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  • Eurasian and North American lineages

    H6-HA : 1922, (1873–1954, 95&#37
    H4-HA Eurasia: 1930, (1898–1951)
    H4-HA North American 1953, (1928–1969)
    H4-HA : 1879 (1794–1938)
    PB1 : 1960s EU-->NA
    PA : 1960s: EU-->NA

    idea: show this in time-interval layered or 3-dimention (dn,ds,timedif) (rotatable)clouds

    -------------------------------------------
    .pdf, 159 pages,4.8MB , http://etda.libraries.psu.edu/paper/10009/5278.
    the molecular evolution of influenza viruses
    dissertatation, 2009,Rubing Chen



    ---------------------------------------------
    4 pages .pdf: www.pnas.org/content/106/28/11709.full.pdf
    dating the emergence of pandemic influenza viruses


    Bahl J, Vijaykrishna D, Holmes EC, Smith GJD, Guan Y (2009) Gene flow and competitive exclusion
    of avian influenza A virus in natual resevoir hosts. Virology 390: 289–297. Find this article online
    Geographical separation of host species has shaped the avian influenza A virus gene pool into independently evolving Eurasian and American lineages, although phylogenetic evidence for gene flow and reassortment indicates that these lineages also mix ...


    zu Donha H, Li J, Cardona CJ, Miller J, Carpenter TE (2009) Invasions by Eurasian avian influenza
    virus H6 genes and replacement of its North American clade. Emerg Infect Dis 15: 1040–1045.
    Find this article online





    Date estimates of the ancestral nodes inferred using the same methodology indicated
    that the Eurasian and North American H6-HA lineages diverged in the 1920’s (time of
    most recent common ancestor (TMRCA) 1922, 95% highest posterior density (HPD): 1873–1954).

    Phylogenetic analysis of the H4-HA genes showed two major lineages that correspond
    to the segregation of the Eurasian gene pools (TMRCA 1930, 95% HPD: 1898–1951)
    and North American (TMRCA 1953, 95% HPD: 1928–1969) with no evidence of gene
    flow (Fig. 1B). These lineages diverged in 1879 (95% HPD: 1794–1938) and have
    therefore been geographically isolated and evolving independently for at least 68 years (Fig. 1B).

    Interestingly, phylogenies revealed that all PB1 and PA genes currently circulating in
    North American wild aquatic birds were derived from Eurasian introductions that
    occurred sometime in the 1960’s (clade NAm3 in Fig. 4A and B). The previous
    North American PB1 and PA genes were replaced by the introduced lineage in
    all virus subtypes, suggesting a fitness advantage to North American viruses
    that incorporated these genes through reassortment.
    It is also noteworthy that gene flow was detected in both waterfowl and
    shorebird hosts and occurred on both the eastern and western seaboards
    of North America. For example, in the PB2 phylogeny influenza viruses
    isolated from shorebirds sampled from the North American Atlantic coast
    contained gene segments with recent Eurasian ancestors (Fig. 4C).
    In contrast, only a single bird sampled from the Pacific coast contained
    this Eurasian derived gene segment. Similar patterns were observed in
    the PA, NP and M genes (Fig. 4B–D and Fig. S2, 4–6). These results
    suggest that avenues of virus introduction to North America are not
    restricted to ducks or the Pacific migratory corridor.
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

  • #2
    Re: Eurasian and North American lineages

    Based on this first complete assessment of the mallard's world-wide population genetic structure we confirm that no more than two mtDNA clades exist. Clade A is characteristic for Eurasia, and clade B for North-America although some representatives of clade A are also found in North-America. We expl …

    pdf,15 pages: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/arti...2156-12-99.pdf
    about bird migration (not flu-related)

    two genetical strains of mallards : North American and Eurasian.
    Apparently they don't mix.
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Eurasian and North American lineages

      bump for search engines

      .pdf, 159 pages,4.8MB ,
      http://etda.libraries.psu.edu/paper/10009/5278.

      the molecular evolution of influenza viruses
      dissertatation August 2009
      Rubing Chen

