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Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

(2007 study)

Assessment of the Risk of Ebola Virus Transmission from Bodily Fluids and Fomites

Daniel G. Bausch1,2,
Jonathan S. Towner2,
Scott F. Dowell3,
Felix Kaducu4,
Matthew Lukwiya5,a,
Anthony Sanchez2,
Stuart T. Nichol2,
Thomas G. Ksiazek2 and
Pierre E. Rollin2
...
Discussion

We found EBOV to be shed in a wide variety of bodily fluids during the acute phase of illness, including saliva, breast milk, stool, and tears. In most cases, the infected bodily fluid was not visibly contaminated by blood. Of particular concern is the frequent presence of EBOV in saliva early during the course of disease, where it could be transmitted to others through intimate contact and from sharing food, especially given the custom, in many parts of Africa, of eating with the hands from a common plate. However, the isolation of EBOV from only 1 saliva specimen, in contrast to the 8 that were RT-PCR positive, could suggest that the virus is rapidly inactivated by salivary enzymes or other factors in the oral cavity that are unfavorable to virus persistence and replication. EBOV has been previously documented in saliva by RT-PCR, but no attempt was made to culture virus or to explore the temporal dynamics of virus shedding in that study [12]. Marburg virus, the other member of the Filoviridae family, has been isolated as well as detected by RT-PCR in saliva from a patient with a fatal case of Marburg hemorrhagic fever in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (authors' unpublished data). The higher mortality among patients with RT-PCR-positive saliva likely reflects increased virus shedding in patients with high viremia, which has been previously noted to be an indicator of a poor prognosis [9, 11].

The finding of EBOV in breast milk raises the possibility of direct mother-to-child transmission. In fact, breastfed children of both of the mothers whose milk was later tested in this study died of laboratory-confirmed EHF during early stages of the outbreak. The isolation of virus from breast milk in one case even after clearance from the blood suggests that transmission may occur even during convalescence. It is possible that the mammary gland, like the gonads [5] and chambers of the eye [13, 14], is an immunologically protected site in which clearance of virus is delayed. However, we cannot rule out that the finding simply represents residual EBOV secreted into the milk during the period of viremia but not expressed until some days later, since the patient was not actively breastfeeding during admission in the isolation ward, nor can we determine whether the detected EBOV was actually a component of the milk or, rather, was contained in accompanying macrophages. At any rate, it seems prudent to advise breastfeeding mothers who survive EHF to avoid breastfeeding for at least some weeks after recovery and to provide them with alternative means of feeding their infants.

The isolation of EBOV from semen 40 days after the onset of illness underscores the risk of sexual transmission of the filoviruses during convalescence. Zaire EBOV has been detected in the semen of convalescent patients by virus isolation (82 days) and RT-PCR (91 days) after disease onset [5, 14]. Marburg virus has also been isolated from the semen and linked conclusively to sexual transmission 13 weeks into convalescence [15].

The absence of EBOV infection in multiple tested urine specimens suggests that the virus may not be efficiently filtered in the kidney. Consequently, exposure to urine appears to be of low risk during both acute illness and convalescence. The absence of EBOV in the urine, low prevalence on the skin, and rapid clearance from the saliva in surviving patients provides some reassurance that the risk of secondary transmission from casual contacts, fomites, or the sharing of toilet facilities in the home after discharge from the hospital is minimal. This conclusion is supported by previous empirical observations [5, 6].

Abstinence from sex or the use of condoms during sex, as well as avoidance of breastfeeding and contact with the mucous membranes of the eye for at least 3 months after recovery, are still recommended to avoid possible exposure to EBOV in the aforementioned immunologically protected sites.

Other than in samples grossly contaminated with blood, EBOV was not found by any method on environmental surfaces and by RT-PCR on the skin of only 1 patient. These results suggest that environmental contamination and fomites are not frequent modes of transmission, at least in an isolation ward. However, the infectious dose of EBOV is thought to be low, and neither cell culture nor the RT-PCR assay used for EBOV in this study have not been extensively validated for use in environmental detection. Hence, the sensitivity and specificity are unknown. It is possible that EBOV was present in the environment below the threshold of detection or that environmental surfaces in the isolation ward were, at times, initially contaminated by EBOV but then decontaminated through the daily cleaning routine. However, many of the inanimate objects tested, such as bed frames and bedside chairs, would not routinely be specifically decontaminated with bleach solutions under existing guidelines unless they happened to be visibly contaminated [3], suggesting that environmental contamination did not occur. Taken together with empirical epidemiological observations during outbreaks, our results suggest that current recommendations for the decontamination of filoviruses in isolation wards [3] are effective. The risk from environmental contamination and fomites might vary in the household or other settings where decontamination would be less frequent and thorough, especially if linens or other household materials were to become visibly soiled by blood.

