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Two swans found dead in Nuernberg City gave rise for new suspicions of H5N1. The swans had been found tuesday in an urban park and the carcasses have been submitted to the national reference lab.
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
full translation:
Bird flu suspicion in Nürnberg
Nürnberg (German Press Agency/lby) -
In Nürnberg there is a suspicion on bird flu. National public health authorities fear that two dead swans could have been infected with the dangerous virus H5N1, communicated the city on Friday.
The kadaver was already found on past tuesday at a lake in the city. They were sent for more exact investigation to the laboratory of the Friedrich of Löffler institute on the Baltic Sea island Riems.
The lake is searched further regularly for dead water birds. The city did not impose a restricted area for the time being.?Addressing chronic disease is an issue of human rights ? that must be our call to arms"
Richard Horton, Editor-in-Chief The Lancet
~~~~ Twitter:@GertvanderHoek ~~~ GertvanderHoek@gmail.com ~~~ -
Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
Germany has had more H5N1 positives in wild birds than any country in western Europe, and most of the positives have been in mute swans.Comment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
Any more coverage in German newspapers? Dead swans usually attract significant attention, which is one of the reasons most H5N1 detected in wild birds is in swansOriginally posted by Gänseerpel View Post
<LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/swan/Austria/216/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/swan/Bavaria/14/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/swan/Bavaria/16/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/swan/Bavaria/17/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/swan/Bavaria/21/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/swan/Bavaria/6/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/swan/Germany/R65/2006(H5N1))
<LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/mute swan/Bavaria/12/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/mute swan/Croatia/1/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/mute swan/Germany/R65/06(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/mute swan/Germany/R797/06(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/mute swan/Germany/R854/06(H5N1))
<LI type=square>
Influenza A virus (A/whooper swan/Germany/R88/06(H5N1))
<LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus cygnus/Iran/754/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Astrakhan/Ast05-2-1/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Astrakhan/Ast05-2-10/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Astrakhan/Ast05-2-2/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Astrakhan/Ast05-2-3/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Astrakhan/Ast05-2-4/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Astrakhan/Ast05-2-5/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Astrakhan/Ast05-2-6/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Astrakhan/Ast05-2-7/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Astrakhan/Ast05-2-8/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Astrakhan/Ast05-2-9/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/cygnus olor/Croatia/1/2005(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Czech Republic/5170/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Czech Republic/6719/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/Cygnus olor/Italy/742/2006(H5N1)) <LI type=square>Influenza A virus (A/cygnus olor/Italy/808/2006(H5N1))Last edited by HenryN; June 23, 2007, 06:39 AM.Comment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
could the bad weather we are having across europe at the moment be helping the virus spread further........?Comment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
The issue in Europe is detection, not spread. H5N1 is widespread, but only detected when infected hosts die. Thus, bad weather can create stress, higher levels of H5N1, and death (followed by detection).Originally posted by vinny View Post
Western Europe has NEVER reported H5N1 in a live wild bird, even at the height of the detection outbreaks in Feb / March, 2006 (and most detection was in wild birds).
<TABLE class=resultstable cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223471 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165057 </TD><TD>A/buzzard/Bavaria/13/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223463 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165049 </TD><TD>A/buzzard/Bavaria/5/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=187251 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>DQ659679 </TD><TD>A/common bussard/Bavaria/2/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223469 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165055 </TD><TD>A/common buzzard/Bavaria/11/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223465 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165051 </TD><TD>A/common pochard/Bavaria/7/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223468 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165054 </TD><TD>A/eagle owl/Bavaria/10/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223473 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165059 </TD><TD>A/falcon/Bavaria/15/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223477 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165063 </TD><TD>A/goldeneye duck/Bavaria/19/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223476 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165062 </TD><TD>A/goosander/Bavaria/18/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223478 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165064 </TD><TD>A/goosander/Bavaria/20/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223480 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165066 </TD><TD>A/great crested grebe/Bavaria/22/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=139351 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>DQ458992 </TD><TD>A/mallard/Bavaria/1/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223470 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165056 </TD><TD>A/mute swan/Bavaria/12/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223472 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165058 </TD><TD>A/swan/Bavaria/14/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223474 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165060 </TD><TD>A/swan/Bavaria/16/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223475 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165061 </TD><TD>A/swan/Bavaria/17/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223479 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165065 </TD><TD>A/swan/Bavaria/21/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223464 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165050 </TD><TD>A/swan/Bavaria/6/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223462 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165048 </TD><TD>A/tufted duck/Bavaria/4/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223466 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165052 </TD><TD>A/tufted duck/Bavaria/8/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=223467 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF165053 </TD><TD>A/tufted duck/Bavaria/9/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>Comment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