      -------------edit---------

      ahh, also sold at Amazon for 72 euros, so he probably won't want
      people knowing that link ?!



      searching for the MRCAT TMRCA of Eurasian and North American PB2 ...

      he may even be doing "cloud-analysis", I found some such keywords, but I'll have to check

      he quotes Krauss 2007 , Dugan 2008

      We surveyed the genetic diversity among avian influenza virus (AIV) in wild birds, comprising 167 complete viral genomes from 14 bird species sampled in four locations across the United States. These isolates represented 29 type A influenza virus ...


      none of these have keyword mrca

      Chen,Holmes 2006: http://mbe.oxfordjournals.org/content/23/12/2336.full
      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
      my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Eurasian and North American lineages

        Eurasian and North American PB2s have typically ~340 differences.

        But they also had ~340 differences in the 70s so they are somehow
        saturated at 340, new mutations may as well undo previous ones
        as creating new ones.


        But then we have

        A/mallard/Sweden/49/2002(H5N9)

        it is from the Eurasian lineage, 166 differences to
        A/Ck/1/Netherlands/2003(H7N7)

        but it is also pretty close to North American viruses,
        187 differences to
        A/mallard/Montana/458329-5/2006(H5N3)

        this cannot be, if the TMRCA is ~1900

        so some viruses must have survived some decades without
        mutating again
        but which
        I'm confused

        ------------------------------------

        googling for these two viruses shows both viruses in a list
        of PB2-recombination candidates :



        that might explain it

        Code:
        >A/mallard/Sweden/49/2002,2002//,H5N9,Sweden
        >A/Ck/Netherlands/1/03,2003//,H7N7,Netherlands
        ........................o................................... 1 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        .................o.......................................... 1 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ......................................o..................... 1 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ................................o.................o......... 2 
        ...................................o........................ 1 
        ............................................................ 0 
        .............................o..................o........... 2 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        .....o...................................................... 1 
        ....................o..........................o............ 2 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ..o.....o..............o........o..o.....o..o.....oo....o... 10 
        .....o..o..o...........o..o..o........o...o.......o......... 9 
        ........o.....o...................................o.....o... 4 
        .....o.....o..o...........o..o..o........o..o..o..oo.o...... 12 
        .....o........o........o........o...o.o..o..o..o.....o..o..o 12 
        ..o..o..o..o........oo..........o..o..............o..o.....o 11 
        .....o...o.o.....o.....o..o..o.....o..o..o...........o...... 11 
        .....o..o..o.....o..o.....o.....o.....o................o.... 9 
        ..o.....o.....o..o..o..o......o.o..o...........o..o.....o..o 13 
        ..o..oo....o........o........o..o..o.....o..o..o.....o...... 12 
        ...........o........o..o..............o...........o..o..o..o 8 
        .....o..o..............o.................o..o..o........o..o 8 
        ..o..o.................o..o........o.....o........o..o...... 8 
        ..o...........o.....o..o.....o.................o............ 6 
        ..o..o.....o........o.....o..oo..........o..o...o........... 10 
        .....o........o.................o..oo.............o..o..o... 8 
        ...........oo.o..o.......................................... 4 
        ............................................................ 0 
        -- 166 
         166 ( 2280 )+ 166 ( 2280 )
        
