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China's dependence on foreign oil for the first time more than 50% of psychological defense
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Zhong Guangwang Beijing February 3 (Xinhuanet FENG Ya) The Voice of China, "Yang Guang news" 13:20 report, the National Energy Board data show that China's dependence on foreign oil has now reached 51.3% for the first time more than Public opinion holds that 50% of the psychological line of defense.
According to data released last month, Energy Bureau, China's 2009 production of 189 million tons of crude oil, net imports of crude oil has reached 199 million tons, which means that the oil used in China are more likely to need an import from abroad.
For the first time since 1993, became a net oil importer, China's dependence on foreign oil by 6% in the year soaring to 45% breakthrough in 2006, followed by 2 percentage points every year upward speed of about 2007 for the 47% in 2008 to 49% by 2009, more than 50% warning level.
Another statistics show that last year China produced 189 million tons of crude oil, is the first time in 28 years, production fell.
For China's crude oil output fell, one argument is that last year in the case of low international oil prices, China's oil producers artificially depressed its own production.
However, to be noted that China has an annual output of 180 million tons in the level of line wandering for many years, a certain sense, 180000000-190000000 t, it is already China's crude oil production peaks.
There are forecasts that, even if China did not artificially low yields last year, China's domestic crude oil production will not peak more than 200 million tons.
According to the end of 2008 approved the "National Mineral Resource Planning (2008 ~ 2015)" predicts that by 2020, China's crude oil import dependency will reach 60%.
Away in mid-release "energy blue book" is predicted that 10 years later, China's external dependence on crude oil will reach 64.5%.
for China, the biggest question is what kind of access to international oil price.
http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2010-02-03/140219621010.shtml
http://www.sina.com.cn 2010年02月03日14:02 中国广播网
http://www.sina.com.cn 2010 Nian 02 Yue 03 Ri 14:02 China Radio Network <!-- 正文内容 begin --><!-- google_ad_section_start --><!-- publish_helper name='原始正文' p_id='1' t_id='1' d_id='19621010' f_id='3' -->
中广网北京2月3日消息(记者冯雅)据中国之声《央广新闻》13时20分报道，国家能源局数据显示，我国原油对外依存度目前已经达到了51.3%，首次超过舆论认为的50%心理防线。
Zhong Guangwang Beijing February 3 (Xinhuanet FENG Ya) The Voice of China, "Yang Guang news" 13:20 report, the National Energy Board data show that China's dependence on foreign oil has now reached 51.3% for the first time more than Public opinion holds that 50% of the psychological line of defense.
根据能源局上个月公布的数据，中国2009年生产原油1.89亿吨，净进口原油却达到1.99亿吨，这也就是说，中国使用的石油有一多半需要从国外进口。
According to data released last month, Energy Bureau, China's 2009 production of 189 million tons of crude oil, net imports of crude oil has reached 199 million tons, which means that the oil used in China are more likely to need an import from abroad.
自从1993年首度成为石油净进口国以来，中国的原油对外依存度由当年的6%一路攀升，到2006年突破45%，其后每年都以2个百分点左右的速度向上攀升，2007年为47%，2008年为49%，到2009年突破50%警戒线。
For the first time since 1993, became a net oil importer, China's dependence on foreign oil by 6% in the year soaring to 45% breakthrough in 2006, followed by 2 percentage points every year upward speed of about 2007 for the 47% in 2008 to 49% by 2009, more than 50% warning level.
另有统计数字显示，去年中国生产原油1.89亿吨，是中国28年来首次出现产量下滑。
Another statistics show that last year China produced 189 million tons of crude oil, is the first time in 28 years, production fell.
对于中国原油产量的下降，一种说法是，去年在国际油价偏低的情况下，中国的石油生产者人为压低了自己的产量。
For China's crude oil output fell, one argument is that last year in the case of low international oil prices, China's oil producers artificially depressed its own production.
这在很大程度上主要是因为中国相当多油田出产的油品本身属于超稠重油，国际油价偏低时几乎没有开采的经济价值。
This was mainly due to a large extent, quite a lot of oil produced in China itself, are super-thick heavy oil, international oil prices, when almost no exploitation of low economic value. 但是要注意的是，中国已经在年产1.8亿吨水平线上徘徊多年，从某种程度上讲，1.8亿到1.9亿吨，就已经是中国原油产量的峰值。
However, to be noted that China has an annual output of 180 million tons in the level of line wandering for many years, a certain sense, 180000000-190000000 t, it is already China's crude oil production peaks.
有预测认为，即便中国在去年没有人为压低产量，中国国内原油峰值产量也不会超过2亿吨。
There are forecasts that, even if China did not artificially low yields last year, China's domestic crude oil production will not peak more than 200 million tons.
据2008年年底获批的《全国矿产资源规划(2008～2015)》预测，至2020年，中国原油对外依存度将达到60%。
According to the end of 2008 approved the "National Mineral Resource Planning (2008 ~ 2015)" predicts that by 2020, China's crude oil import dependency will reach 60%.
而去年年中发布的《能源蓝皮书》则预测，10年后中国的原油对外依存度将达到64.5%。
Away in mid-release "energy blue book" is predicted that 10 years later, China's external dependence on crude oil will reach 64.5%.
无论哪一种观点，都意味着中国的能源形势不容乐观。
No matter what kind of point of view, mean that China's energy situation is not optimistic. 目前这个问题在业界确实有些争议，有一种观点认为，象中国这么大的能源消费大国，在没有国际石油定价权的情况下，将如此之多的石油需求放在国际上，是非常不安全的。
At present this problem in the industry does have some controversy, there is a point of view, as China is so big energy consuming country, in the absence of the international oil pricing, will so much demand for oil on the international arena, is very insecure . 中国现在?一缺就是上亿吨?，能源缺口过大，对中国能源安全带来不确定因素。
China is now "a lack that is at 100 million tons," the energy gap is too large, on China's energy security has brought uncertainty. 但是也有专家认为，原油对外依存度超过50%就是警戒线，未免有点杞人忧天，因为我们的邻国，资源能源极度稀缺的日本，现在的原油对外依存度接近100%。
However, some experts believe that more than 50% dependence on foreign oil is a warning line, somewhat alarmist, because our neighbors, resources and energy is extremely scarce in Japan, now close to 100% dependence on foreign oil. 而且世界上绝大多数发达国家的原油对外依存度都比较高，韩国的原油对外依存度也超过90%。
And the vast majority of developed countries in the world's relatively high dependence on foreign oil, Korea's dependence on foreign oil also exceeded 90%. 即便是原油产量位居全球第三的美国，原油对外依存度也达到60%以上。
Even the third highest in the world crude oil production in the United States dependence on foreign oil has reached 60%. 因此，这种观点认为，世界并不缺油，对于中国来说，最大的问题只是以什么样的代价获得国际用油。
Therefore, this view, the world is not short of oil, for China, the biggest question is what kind of access to international oil price.
但是有一点确实有必要强调的是，刚才我们谈到，日本虽然原油对外依存度高企，但是日本的资本早就渗入到了世界各地的油源，在很大程度上日本可以对冲掉进口原油特别是在高价位时进口原油的代价，这一点，正是中国所缺少的。
But one thing really necessary to emphasize that we just talked about, while Japan is the high dependence on foreign oil, but Japan's capital has long been infiltrated into the oil sources around the world to a large extent can be obliterated the Japanese crude oil imports in particular, at high prices when the cost of imported crude oil, which is precisely China's lacking. 中国现在是买什么什么涨。
China is now what to buy what is up. http://news.sina.com.cn/c/2010-02-03/140219621010.shtml