Tweet
Source: http://guancha.gmw.cn/content/2009-0...ent_880034.htm
Google translation:
Sporadic cases of avian flu were emerging: the outbreak of the El Nino is a precursor
Yang Xuexiang publish time :2009-01-19 11:26:27光明网- bright observation [Font: Xinhuanet]
Authors: Yang Xuexiang
The Beijing News (Reporter魏铭statement) briefing yesterday in Beijing Health Bureau, Beijing confirmed case of human infection of highly pathogenic avian influenza cases. The patient died January 5 [1].
Xinhua Taiyuan January 17 (Xinhua Gao Feng) press the evening of the 17th Shanxi Provincial Health Department informed indirectly, Shanxi confirmed case of human infection of highly pathogenic avian influenza cases [
2].
China Center for Disease Control deputy director of virus diseases, director of the Center for National Influenza舒跃龙researcher on the current general trend of human avian influenza speculation, the Chinese people will also be sporadic cases of bird flu continue to emerge. He disclosed that as of January 7 this year, including Beijing reported a case of confirmed bird flu deaths were included, the mainland of China has found that people diagnosed avian flu virus (H5N1) cases of 30 cases, 20 cases of death. The world's 15 countries confirmed cases of avian influenza virus were 393 cases, of which 248 cases of death, the fatality rate of more than 60% [3].
Comprehensive data years 1890-2004, we can get influenza pandemic 6 climate features: Madre at its borders during the cold phase; the previous year or the first two years of moderate intensity for more than La Nina years; 50-70 during the 20th century At the same time, China's strong sandstorm years; before and after a year or year for the cold summer in Northeast China year (50-70 during the 20th century at the same time as serious cold damage years); was more than moderate intensity for El Nino years; year sunspot Valley for years, or m peak in M, m-1-year, m +1 or M +1 years. 1889-1890 years, in 1900 ,1918-1919 ,1957-1958 1968-1969 and 1977 bird flu outbreak are to meet this condition 6, At the same time, since 1890 to meet this condition, only 6 more than 6 times the outbreak of [4-6].
2011,2015,2018-2019 was possible El Nino years ,2013-2014 ,2016-2017 was a possible La Nina years, the 2009 La Nina and El Nino may be converted in ,2011-2012 ,2018-2019 ,2022-2023 It is possible in the year sunspot extremum. Strengthen these years of earthquakes and bird flu prevention and monitoring is very important [4,6].
Did not happen in 2008 as a result of El Nino events, while La Nina events that occurred in the possibility of increased [7], so the outbreak of influenza will be postponed. We are in early 2008 pointed out that the El Niño events on the possibility of delayed [6].
1918-1919 ,1957-1958 1968-1969 is not just El Nino years, but also in sunspot maximum (peak), the influenza outbreak of intensity to become the largest in history against three major outbreak of influenza; 1900 and 1977 is not just El Nino years, but the minimum sunspot year (Valley), the influenza outbreak of the strength of small, which is often negligible.
2007-2008 for the sunspot minimum ,2011-2012 years was possible sunspot maximum years. We in the inventory in 2008, made the following comments: As the 2008 El Niño events have not occurred, the influenza outbreak may be deferred to the sunspot maximum in 2011 years, the intensity will増large. The 2009-2011 El Nino and La Nina events of concern [8].
El Niño events is a precursor to the outbreak of influenza. Concerned about the next El Niño events [9]!
References:
1.魏铭statement. Beijing one cases of confirmed human bird flu deaths. At 4:09 on January 7, 2009 Beijing News. http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2009-01-07/040916991099.shtml
2. Gao Feng. Shanxi confirmed case of human infection of highly pathogenic avian influenza cases. At 23:46 on January 17, 2009 Xinhuanet. http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2009-01-17/234617065828.shtml
3. Zeng Liming. Influenza Center, said China's human bird flu will be sporadic cases continue to emerge. At 19:28 on January 9, 2009 China News Network. http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2009-01-09/192817013244.shtml
4. Yang Dong-hong, Yang Xuexiang. Influenza pandemic the world's climate characteristics. Desert and oasis weather. 2007, (3) :1-8.
5. Yang Dong-hong, Yang Xuexiang. Australia and the Antarctic sea ice in summer snow three climatic switch. Geophysics progress. 2007,22 (5) :1680-1685.
6. Yang Xuexiang .2008 natural Prospects: continuing abnormal climate change. Published时间:2008-01-07 11:43:07光明网- bright observation. http://guancha.gmw.cn/content/2008-0...ent_719991.htm
7. Yang Xuexiang. U.S. weather experts forecast: next year, La Nina weather the possibility of forming larger. 2008-12-30 10:01:48 published in Science. http://www.sciencenet.cn/blog/user_c...aspx?id=207658
8. Yang Xuexiang. Inventory of global climate anomalies in 2008. 2008-12-21 9:24:37 published in Science. http://www.sciencenet.cn/blog/user_c....aspx?id=52064
9. Yang Xuexiang. Influenza information in 2009: Beijing one cases of confirmed human bird flu deaths. 2009-1-7 7:12:43 published in a scientific network. http://www.sciencenet.cn/blog/user_c...aspx?id=208931
Google translation:
Sporadic cases of avian flu were emerging: the outbreak of the El Nino is a precursor
Yang Xuexiang publish time :2009-01-19 11:26:27光明网- bright observation [Font: Xinhuanet]
Authors: Yang Xuexiang
The Beijing News (Reporter魏铭statement) briefing yesterday in Beijing Health Bureau, Beijing confirmed case of human infection of highly pathogenic avian influenza cases. The patient died January 5 [1].
