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I don't know BB, Ukraine is a small country I don't think there will be ramifications unless the numbers reach something undeniable. Judging by the last couple of days of trading, it's possible the market will be lower by the close tomorrow.
Yes, I don't know if it will effect the whole market yet but it will be interesting to see if the flu biotechs (NVAX, AVII, BCRX, etc.) are the dominant ones trading pre-open. [Just turn on CNBC and watch that lower scroll bar.]
If they aren't actively trading, I would not be alarmed .
If they are, then the situation bears serious attention .
If they continue to trade up all day and into the close - panic time .
Checked the CNBC tickers this AM and saw nothing. I just checked pre-market quotes - Rutrow. All up at least 2.5 %. I'm here: quickly going here:
Gold also went up $10 last night.
The failure of injectable H1N1 vaccine manufacturers to meet current demands should be a disappointment to all shareholders of vaccine production companies. It ought to be a great opportunity to increase revenue streams.
NEW YORK?Deepening fears of the H1N1 flu pandemic could lead to an uptick in the life insurance securitization market, experts say.
The increasing geographic spread of the disease, combined with climbing death rates related to the virus, is highlighting potential exposure, experts say.
As a result, insurers with significant mortality exposure may look to specialized insurance-linked securities instruments called extreme mortality bonds to shift some of their risk to the capital market, experts say.
A recent life reinsurance report by New York-based Standard & Poor's Corp. said, despite a slowdown in the mortality bond market last year, the ?ongoing flu pandemic could spur further issuance as insurers and reinsurers seek to actively manage risk.?
BCRX and NVAX both up over 6 % this morning. I would say that some determination has been made and the outcome is not good. But that's just me.
I wonder if this is connected with the increasingly concerned comments by Henry N. In summary he believes WHO is delaying some information from Ukraine and specifically suggests changes at position HA 225
Considerations on the Genetic Development of pH1N1 via Recombination
2009-11-09
225E Expectation in the Ukraine
PF11 SNP geographic analysis suggests that the Ukraine cases in the next two weeks may show a very similar genetic pattern to South America in August and the Mediterranean and Adriatic FlightPath in the past 8 weeks.
If the trend toward a higher infectivity of medical personnel continues as reported today of 687 doctors and 1,500 young specialists being ill, we would expect a higher death count in the coming days. Between 0.5% and 1.3% of all doctors in the country are ill (by region). Higher transmissibility is certain.
If a database of 100 sequences were to exist on the Ukraine, accurately cataloging a cross-reference of regions over 14 days of recent death and recovery cases, including major cities, rough expectations would indicate:
HA
225E
in moderate concentration (95% probability) with 206T
206T/225E/300S triplet
potential for introduction (1 sequence) (75% probability)
2E/206T/225E/298V quad combo
potential for appearance in very low count (1 to 2 sequences) (>25% probability)
2E/206T/225G/298V quad combo
potential for introduction (1 sequence) (<10% probability)
225G
potential, but certainly not widespread under current clinical reports (75% probability) with 206T
2E/206S/296H triplet
in low concentration (95% probability)
377K
potential for introduction (1 sequence) (25% probability)
270T
potential for introduction (1 sequence) (7% probability)
261V
potential for appearance in very low count (1 to 3 sequences) (>25% probability)
212 movement
potential for introduction (1 sequence) (7% probability)
208K
potential for introduction (1 sequence) (33% probability)
188/189/190 movement
potential for introduction (1 sequence) (>50% probability)
158E
potential for appearance in very low count (1 to 3 sequences) (>25% probability)
100N
potential for introduction (1 sequence) (>25% probability)
35I
potential for appearance in moderate count (<20% probability)
NA
106I, 248N pairing
potential in very low count (<20% probability)
106I, 248N, 286G triplet
potential for introduction (7% probability until the 8th week of the flashfire
Comment