сообщает УКРИНФОРМ.
This is stated in the information ministry, says Ukrinform.
Начиная с 29 октября 2009 года, 102 смерти зафиксированы во Львовской области, 97 - в Донецкой, 45 - в Ивано-Франковской, по 37 - в Киеве и Харьковской области, по 35 - в Киевской и Днепропетровской областях, 29 - в Волынской области, по 28 - в Хмельницкой и Черниговской областях, 27 - в Кировоградской, 26 - в Черкасской, по 25 - Черновицкой и Тернопольской областях, 24 - в Запорожской области.
Since October 29, 2009, 102 deaths recorded in the Lviv region, 97 - in Donetsk, 45 - Ivano-Frankivsk, on 37 - in Kiev and Kharkiv region, at 35 - in the Kiev and Dnepropetrovsk regions, 29 - in the Volyn region, to 28 - in the Khmelnytsky and Chernihiv regions, 27 - in Kirovograd, 26 - in Cherkassy, 25 - Chernivtsi and Ternopil regions, 24 - in the Zaporozhye region.
22 человека умерли в Крыму, 18 - в Ривненской области, 16 - в Сумской, по 15 - в Полтавской и Винницкой областях, по 12 - в Житомирской, Закарпатской областях и Севастополе, 11 человек умерли в Херсонской области, 10 - в Одесской, 9 - в Николаевской и 7 - в Луганской области.
22 people have died in the Crimea, 18 - in Rivne region, 16 - in Sumy, 15 - in the Poltava and Vinnitsa regions, and 12 - in Zhytomyr, Transcarpathian regions and Sevastopol, 11 people died in the Kherson region, 10 - in Odessa, 9 - in Nikolayev and 7 - in the Luhansk region.
За последние сутки умерли 19 человек, трое в Донецкой области, по 2 - в Волынской, Днепропетровской, Житомирской, Запорожской, Кировоградской и Харьковской, по 1 - в Винницкой, Львовской, Николаевской, Севастополе.
Over the past day 19 people died, three in the Donetsk region, and 2 - in the Volyn, Dnipropetrovsk, Zhytomyr, Zaporizhia, Kharkiv, Kirovograd and, on 1 - in Vinnitsa, Lviv, Mykolayiv, Sevastopol.
В целом, начиная с 29 октября 2009 года, гриппом и ОРВИ заболели 3 789 200 человек, за последние сутки - 15 261 человек.
In general, starting from 29 October 2009, influenza and SARS are sick 3 789 200 people over the past day - 15 261 people.
С начала эпидемии были госпитализированы 217 056 человек, а выписаны - 180 892.
Since the beginning of the epidemic were hospitalized 217 056 people, and issued - 180 892.
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