tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 Apr 21;26(8). doi: 10.3201/eid2608.201093. [Epub ahead of print]
Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time.
Ge Y, Sun S.
Abstract
We ran a simulation comparing 3 methods to calculate case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease using parameters described in previous studies. Case-fatality risk calculated from these methods all are biased at the early stage of the epidemic. When comparing real-time case-fatality risk, the current trajectory of the epidemic should be considered.
KEYWORDS:
2019 novel coronavirus disease; COVID-19; SARS; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; coronavirus disease; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; viruses; zoonoses
PMID:32315282DOI:10.3201/eid2608.201093
Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time.
Ge Y, Sun S.
Abstract
We ran a simulation comparing 3 methods to calculate case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease using parameters described in previous studies. Case-fatality risk calculated from these methods all are biased at the early stage of the epidemic. When comparing real-time case-fatality risk, the current trajectory of the epidemic should be considered.
KEYWORDS:
2019 novel coronavirus disease; COVID-19; SARS; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; coronavirus disease; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; viruses; zoonoses
PMID:32315282DOI:10.3201/eid2608.201093