Re: Argentina Deaths Reported at 17?
(this is my opinion, fell free to move to another thread if this is not the place for it)
I think we will see much more deaths in South American and other developing countries than we have seen until now in North America and Europe. I don't think the death rate of the virus itself has changed (unless any mutation occurs), I think that the death rate for any disease is always higher in a developing or poor country. Hospitals and health care are usually a issue for these countries, specially to poor population without insurance plans... they might have to wait for days for treatment and this can be really mortal if they are not able to get medicines in time... if they are far for big cities is even worse (48hs... and tamiflu... that is really hard to get, tamiflu is a very expensive medicine for South Americans in general, I wouldn't be able to afford it, and I'm not exactly poor, I would have to rely on public health if I need some)... underlying conditions (sub-nutrition and others diseases) are also another factor. Argentina is facing a economic crises for sometime now... low levels of education is also another factor in most of these countries... many people are not able to understand what's going on because they don't have a clue how a virus works... some part of the population are not able to read or understand what they read... popular beliefs might create wrong ways of preventing the flu... some think that they get flu because they were exposed to cold weather, so they might close windows and doors and not change the air... a massive and well designed information would be a good thing, specially on tv and radio. We are facing winter here, Argentina and Chile had really cold weather this month... this can be a factor to watch... I'm overload in work to make this, but I guess it would be nice to see a map of temperatures and the H1N1 spreading... if anyone has time to do it I would love to see...