Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008 - 20th June 2008

[Giuseppe]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

Man, these suspect cases are popping up like wildfire, I wonder if this means that a pandemic is iniment?

If you take a brief tour into Indonesia Human Cases thread archive, you will see an enormous amount of reports about human cases, possible, probable, suspected and confirmed.

This is the 'normal' pace of case reporting rate.

A pandemic could start at every moment, but one should always be cautious to state that it is imminent or it is starting.

A statement like this competes to UN agencies (WHO, UN General Assembly or others). That one can do in the meantime, is - however - to continue media scan and try to find out a way to help the people involved.

I hope this is the case.

King Regards, IOH

[rymich13]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

Thank You, but it did say it might also be malaria.

[Commonground]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

rymich13, yes, I agree with ironorehopper. Please familiarize yourself with our wealth of data here at the site. You can go to the Indo Human Cases thread which is here, the Indo Poultry thread: http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=53669, and also the Indo General Information thread: http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...165#post158165. The main Indonesia section can be found here: http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=516

I hope you can get all the information you need

[Giuseppe]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

Thank You, but it did say it might also be malaria.

It is difficult to extrapolate conclusion from newswires rather confusing. But in the next few hours or days the situation will be more clear, with new pieces collected by media sources.

Indonesian archipelago experiences a widespread epizootics of H5N1 in poultry and animals and thus further human cases are anticipated.

IOH

[rymich13]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

Thank You. This sure one friendly place. Again I thank you for the warm infomation.

[Laidback Al]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

rymich13, since November of 2003 more than 380 human cases of H5N1 have been confirmed. That means there have been about 7 confirmed cases each month since 2003. However, the number fluctuates and there are more confirmed cases during the "flu season" of the temperate latitudes, and fewer cases in the off season. We are now heading into the off-season.

Because of variability in tracking and reporting of suspected cases from countries around the world, increases in suspected cases does not mean that the pandemic has started.

Several months ago in Egypt dozens of suspected human cases were reported every few days.

http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=26983

And in Thailand, where that has not been a confirmed H5N1 case since 2006, they routinely have many suspected human cases because they error on the side of caution.

http://thaigcd.ddc.moph.go.th/Bird_Flu_main_en.html

A pandemic could start at any moment, but one should always be cautious to state that it is imminent or it is starting.

This is good advice. And meanwhile, there is still time now to make personal and family preparations for a pandemic.

[Commonground]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

[This was posted yesterday, involving poultry die-off in South East Sulawesi]

The poultry died suddenly in Kendari, caused panic

The resident Street Lasolo Kecamatan Kendari west the Kendari-South-East Sulawesi City.
This afternoon (19/5/2008) damaged startled after dozens of chickens and birds of the resident's livestock died suddenly.
Jumrin as Chairman RT SETEMPAT at once contacted the Kendari service of City livestock breeding to inspect directly the location.
Because of the resident of panic, dozens of poultry direct in discarded to the time, because of the confused resident on this condition.
However a few moments later, the Peternakan Service joint team and the Health of the Kendari City arrived dilokasi.
Without for a prolonged period this team at once spread to carry out spraying around the location of the death of the poultry till the radius some hundred metre.

The team of the related service also carried out the resident's isolation, by collecting data on all the resident while distributing some prevention medicine terjangkit him the plague of bird flu.
From the data that was assembled by this joint team stated that the death of this poultry was positive bird flu, because of that poultry carcasses that were thrown away by the resident to the time, immediately were taken again to afterwards be stockpiled as well as burnt.
Kendari Mayor Ir. Asrun at once visited the territory that terjangkit bird flu.
The Asrun arrival to see directly the truth of information at the same time warned direct to the local resident to serious responded to this incident and followed all the prevention instructions and the stages handled early suspect bird flu

http://news.okezone.com/index.php/ReadStory/2008/05/19/1/110570/unggas-mati-mendadak-di-kendari-timbulkan-panik

[Gert van der Hoek]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

TT is out here, this short report from MetroTV gives some more details on the suspect patients from Kendari:

- a lot of chickens died suddenly, infected by bird flu;

- patients display bird flu symptoms, like "crowded breath".

- testresults pending.



LIMA WARGA KENDARI DIDUGA TERINFEKSI FLU BURUNG

Lima warga di Kelurahan Sanua, Kecamatan Kendari Barat, Kendari, Sulawesi Tenggara, diduga terinfeksi flu burung. Mereka terdiri dari empat anak dan seorang dewasa. Selasa (20/5), mereka dirawat di Rumah Sakit Umum Daerah Sulteng karena mengidap gejala mirip flu burung, batuk dan sesak nafas.