There was a significant discrepancy between the results of virus culture and RT-PCR testing in our study, with many more frequent positive results from RT-PCR. Possible explanations for this finding include virus degradation from breaks in the cold chain during sample collection, storage, and shipping; the greater sensitivity of RT-PCR relative to culture; and, in the case of the saliva specimens, possible virus inactivation by salivary enzymes. The less-than-ideal storage conditions of the specimens in the isolation ward immediately after acquisition and the fact that even the nasal blood from 1 patient was culture negative suggest that some virus degradation indeed occurred. Nevertheless, we cannot exclude the possibility of a true absence of viable virus in the original samples. We hope to be able to repeat this study in the future with better maintenance of the cold chain to resolve this question.

Taken together, our results support the conventional assumptions and field observations that most EBOV transmission comes from direct contact with blood or bodily fluids of an infected patient during the acute phase of illness. The risk of casual contacts with the skin, such as shaking hands, is likely to be low. Environmental contamination and fomites do not appear to pose a significant risk when currently recommended infection control guidelines for the viral hemorrhagic fevers are followed. Prospective studies with the collection of a greater number of clinical samples from patients at different stages of EHF, as well as environmental samples analyzed with an assay validated for EBOV detection in such samples, should be performed to confirm our results.
...
? 2007 by the Infectious Diseases Society of America

http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/content/196/Supplement_2/S142.full
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

I was surprised to read that the Ebola-Reston virus had at one point been transmitted via air in a research facility. This was an interesting read. I thought it would be generic, but, it was actually very interesting.
(Clearly, we are not seeing airborne transmission or the case rate would be much higher, but, I was under the impression that Ebola did not spread via air, unless Reston is perhaps that different?)
http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/pdf/fact-sheet.pdf
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

I was surprised to read that the Ebola-Reston virus had at one point been transmitted via air in a research facility. This was an interesting read. I thought it would be generic, but, it was actually very interesting.
(Clearly, we are not seeing airborne transmission or the case rate would be much higher, but, I was under the impression that Ebola did not spread via air, unless Reston is perhaps that different?)
http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/pdf/fact-sheet.pdf

It is important to understand that there are several varieties or subtypes of ebolaviruses that can cause Ebola Virus Disease in humans. As noted in the CDC fact sheet, Ebola-Reston has not caused any infections in humans, only other primates. The current Ebola outbreak in West Africa is apparently caused by the Zaire ebolavirus (link).
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion

Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion

I wanted to say that it was not my intention to in any way introduce politics into this discussion. In fact, one of the things that concerns me so much is the way that the epidemic is being politicized.
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

Lizw -

The reality is that whenever an infectious disease starts to spread rapidly throughout a population and kill people it becomes more than a public health issue. As more people become sick and die from an uncontrolled infectious disease, the outbreak becomes politicized because of the societal need to lay blame for the outbreak. Consequently, the conspiracy quotient of an uncontrollable disease outbreak and fear changes quickly. Politicization is always a component of a serious infectious disease outbreak.
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Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

It would be interested to summarize what we have learnt/seen from the Sawyer case regarding transmission of the current Ebola virus.

He must have been contagious on the whole trip. He was in areas meeting over 100 persons and obviously must have touched thing in the aeroplane and at the terminal; in Ghana, Togo and Nigeria.

The 21 incubation days is over so by now we must have seen all cases that he infected.

He has infected 12 persons; all who had direct contact with him but nobody else. There have not been any cases from Ghana or Togo or from the aeroplane. Correct?

So my conclusion would be that this Ebola virus is not transmitting in the air or via surfaces that are cleaned in a normal way. You can only get it if you have direct contact with an Ebola case or his fluids, and then it is very contentious.

What do you think?
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

While I agree that direct transmission appears to be limited to very close contact, I am extremely concerned that education of persons on the ground in the infected parts of Africa is not what we need. The graph you imported shows an alarming transmission rate. From my perspective the rate is staggering. Given the probably fairly close contact needed to transmit the disease and the number of already infected, then the obvious conclusion is that caring for the sick and burying the dead is being done in an unsafe manner. Lack of medical care, cultural expectations as well as bad information regarding 'cures', is pushing the numbers higher daily. I am horrified that the numbers show no sign of abating.....anywhere. Where and when is this going to end?

link to graph
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=226414

*caveat:
I do not expect to see any sustained transmission in either Europe or Northern America. However, if this scourge somehow was loosened in parts of Southeast Asia or, in some places in central and south America, then we could see another explosion in cases.
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

Translation google

Interview with Professor Songne Badjona on Ebola virus in Togo

Published Sunday, August 17, 2014 | Togo News
...
Professor, many people are wondering about the handling of money. Does money can be a source of transmission of the Ebola virus?

