tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Emerg Infect Dis
. 2021 Dec 2;28(1).
doi: 10.3201/eid2801.210780. Online ahead of print.
Transmission Dynamics of Large Coronavirus Disease Outbreak in Homeless Shelter, Chicago, Illinois, USA, 2020
Yi-Shin Chang, Stockton Mayer, Elizabeth S Davis, Evelyn Figueroa, Paul Leo, Patricia W Finn, David L Perkins
Abstract
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has the potential for rapid transmission in congregate settings. We describe the multidisciplinary response to an outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in a large homeless shelter in Chicago, Illinois, USA. The response to the outbreak included 4 rounds of mass PCR testing of all staff and residents and subsequent isolation of persons who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. We further describe the dynamics of the shelter outbreak by fitting a modified susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered compartmental model incorporating the widespread SARS-CoV-2 testing and isolation measures implemented in this shelter. Our model demonstrates that rapid transmission of COVID-19 in the shelter occurred before the outbreak was detected; rates of transmission declined after widespread testing and isolation measures were put in place. Overall, we demonstrate the feasibility of mass PCR testing and isolation in congregate settings and suggest the necessity of prompt response to suspected COVID-19 outbreaks in homeless shelters.
Keywords: COVID-19; Chicago; Illinois; SARS-CoV-2; SEIR model; United States; congregate setting; coronavirus disease; homeless shelter; reproductive number; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; transmission dynamic; viruses; zoonoses.
. 2021 Dec 2;28(1).
doi: 10.3201/eid2801.210780. Online ahead of print.
Transmission Dynamics of Large Coronavirus Disease Outbreak in Homeless Shelter, Chicago, Illinois, USA, 2020
Yi-Shin Chang, Stockton Mayer, Elizabeth S Davis, Evelyn Figueroa, Paul Leo, Patricia W Finn, David L Perkins
- PMID: 34856112
- DOI: 10.3201/eid2801.210780
Abstract
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has the potential for rapid transmission in congregate settings. We describe the multidisciplinary response to an outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in a large homeless shelter in Chicago, Illinois, USA. The response to the outbreak included 4 rounds of mass PCR testing of all staff and residents and subsequent isolation of persons who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. We further describe the dynamics of the shelter outbreak by fitting a modified susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered compartmental model incorporating the widespread SARS-CoV-2 testing and isolation measures implemented in this shelter. Our model demonstrates that rapid transmission of COVID-19 in the shelter occurred before the outbreak was detected; rates of transmission declined after widespread testing and isolation measures were put in place. Overall, we demonstrate the feasibility of mass PCR testing and isolation in congregate settings and suggest the necessity of prompt response to suspected COVID-19 outbreaks in homeless shelters.
Keywords: COVID-19; Chicago; Illinois; SARS-CoV-2; SEIR model; United States; congregate setting; coronavirus disease; homeless shelter; reproductive number; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; transmission dynamic; viruses; zoonoses.