        >A/mallard/Sweden/49/2002,2002//,H5N9,Sweden
        >A/mallard/Montana/458328-5/2006,2006//,H5N3,USA
        ...........................o.o.....o.......................o 4 
        ..o.................o.o.........o.....o..o..o........o..o... 9 
        .....o.....o..o........o.......................o............ 5 
        ..o..o........o.....o........o.....o..o..o..o..o............ 10 
        ..............o......o..........o...........o.....o......... 5 
        ..o...........o..o.................o.....o........o..o..o... 8 
        ..o...........o..o..o..o.....o..o..o..o.....oo.......o...... 12 
        ...o.o..o.................o.....o.....o........o.....o.....o 9 
        .....o........o....................o.....o......o.o.....o... 7 
        .....oo.o..o.....o..............o..o..o.................o... 9 
        ..oo....o.....o...o.o..o.....oo.......o.....o..o.....o.....o 14 
        .....o..o........o..o..o..o.....oo....o..o.....o.....o...... 12 
        ..o...........o..o........o.....o..o...........o..o..o..o... 10 
        ..o.....o..o..o..o..o..o.......................oo....o..o..o 12 
        ..............o..o.....o..o..o..o.....o...........o...o.o... 10 
        ..o........o..o.....o.....o....................oo.......o..o 9 
        .................o..o..o...........o.....o.....o..o..o..o... 9 
        .........o....o..o........o....................o.....o..o... 7 
        ..o..o...........o..oo..........o..o.....o..o..o...........o 11 
        o.......oo.o..o..o.....o.................o..o........o..o... 11 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ..........................o..............o..o...........o... 4 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        -- 187 
         187 ( 2280 )+ 187 ( 2280 )
        
        >A/mallard/Sweden/49/2002,2002//,H5N9,Sweden
        >A/mallard/Louisiana/476670-4/2007,2007//,H5N2,USA
        ..................o.o......o.o.....o...........o...........o 7 
        ..o.................o..............o.....o..o........o..o... 7 
        .....o..o..o.....o.............................o...........o 6 
        ..o...........o.....o........o.....o.....o..o.....o.....o... 9 
        .....o.....o..o......o..........o..o..............o......... 7 
        ........o.....o.................o.....o..o.....o..o..o..o... 9 
        ..o........o..o..o..o..o........o..o........oo.......o.....o 12 
        ...o.o..o........o........o.....o.....o.....o..o.....o.....o 11 
        .....o........o..o.................o.....o..o...o.o........o 9 
        .....oo.o..o...........o...........o..o...........o.....o... 9 
        ..o.....o.........o....o.....oo.............o..o.....o.....o 10 
        .....o...........o..o.....o.....oo....o..o..o..o..o..o...... 12 
        ..o..o........o..o........o........o...........o..o..o...... 9 
        ..o.....o..o..o..o..o..o.......................oo....o..o..o 12 
        ..............o........o.....o....................o...o.o... 6 
        ..o.....o..o..o.....o.....o........o...........oo.......o..o 11 
        ..o..o..o........o..o.....o..o.....o.....o........o..o..o... 12 
        ..............o..o........o....................o.....o..o... 6 
        ..o..o...........o..oo.............o.....o..o..o............ 9 
        o....o..oo.o.....o.....o.................o..o........o..o... 11 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ..........................o.................o...........o... 3 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        -- 187 
         187 ( 2280 )+ 187 ( 2280 )
        