Sebelum dirawat di lingkungan pasien ditemukan banyak unggas mati mendadak dan diduga terinfeksi avian influenza. Sejauh ini tim dokter sudah mengambil sampel darah kelima pasien tersebut untuk diperiksa lebih lanjut.(**)

http://www.metrotvnews.com/berita.asp?id=59386

[Giuseppe]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

Indonesia has confirmed its 134th bird flu
Jakarta, May 14, 2008 - News Flash -

Test results from the Health Research and Development Center of the Ministry of Health and Eijkman Institute have confirmed that Isq, 15 year old girl from North Gandaria sub-district in South Jakarta was infected by H5N1 virus.

She had the symptoms of high fever, cough and faint.

She was admitted to Gandaria Hospital on May 8 2008, where she was then referred to Persahabatan Hospital on May 11 2008.

She died on May 12 2008.

Indonesia has now recorded 134 bird flu positive cases and 109 fatalities.
-

http://www.komnasfbpi.go.id/berita_eng.php?id=54

-----

[Gert van der Hoek]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

Previous report refers to (snip Jakarta Post):

Istiqomah, a 16-year-old girl from Jakarta, and her brother Ahmad Rizki. Istiqomah died on May 14, 10 days after Ahmad.

One of their family members, Alamsyah, 24, is still being treated at Persahabatan Hospital in East Jakarta for bird flu-like symptoms.



Note: KOMNAS FBI says Istiqomah died on May 12.

[Gert van der Hoek]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

Edit: this map and the table do not include the latest victim # 134 / # 109 (thanks to Commonground)


From Komnas FBPI this map:



H5N1 Confirmed Human Cases as of May 19, 2008

Cases: 133

Fatalities: 108






Province / No. of AI positive Human Cases /No. of Fatalities


1 West Java 33 27

2 DKI Jakarta 32 27

3 Banten 25 22

4 North Sumatera 8 7

5 East Java 7 5

6 Central Java 11 10

7 West Sumatera 4 1

8 Lampung 3 0

9 South Sulawesi 1 1

10 South Sumatera 1 1

11 Riau 6 5

12 Bali 2 2

Total 133 108

[Commonground]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

[On the 15th Supari says they are waiting for results from the lab. Yet, the confirmed case count is up by one. In the second article, which is dated the day before, confirms the results from the mentioned lab]


Post #155:

That not yet Confirmed

According to information from the Nasional Pengendalian Committee of Bird Flu and Menghadapi Pandemi Influenza Preparedness (Komnas FBPI), to Thursday (15/5), the cumulative number the positive case of bird flu in Indonesia reached 135 sufferers, and 110 people including dying.

Health Minister Siti Fadilah Supari said, specimen from the patient who it was suspected was infected by the bird flu virus was taken.
Specimen was checked in two laboratories of the Health of the Department's reconciliation, that is the Laboratory of Badan Litbang Kesehatan Department of Health and the Eijkman Agency.
"Not yet confirm, still was checked, in-sequencing again," Fadilah Supari words.

Indonesia has confirmed its 134th bird flu
Jakarta, May 14, 2008 - News Flash -

Test results from the Health Research and Development Center of the Ministry of Health and Eijkman Institute have confirmed that Isq, 15 year old girl from North Gandaria sub-district in South Jakarta was infected by H5N1 virus.

She had the symptoms of high fever, cough and faint.

She was admitted to Gandaria Hospital on May 8 2008, where she was then referred to Persahabatan Hospital on May 11 2008.

She died on May 12 2008.

Indonesia has now recorded 134 bird flu positive cases and 109 fatalities.
-
http://www.komnasfbpi.go.id/berita_eng.php?id=54

-----

[Ningtyas]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

[This was posted yesterday, involving poultry die-off in South East Sulawesi]

Because of the resident of panic, dozens of poultry direct in discarded to the time, because of the confused resident on this condition.

...because of that poultry carcasses that were thrown away by the resident to the time, immediately were taken again to afterwards be stockpiled as well as burnt...

No, it means that panic residents threw away dead chicken into the small river/ditch before reporting the case to the authority. The carcasses were taken again from the river later and be burnt and buried.

[Commonground]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

Post #191

Even a different case count here. As of the 19th, it's 133 with 108 fatal.

[Gert van der Hoek]

Re: Indonesia Human Cases - April 9, 2008+

Post #191

Even a different case count here. As of the 19th, it's 133 with 108 fatal.

Yes, thank you for pointing this out. This has happened before: updated map and updated table, however without the latest victim.