Hurricane and Tropical Storm Warnings - Season 2026-27

[Commonground]

Tropical Storm Rachel Public Advisory​

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rachel Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026
1200 PM CST Mon Sep 28 2026

...RACHEL CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 101.5W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Coast of southwestern Mexico from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Coast of southwestern Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo
Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rachel was
located near latitude 14.0 North, longitude 101.5 West. Rachel is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A continued
west-northwestward motion at a faster forward speed are expected
for the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Rachel
is expected to move parallel to, but stay offshore of, the coast of
southwestern Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next few days,
and Rachel is forecast to become a hurricane by mid-week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm
Warning area by Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible
within the Tropical Storm Watch area by Tuesday night or Wednesday.

RAINFALL: Rachel is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across coastal
portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán and Colima.
This rainfall may produce flooding and mudslides, especially in
areas of steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf

SURF: Swells generated by Rachel will begin affecting portions of
southern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP3+shtml/281733.shtml

 

[Commonground]

Hurricane Nolo Public Advisory​

BULLETIN
Hurricane Nolo Intermediate Advisory Number 32A
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM HST Mon Sep 28 2026

...CONDITIONS TO RAPIDLY DETERIORATE NEAR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 162.8W
ABOUT 500 MI...810 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 420 MI...670 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...929 MB...27.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihoa to
French Frigate Shoals.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36
hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch may be required for additional portions of the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument later today.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM HST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located
near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 162.8 West. Nolo is moving
toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the
northwest is forecast later today, with a turn toward the north
expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Nolo will
remain well southwest and west of the main Hawaiian Islands but will
approach the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Nolo is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. A gradual weakening trend is likely to begin
tonight, followed by faster weakening through the middle of the
week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 929 mb (27.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning
area in the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument by Wednesday,
with Tropical Storm conditions likely by Tuesday.

SURF: Swells generated by Nolo will affect south-facing shores of
the main Hawaiian Islands for the next few days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Large surf associated with Nolo will affect the Papahanaumokuakea
Marine National Monument beginning later today. These large waves
will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls, especially from
French Frigate Shoals to Nihoa. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/HFOTCPCP2+shtml/281745.shtml

 

[Commonground]

Atlantic

Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Rachel

 

[Commonground]

Tropical Storm Hanna Public Advisory​

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hanna Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082026
500 AM AST Tue Sep 29 2026

...HANNA HOLDS STEADY WHILE MAINTAINING AN EAST-SOUTHEAST TRACK...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.2N 46.2W
ABOUT 1085 MI...1745 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1080 MI...1740 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hanna was
located near latitude 35.2 North, longitude 46.2 West. Hanna is
moving toward the east-southeast near 15 mph (24 km/h) and and this
motion is forecast to continue over the next day or two followed by
a turn to the east-northeast.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Small intensity fluctuations are forecast during the next couple of
days. Hanna is likely to become a post-tropical cyclone by the
latter part of this week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/290838.shtml

 

[Commonground]

Hurricane Polo Public Advisory​

BULLETIN
Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026
200 AM MST Tue Sep 29 2026

...POLO LASHING BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING...
...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE IN SONORA EARLY THIS
MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 111.9W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM WNW OF LORETO MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSW OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The hurricane warning along the west coast of Baja California Sur
south of Puerto Cortes has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of Baja California Sur, from Punta Abreojos to Puerto
Cortes
* East coast of Baja California Sur, from Loreto to Bahia San Juan
Bautista
* Mainland Mexico from Bahia Kino to Huatabampito

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to
Punta Eugenia
* East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San
Evaristo
* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to
Punta Eugenia.
* East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San
Evaristo.
* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next
12 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should have
already been completed.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
next 12 hours.

Interests in the remainder of Sonora and northern Sinaloa should
monitor the progress of Polo.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located
near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 111.9 West. Polo is moving
toward the northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue along with a significant acceleration this
morning. On the forecast track, the core of Polo will continue
moving across Baja California Sur for another few hours tonight,
then move inland over southern Sonora late this morning.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some slight additional weakening is forecast
during the next couple of hours while the center is over Baja
California Sur, but Polo is still expected to be a hurricane when it
makes its second landfall in mainland Mexico. Rapid weakening is
forecast on Tuesday when Polo moves well inland over mainland
Mexico.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.

WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue across Baja California Sur
in the warning area during the next several hours, and these
conditions are possible in the watch area for another few hours. In
mainland Mexico, hurricane conditions are expected in the warning
area and possible in the watch area this morning.

A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of southern New Mexico and
far western Texas where strong gusty winds are possible late Tuesday
and Tuesday night in association with Polo’s remnants. Refer to
products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
Office for additional information.

RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 6 to 12
inches across portions of Baja California Sur. Rainfall totals of 4
to 6 inches with maximum totals of 8 inches is expected across
southern and central portions of Sonora. This rainfall may produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of
steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf

SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal
flooding in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will
be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF: Swells generated by Polo will affect portions of the coast of
the Baja California peninsula and northwestern Mexico during the
next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please consult products
from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 500 AM MST.
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP2+shtml/290857.shtml

 

[sharon sanders]

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 291443
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026
800 AM MST Tue Sep 29 2026

...POLO ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR GUAYMAS MEXICO...
...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING IN THE LANDFALL AREA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 110.9W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM S OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM NNE OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings for the west
coast of Baja California Sur. The Government of Mexico has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for the east
coast of Baja California Sur from Loreto to Santa Rosalia, and has
discontinued all other watches and warnings on the east coast of
Baja California Sur.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mainland Mexico from Bahia Kino to Huatabampito

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East coast of Baja California Sur from Loreto to Santa Rosalia
* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the next few
hours

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case in the next several hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests in the remainder of Sonora and northern Sinaloa should
monitor the progress of Polo.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located
near latitude 27.8 North, longitude 110.9 West. Polo is moving
toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue with an increase in forward speed today. On
the forecast track, the core of Polo will move inland over southern
Sonora near Guaymas during the next few hours and cross portions of
northwestern Mexico this afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall.
Rapid weakening is expected after landfall as the center crosses
northwestern Mexico.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km). The Mexican Navy automated station in Guaymas recently
reported a wind gust of 52 mph (84 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area and
possible in the watch area during the next few hours. Hurricane and
tropical storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico
near the center of Polo this afternoon.

A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of southern New Mexico and
far western Texas where strong gusty winds are possible late today
and tonight in association with Polo’s remnants. Refer to products
issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office for
additional information.

RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6
inches across southern and central portions of Sonora with isolated
maximum totals of 8 inches. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall
is expected across Baja California Sur. This rainfall may produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of
steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf

SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal
flooding in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will
be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF: Swells generated by Polo will continue to affect portions of
the coast of the Baja California peninsula and northwestern Mexico
during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1100 AM MST.
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP2+shtml/291443.shtml