        >A/Ck/Netherlands/1/03,2003//,H7N7,Netherlands
        >A/mallard/Montana/458328-5/2006,2006//,H5N3,USA
        ........................o..o.o.....o.......................o 5 
        ..o.................o.o.........o.....o..o..o........o..o... 9 
        .....o.....o..o........o.......................o............ 5 
        ..o..o........o.....o........o.....o..o..o..o..o............ 10 
        ..............o......o..........o...........o.....o......... 5 
        ..o...........o..o.................o.....o........o..o..o... 8 
        ..o...........o.....o..o.....o..o..o..o.....oo.......o...... 11 
        ...o.o..o.................o.....o.....o........o.....o.....o 9 
        .....o........o....................o..o..o......o.o.....o... 8 
        .....oo.o..o.....o..............o..o..o.................o... 9 
        ..oo....o.....o...o.o..o.....oo.......o.....o..o.....o.....o 14 
        .....o..o........o..o..o..o......o....o..o.....o..o..o...... 12 
        ..o...........o..o........o.....o..............o..o..o..o... 9 
        ..o.....o..o..o..o..o..o.......................oo....o..o..o 12 
        ..............o..o.....o..o..o..o.....o.........o.o...o.o... 11 
        ..o........o..o.....o.....o....................oo.......o..o 9 
        .................o..o..o...........o.....o.....o..o..o..o... 9 
        .....o...o....o..o........o....................o.....o..o... 8 
        ..o..o...........o..oo..........o..o.....o..o..............o 10 
        o.......oo.o..o..o.....o.................o..o........o..o... 11 
        ..o.....o..............o........o..o.....o..o.....oo....o... 10 
        .....o..o..o...........o..o..o........o...o.......o......... 9 
        ........o.....o...................................o.....o... 4 
        .....o.....o..o...........o..o..o........o..o..o..oo.o...... 12 
        .....o........o........o........o...o.o..o..o..o.....o..o..o 12 
        ..o..o..o..o........oo....o.....o..o.....o..o.....o..o..o..o 15 
        .....o...o.o.....o.....o..o..o.....o..o..o...........o...... 11 
        .....o..o..o.....o..o.....o.....o.....o................o.... 9 
        ..o.....o.....o..o..o..o......o.o..o...........o..o.....o..o 13 
        ..o..oo....o........o........o..o..o.....o..o..o.....o...... 12 
        ...........o........o..o..............o...........o..o..o..o 8 
        .....o..o..............o.................o..o..o........o..o 8 
        ..o..o.................o..o........o.....o........o..o...... 8 
        ..o...........o.....o..o.....o.................o............ 6 
        ..o..o.....o........o.....o..oo..........o..o...o........... 10 
        .....o........o.................o..oo.............o..o..o... 8 
        ...........oo.o..o.......................................... 4 
        ............................................................ 0 
        -- 343 
         343 ( 2280 )+ 343 ( 2280 )
        
        
        >A/Ck/Netherlands/1/03,2003//,H7N7,Netherlands
        >A/mallard/Louisiana/476670-4/2007,2007//,H5N2,USA
        ..................o.o...o..o.o.....o...........o...........o 8 
        ..o.................o..............o.....o..o........o..o... 7 
        .....o..o..o.....o.............................o...........o 6 
        ..o...........o.....o........o.....o.....o..o.....o.....o... 9 
        .....o.....o..o......o..........o..o..............o......... 7 
        ........o.....o.................o.....o..o.....o..o..o..o... 9 
        ..o........o..o.....o..o........o..o........oo.......o.....o 11 
        ...o.o..o........o........o.....o.....o.....o..o.....o.....o 11 
        .....o........o..o.................o..o..o..o...o.o........o 10 
        .....oo.o..o...........o...........o..o...........o.....o... 9 
        ..o.....o.........o....o.....oo.............o..o.....o.....o 10 
        .....o...........o..o.....o......o....o..o..o..o.....o...... 10 
        ..o..o........o..o........o....................o..o..o...... 8 
        ..o.....o..o..o..o..o..o.......................oo....o..o..o 12 
        ..............o........o.....o..................o.o...o.o... 7 
        ..o.....o..o..o.....o.....o........o...........oo.......o..o 11 
        ..o..o..o........o..o.....o..o.....o.....o........o..o..o... 12 
        .....o........o..o........o....................o.....o..o... 7 
        ..o..o...........o...o.............o.....o..o............... 7 
        o....o..oo.o.....o.....o.................o..o........o..o... 11 
        ..o.....o..............o........o..o.....o..o.....oo....o... 10 
        .....o..o..o...........o..o..o........o...o.......o......... 9 
        ........o.....o...................................o.....o... 4 
        .....o.....o..o...........o..o..o........o..o..o..oo.o...... 12 
        .....o........o........o........o...o.o..o..o..o.....o..o..o 12 
        ..o..o..o..o........oo....o.....o..o........o.....o..o..o..o 14 
        .....o...o.o.....o.....o..o..o.....o..o..o...........o...... 11 
        .....o..o..o.....o..o.....o.....o.....o................o.... 9 
        ..o.....o.....o..o..o..o......o.o..o...........o..o.....o..o 13 
        ..o..oo....o........o........o..o..o.....o..o..o.....o...... 12 
        ...........o........o..o..............o...........o..o..o..o 8 
        .....o..o..............o.................o..o..o........o..o 8 
        ..o..o.................o..o........o.....o........o..o...... 8 
        ..o...........o.....o..o.....o.................o............ 6 
        ..o..o.....o........o.....o..oo..........o..o...o........... 10 
        .....o........o.................o..oo.............o..o..o... 8 
        ...........oo.o..o.......................................... 4 
        ............................................................ 0 
        -- 340 
         340 ( 2280 )+ 340 ( 2280 )
        