<TABLE class=resultstable cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237501 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403474 </TD><TD>A/Canada goose/Germany/R1207/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237488 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403461 </TD><TD>A/Canada goose/Germany/R71/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=210148 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>DQ643982 </TD><TD>A/cat/Germany/606/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1779 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237495 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403468 </TD><TD>A/cat/Germany/R606/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237490 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403463 </TD><TD>A/common buzzard/Germany/R306/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237507 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM408213 </TD><TD>A/common buzzard/Germany/R870/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1654 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237496 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403469 </TD><TD>A/coot/Germany/R655/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237503 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM408209 </TD><TD>A/cormorant/Germany/R292/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1654 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237491 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403464 </TD><TD>A/duck/Germany/R338/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237493 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403466 </TD><TD>A/duck/Germany/R592/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237494 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403467 </TD><TD>A/duck/Germany/R603/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237497 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403470 </TD><TD>A/duck/Germany/R751/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237500 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403473 </TD><TD>A/eagle owl/Germany/R1166/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237505 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM408211 </TD><TD>A/falcon/Germany/R899/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1654 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237504 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM408210 </TD><TD>A/goose/Germany/R696/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1654 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237506 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM408212 </TD><TD>A/great crested grebe/Germany/R1226/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1654 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237509 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM408215 </TD><TD>A/gull/Germany/R882/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237487 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403460 </TD><TD>A/mute swan/Germany/R65/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=239911 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>EF547198 </TD><TD>A/mute swan/Germany/R797/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237498 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403471 </TD><TD>A/mute swan/Germany/R854/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237492 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403465 </TD><TD>A/pochard/Germany/R348/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237512 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM492165 </TD><TD>A/stone marten/Germany/R747/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1779 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237502 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403475 </TD><TD>A/stork/Germany/R1239/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=210137 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>DQ464354 </TD><TD>A/swan/Germany/R65/2006 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1779 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237510 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM408216 </TD><TD>A/tufted duck/Germany/R1240/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=white><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237499 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403472 </TD><TD>A/turkey/Germany/R1077/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#a7c4ef><TD align=left><INPUT onclick=setAll(this.checked) type=checkbox value=237489 name=checkbox> </TD><TD class=displaytablerow align=left></TD><TD>AM403462 </TD><TD>A/whooper swan/Germany/R88/06 </TD><TD>HA (4) </TD><TD>1707 </TD><TD>2006 </TD><TD>H5N1 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>Comment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
bad weather ? It's summer !I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgTComment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
Stress can also be due to bacterial infections. Getting H5N1 up to detectable levels can be linked to multiple causes.Originally posted by gsgs View Post
Bottom line is without an increase in H5N1 levels, FALSE negatives rule in wild bird tests (in western Europe, Africa, North America, and more).Comment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
OK, please allow me to pose a question/hypothesis.
Is it possible that H5N1's very prolific ability to evolve may have prevented it from "going pandemic" up to this point?
Looking at Dr. Niman's comments regarding the Clade 1 Thai strain that is the culprit when H5N1 is found via the smuggling of birds into Europe, versus the Clade 2.2 strain (Qinghai) that is clearly and (I believe) indisputably transmitted by migratory wildfowl -- is it feasible that H5N1's inability to stay in a more uniform mode is actually working against it -- and thereby working for us?
Has anyone ever done research with previous pandemic strains to see what steps it took in its evolution? For example, could the 1918 virus have recombined with itself in the trenches of Europe and become lethal because, say, Clade 1 Kansas recombined with Clade 2 Paris, or something similar to that?
We know H2N2 and H3N2 were reassortants, but H1H1 from 1918 was a direct-to-human-from-bird flu, so reassortment with a human strain was unlikely. And we've got three strains of H5N1 circulating across the globe, simultaneously.
Or are we looking at the slow formation of a "perfect storm" of H5N1, if/when these three strains get together and play King of the Mountain and collectively decide which strain will dominate? And what continent will they gather over, based on computer projections and our own gut?Comment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
Nuremberg (AP) several cases of bird flu were assessed in Nuremberg. In the concerned zone at the Woehrder lake and at the silver lake, a barrier district was arranged on Saturday how the city announced. The Nuremberg resident city zone was expelled as an observation zone. An infection with the H5N1-Virus was assessed with seven water birds: Five swans, a wild duck and a wild goose. Whether it concerns in the pathogen the hochpathogene H5N1-Virus, must rhyme examined become yet by the Friedrich-L?ffler-institute on the island.
