[h=1]Earthquake science explains why election polls were so wrong[/h] [h=2]A conversation with the man who predicted the 2016 election -- and every other presidential race since 1984.[/h]
Jessica Conditt ,
@JessConditt 9h ago in
Politics
...
Lichtman's prediction system
is founded on geophysics, using the fundamental ideas of earthquake science to predict social and political disruption. He created the Keys to the White House system with Vladimir Keilis-Borok, founder of the International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, in 1981.
Essentially, Lichtman and Keilis-Borok changed their thinking about elections. They applied geophysical terms to the process, getting rid of ideas like Democrat, Republican, liberal and conservative. Instead, they reinterpreted the system in terms of stability and upheaval....