        
        >A/mallard/Montana/458328-5/2006,2006//,H5N3,USA
        >A/mallard/Louisiana/476670-4/2007,2007//,H5N2,USA
        ..................o.o..........................o............ 3 
        ......................o.........o..o..o..................... 4 
        ........o.....o..o.....o...................................o 5 
        .....o................................o........o..o.....o... 5 
        .....o.....o.......................o........o............... 4 
        ..o.....o........o..............o..o..o........o............ 7 
        ...........o.................o........o....................o 4 
        .................o..........................o............... 2 
        .................o.......................o..o...........o..o 5 
        .................o.....o........o.....o...........o......... 5 
        ...o..........o.....o.................o..................... 4 
        ........o..............o....................o.....o......... 4 
        .....o..........................o.......................o... 3 
        ............................................................ 0 
        .................o........o..o..o.....o..................... 5 
        ........o..........................o........................ 2 
        ..o..o..o........o..o..o..o..o.................o............ 9 
        .........o.................................................. 1 
        ....................o...........o..........................o 3 
        .....o........o............................................. 2 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        .........................................o.................. 1 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        ............................................................ 0 
        -- 78 
         78 ( 2280 )+ 78 ( 2280 )



        same lab, same date, one from Sweden one from Montana
        suggesting that the recombination happened in the lab



        Submitted (01-OCT-2009)
        Southeast Poultry Research Laboratory, USDA Agriculture Research Service,
        934 College Station Rd, Athens, GA 30605, USA


        Submitted (01-OCT-2009)
        Southeast Poultry Research Laboratory, USDA Agriculture Research Service,
        934 College Station Rd, Athens, GA 30605, USA
        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
        my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Eurasian and North American lineages

          Due to limited interaction of migratory birds between Eurasia and America, two independent avian influenza virus (AIV) gene pools have evolved. There is evidence of low frequency reassortment between these regions, which has major implications in ...


          Published online 2011 June 15.

          Extensive Geographic Mosaicism in Avian Influenza Viruses from Gulls in the Northern Hemisphere

          [with "mosaicism" they mean what we call reassortment, not recombination]

          all currently circulating PB1, PA, and H6 lineages in North America are of Eurasian origin [19], [20

          (~1950)

          gulls are important as vectors for geographically reassorted viruses, particularly in America


          [gulls are a dead end in influenza evolution, though. They usually
          don't give it back to mallards]
          I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
          my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Eurasian and North American lineages

            in ~1970 a new segment 3 was introduced into North American
            wild birds , probably from Asia, closest match is
            A/duck/Hokkaido/5/1977(H3N2) with 50 nucleotide-differences


            this is only segment 3 (PA), the other segments remained
            North-American
            the calculated introduction had 4 amino-acid differences
            from the bird-index=avian consensus:
            V323I(3471),V387I(1414),S400P(6391),V432I(1090)

            387I and 400N are in European Swine,1979,H1N1 , which is entirely avian

            that Asian PA then went into American swine in ~1998 ("triple reassortant")
            and then into ****** in 2009

            -----------------------------------------------------------------------

            and segment 2 came from A/Dk/HK/1978,H4N6
            68 nucleotides difference to this from a sandpiper in 1990 New Jersey

            that was only a minor introduction, giving a few sequences in NA
            bitw2c.gif 5 different PB1 before 1985 :
            early European(H2N2),NA1,AUS-NA2(H3N2),main Eurasian,7bi
            Attached Files
            I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
            my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

            Comment

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