At the concerned waters, warning signs were set up. Dogs are not supposed to be lined or grasped angeleint, water birds. The first bird flu-cases in Bavaria are this year.Comment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
louis posted this to the German Forum:
quarantine in N?rnberg
23. Juni 2007
after multiple birdflu-cases occurred in N?rnberg the town establishes
a quarantine area.
Examination of the state-health department confirmed
H5N1 in 7 waterfowls
says Hubertus Nerlich.
2 swans , found dead on Tuesday on W?hrder - lake
The others are a duck, a goose and 3 other swans
.....I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgTComment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
full translation of the report posted by Louis:
machine translation
Restricted area in N?rnberg
23. June 2007 After the occurance of of several cases of bird flu in N?rnberg the city furnishes a restricted area.
According to investigations of the national office for health and food security in the meantime Hubertus Nerlich is certain, on Saturday on request said with altogether seven water birds that they infected themselves with the H5N1-Erreger, like the director/conductor of the office for order.
Beside two swans, which were dead found on past Tuesday at the W?hrder lake, concern it with the animals concerned a duck, a goose and three further swans. , Whether it concerns with the virus the particularly dangerous variant, still said Nerlich is unclear.
The Kadaver was sent to more exact investigations to the Friedrich L?ffler institute on the island Riems. Final results are to be expected at the earliest Sunday afternoon.
In the restricted area 21 days apply long in a radius of approximately four kilometers around the W?hrder lake special regulations to poultry owners, in addition dogs at the line are to be led.
This happens as a precaution, in order to prevent a transmission of the exciter on utilizable poultry, avowed Nerlich.
credits Louis for the link?Addressing chronic disease is an issue of human rights ? that must be our call to arms"
Richard Horton, Editor-in-Chief The Lancet
~~~~ Twitter:@GertvanderHoek ~~~ GertvanderHoek@gmail.com ~~~Comment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
also this:
they confirmed H5N1 in Bavaria, I assume the final confirmation
from FLI isn't really needed.
babelfish - translation :
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Bird flu in Nuernberg - print city 23 June 2007 | 19:49 o'clock commentating | articles | article dispatching bird flu in Nuernberg - city furnishes restricted area - H5N1-Virus with seven water birds determined -- from Marina Antonioni -- For the first time for over one year again cases of bird flu in Bavaria arose. The national office for health and food security stated with seven water birds, which were dead discovered been in Nuernberg at the Woehrder lake and because of close weiher, that they infected themselves with the H5N1-Erreger. The city furnishes therefore a restricted area around the areas concerned, like the director/conductor of the office for order, Hubertus Nerlich, on Saturday on strip packing-inquires said. In addition Nuernberg is proven as observation area. Nuernberg (strip packing bay). For the first time for over one year again cases of bird flu in Bavaria arose. The national office for health and food security stated with seven water birds, which were dead discovered been in Nuernberg at the Woehrder lake and because of close weiher, that they infected themselves with the H5N1-Erreger. The city furnishes therefore a restricted area around the areas concerned, like the director/conductor of the office for order, Hubertus Nerlich, on Saturday on strip packing-inquires said. In addition Nuernberg is proven as observation area. With the animals infected with the bird flu it concerns five swans, a duck and a goose. , whether the particularly dangerous variant of the virus is present, still said Nerlich is unclear. The Kadaver was sent to more exact investigations to Friedrich Loeffler Friedrich-Loeffler-Institut on the island Riems. Final results are to be expected at the earliest Sunday afternoon. In the restricted area 21 days apply long in a radius of four kilometers around the discovery sites special regulations to poultry owners. Thus among other things the instruction applies to set up disinfection tubs and to lead no strangers into the stables. Dogs and cats may not run around in the restricted area freely. This happens as a precaution, in order to prevent a transmission of the exciter on utilizable poultry, said Nerlich. Public health authorities of the city Nuernberg pointed out expressly that it concerns with the bird flu an animal epidemic. Under normal conditions infect yourself humans only extremely rarely with bird flu viruses. During most illnesses with humans, which arose particularly in Asia, so far "only persons with very close contact were concerned to infected house poultry". In order to reduce the infection risk nevertheless to a minimum, public health authorities guessed/advised to touch or feed as precautionary measure no water birds. The speaker of the Department of the Environment, Roland squirrel, said, also in the past months a "permanent having eight-position" had prevailed with view of the bird flu in the Free State. To in the middle of June of this yearly already 544 game bird samples and 182 house poultry samples were examined. The H5N1-Virus was not proven so far yet. The last case goes back in the spring of the past yearly.I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgTComment
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Re: H5N1 suspected in dead swans in Germany
Southern Germany ... (neighboring) Czech Republic ... hmmmmmm ...?...when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth. - Sherlock HolmesComment
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