Professor Songne: Anything that passes through the sick person whether the patient himself, can transmit the disease. This is why we speak of direct or indirect contamination. Direct, when you come in contact with the patient or the patient's body. Indirect when you come in contact with the objects of the patient including money. At borders and airports, you may have noticed, all those who come into contact with the documents of people are wearing gloves. There are some wearing masks. This is a very beneficial health measure which limits a lot of things. We encourage all those who are at the borders or units where there is a lot of migration flows, to protect your hands and the orifices of the face by surgical masks to reduce the risk of contamination from these objects we just discussed. Especially not forget hand washing after touching a suspicious object
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http://news.alome.com/h/25681.html
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

Testing a suspect for Ebola

There are suspects coming up in many countries. They are being tested and the result is sometimes fast and sometimes it takes several days.

What kind of testing can be used in a small clinic and in a big hospital?

How reliable are these tests?
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

It would be interested to summarize what we have learnt/seen from the Sawyer case regarding transmission of the current Ebola virus.

He must have been contagious on the whole trip. He was in areas meeting over 100 persons and obviously must have touched thing in the aeroplane and at the terminal; in Ghana, Togo and Nigeria.

The 21 incubation days is over so by now we must have seen all cases that he infected.

He has infected 12 persons; all who had direct contact with him but nobody else. There have not been any cases from Ghana or Togo or from the aeroplane. Correct?

So my conclusion would be that this Ebola virus is not transmitting in the air or via surfaces that are cleaned in a normal way. You can only get it if you have direct contact with an Ebola case or his fluids, and then it is very contentious.

What do you think?

I agree that nothing has been observed indicating that ebola virus is becoming more infectious.
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

There have been several reported incidents of individuals testing negative for ebola, and later testing positive. What proportion of tests overall are showing negative in cases that are actually positive is unclear - that data has not been made available to us. The test may be insufficiently sensitive to detect a low viral load.

As with any tests, it would seem they are not 100% accurate.
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

If there has been undetected transmission in either Togo or Ghana it will become self evident within the next few weeks.
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

As regards if it has become more infectious, a good insight can be gained by the types of people that are falling ill.

Currently about 8% of those infected are health care workers. Health care workers are a very rare commodity in these countries.

A very high proportion of the remainder seem to be from close family members.

This seems to imply that it still needs very close contact.

There is however something else to remember. There is no need for me to tell any of you how it sheds, but it should be obvious that some people will shed and therefore spread more of the virus than others outside of a family or hospital setting.

For viruses that have the ability to spread only by direct physical contact there seems to be a sort of tipping point, based in part on its ability to get into a large enough body of the most promiscuous members of a society and/or a large enough body of those who have a certain amount of resistance to it but can still spread it... versus its incubation period. No doubt you are already aware of the problems it has caused by entering more populated areas and social groups that travel across borders.

Obviously the biggest risk at the moment therefore is probably a sex worker with a certain amount of resistance but still able to spread it. Likewise even slight increases in its incubation period, or at least a slower progression from its initial stages to that of needing health care could cause it to spread further and appear more infectious.

So in summary, it does not appear to be more infectious itself, yet, however there is some concern that it might be spreading so wide that it is finding enough of the correct members of society to spread faster and further. The virus isn't changing, the people who it is infecting though are changing.
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

The virus isn't changing, the people who it is infecting though are changing.

Dealing with an outbreak in a large city like Monrovia does seem like a new challenge.
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

https://twitter.com/YahooNews Yahoo News @YahooNews ? 2h
BREAKING: #Liberia's president declares curfew, quarantine of large slum amid mounting #Ebola death toll. @AP

So the roadblocks/patrols will go up around West Point. This will not end well.
 
Re: Ebola Transmission Discussion and More...

I fear that Liberia is vulnerable to another civil war, which could break out over the quarantene measures being put in place, espcially if many of the people still do not believe that ebola is real. I don't want to even imagine what would happen if fighting broke out during this outbreak. The movement of refugees alone would be disasterous for the region.
 
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