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Vaccine . Effectiveness of trivalent influenza vaccines against hospitalizations due to laboratory-confirmed influenza a in the elderly: Comparison

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Vaccine


. 2022 Jun 9;S0264-410X(22)00716-2.
doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.05.080. Online ahead of print.
Effectiveness of trivalent influenza vaccines against hospitalizations due to laboratory-confirmed influenza a in the elderly: Comparison of test-negative design with register-based designs


Jussi Halme[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Ritva K Syrjänen[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Ulrike Baum[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Arto A Palmu[SUP] 4 [/SUP]



Affiliations

Abstract

Introduction: Measuring influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) seasonally is important and has been conducted utilizing several observational study designs. The active test-negative design has been most widely used and the validity of passive register-based studies has been debated. We aimed to explore the potential differences, advantages, and weaknesses of different study designs in estimating influenza vaccine effectiveness.
Methods: We compared three study designs in estimating IVE against hospitalization in the elderly aged 65 years or more over three influenza seasons 2015/16, 2016/17 and 2017/18. Designs compared were active test-negative design (TND), register-based cohort design and register-based case-control design with different selection criteria for cases and controls.
Results: Adjusted IVE estimates for the three consecutive seasons 2015-18 in active test-negative design were 82% (95% confidence interval 26, 96), 21% (-179, 77), 15% (-113, 66). For case-control design, estimates from different analyses ranged in 2015/16 from 47% (-16, 76) to 52% (-48, 84), in 2016/17 from 10% (-42, 43) to 29% (-20, 58), and in 2017/18 from -27% (-91, 15) to 1% (-40, 30). In the cohort design, the adjusted IVE estimates were 48% (-9, 75), 29% (1, 49), 13% (-21, 37) for the three seasons.
Conclusions: The register-based cohort design produced results more concordant with the active test-negative design than the case-control design. Furthermore, the register-based cohort design yielded most precise estimates with narrower confidence intervals. In Finland with the availability of near real-time nationwide register data, the register-based cohort design is the method of choice to continue the annual surveillance of influenza vaccine effectiveness.

Keywords: Effectiveness; Elderly; Hospitalized; Influenza; Vaccine.
 
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