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Citations alone were enough to predict favorable conclusions in reviews of neuraminidase inhibitors

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
J Clin Epidemiol. 2014 Oct 22. pii: S0895-4356(14)00385-0. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2014.09.014. [Epub ahead of print]
Citations alone were enough to predict favorable conclusions in reviews of neuraminidase inhibitors.
Zhou X1, Wang Y1, Tsafnat G1, Coiera E1, Bourgeois FT2, Dunn AG3.
Author information
Abstract
OBJECTIVES:

To examine the use of supervised machine learning to identify biases in evidence selection and determine if citation information can predict favorable conclusions in reviews about neuraminidase inhibitors.
STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING:

Reviews of neuraminidase inhibitors published during January 2005 to May 2013 were identified by searching PubMed. In a blinded evaluation, the reviews were classified as favorable if investigators agreed that they supported the use of neuraminidase inhibitors for prophylaxis or treatment of influenza. Reference lists were used to identify all unique citations to primary articles. Three classification methods were tested for their ability to predict favorable conclusions using only citation information.
RESULTS:

Citations to 4,574 articles were identified in 152 reviews of neuraminidase inhibitors, and 93 (61%) of these reviews were graded as favorable. Primary articles describing drug resistance were among the citations that were underrepresented in favorable reviews. The most accurate classifier predicted favorable conclusions with 96.2% accuracy, using citations to only 24 of 4,574 articles.
CONCLUSION:

Favorable conclusions in reviews about neuraminidase inhibitors can be predicted using only information about the articles they cite. The approach highlights how evidence exclusion shapes conclusions in reviews and provides a method to evaluate citation practices in a corpus of reviews.

Copyright ? 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
KEYWORDS:

Bibliometrics; Citation analysis; Evidence synthesis; Neuraminidase inhibitors; Reviews as a topic; Supervised machine learning

PMID:
25450452
[PubMed - as supplied by publisher]

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25450452
 
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