Xinhua Taiyuan January 17 (Xinhua Gao Feng) press the evening of the 17th Shanxi Provincial Health Department informed indirectly, Shanxi confirmed case of human infection of highly pathogenic avian influenza cases [
2].
China Center for Disease Control deputy director of virus diseases, director of the Center for National Influenza舒跃龙researcher on the current general trend of human avian influenza speculation, the Chinese people will also be sporadic cases of bird flu continue to emerge. He disclosed that as of January 7 this year, including Beijing reported a case of confirmed bird flu deaths were included, the mainland of China has found that people diagnosed avian flu virus (H5N1) cases of 30 cases, 20 cases of death. The world's 15 countries confirmed cases of avian influenza virus were 393 cases, of which 248 cases of death, the fatality rate of more than 60% [3].
Comprehensive data years 1890-2004, we can get influenza pandemic 6 climate features: Madre at its borders during the cold phase; the previous year or the first two years of moderate intensity for more than La Nina years; 50-70 during the 20th century At the same time, China's strong sandstorm years; before and after a year or year for the cold summer in Northeast China year (50-70 during the 20th century at the same time as serious cold damage years); was more than moderate intensity for El Nino years; year sunspot Valley for years, or m peak in M, m-1-year, m +1 or M +1 years. 1889-1890 years, in 1900 ,1918-1919 ,1957-1958 1968-1969 and 1977 bird flu outbreak are to meet this condition 6, At the same time, since 1890 to meet this condition, only 6 more than 6 times the outbreak of [4-6].
2011,2015,2018-2019 was possible El Nino years ,2013-2014 ,2016-2017 was a possible La Nina years, the 2009 La Nina and El Nino may be converted in ,2011-2012 ,2018-2019 ,2022-2023 It is possible in the year sunspot extremum. Strengthen these years of earthquakes and bird flu prevention and monitoring is very important [4,6].
Did not happen in 2008 as a result of El Nino events, while La Nina events that occurred in the possibility of increased [7], so the outbreak of influenza will be postponed. We are in early 2008 pointed out that the El Niño events on the possibility of delayed [6].
1918-1919 ,1957-1958 1968-1969 is not just El Nino years, but also in sunspot maximum (peak), the influenza outbreak of intensity to become the largest in history against three major outbreak of influenza; 1900 and 1977 is not just El Nino years, but the minimum sunspot year (Valley), the influenza outbreak of the strength of small, which is often negligible.
2007-2008 for the sunspot minimum ,2011-2012 years was possible sunspot maximum years. We in the inventory in 2008, made the following comments: As the 2008 El Niño events have not occurred, the influenza outbreak may be deferred to the sunspot maximum in 2011 years, the intensity will増large. The 2009-2011 El Nino and La Nina events of concern [8].
El Niño events is a precursor to the outbreak of influenza. Concerned about the next El Niño events [9]!
References:
1.魏铭statement. Beijing one cases of confirmed human bird flu deaths. At 4:09 on January 7, 2009 Beijing News. http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2009-01-07/040916991099.shtml
2. Gao Feng. Shanxi confirmed case of human infection of highly pathogenic avian influenza cases. At 23:46 on January 17, 2009 Xinhuanet. http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2009-01-17/234617065828.shtml
3. Zeng Liming. Influenza Center, said China's human bird flu will be sporadic cases continue to emerge. At 19:28 on January 9, 2009 China News Network. http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2009-01-09/192817013244.shtml
4. Yang Dong-hong, Yang Xuexiang. Influenza pandemic the world's climate characteristics. Desert and oasis weather. 2007, (3) :1-8.
5. Yang Dong-hong, Yang Xuexiang. Australia and the Antarctic sea ice in summer snow three climatic switch. Geophysics progress. 2007,22 (5) :1680-1685.
6. Yang Xuexiang .2008 natural Prospects: continuing abnormal climate change. Published时间:2008-01-07 11:43:07光明网- bright observation. http://guancha.gmw.cn/content/2008-0...ent_719991.htm
7. Yang Xuexiang. U.S. weather experts forecast: next year, La Nina weather the possibility of forming larger. 2008-12-30 10:01:48 published in Science. http://www.sciencenet.cn/blog/user_c...aspx?id=207658
8. Yang Xuexiang. Inventory of global climate anomalies in 2008. 2008-12-21 9:24:37 published in Science. http://www.sciencenet.cn/blog/user_c....aspx?id=52064
9. Yang Xuexiang. Influenza information in 2009: Beijing one cases of confirmed human bird flu deaths. 2009-1-7 7:12:43 published in a scientific network. http://www.sciencenet.cn/blog/user_c...aspx?id=208931
Comment