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J Clin Med . Characterizing and Predicting Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS CoV-2 Infection (PASC) in a Large Academic Medical Center in the US

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
J Clin Med


. 2023 Feb 7;12(4):1328.
doi: 10.3390/jcm12041328.
Characterizing and Predicting Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS CoV-2 Infection (PASC) in a Large Academic Medical Center in the US


Lars G Fritsche[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Weijia Jin[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Andrew J Admon[SUP] 3 4 5 [/SUP], Bhramar Mukherjee[SUP] 1 2 4 6 [/SUP]



Affiliations
Free PMC article

Abstract

Background: A growing number of Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19) survivors are affected by post-acute sequelae of SARS CoV-2 infection (PACS). Using electronic health record data, we aimed to characterize PASC-associated diagnoses and develop risk prediction models.
Methods: In our cohort of 63,675 patients with a history of COVID-19, 1724 (2.7%) had a recorded PASC diagnosis. We used a case-control study design and phenome-wide scans to characterize PASC-associated phenotypes of the pre-, acute-, and post-COVID-19 periods. We also integrated PASC-associated phenotypes into phenotype risk scores (PheRSs) and evaluated their predictive performance.
Results: In the post-COVID-19 period, known PASC symptoms (e.g., shortness of breath, malaise/fatigue) and musculoskeletal, infectious, and digestive disorders were enriched among PASC cases. We found seven phenotypes in the pre-COVID-19 period (e.g., irritable bowel syndrome, concussion, nausea/vomiting) and sixty-nine phenotypes in the acute-COVID-19 period (predominantly respiratory, circulatory, neurological) associated with PASC. The derived pre- and acute-COVID-19 PheRSs stratified risk well, e.g., the combined PheRSs identified a quarter of the cohort with a history of COVID-19 with a 3.5-fold increased risk (95% CI: 2.19, 5.55) for PASC compared to the bottom 50%.
Conclusions: The uncovered PASC-associated diagnoses across categories highlighted a complex arrangement of presenting and likely predisposing features, some with potential for risk stratification approaches.

Keywords: Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19); electronic health records; phenome-wide association study; phenotype risk score; post-acute sequelae of SARS CoV-2 (PASC, long COVID, post-COVID conditions).
 
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