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Hurricane Sandy: at least 69 deaths in the Caribbean, 113 in U.S., 2 in Canada

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Source: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/252035.shtml

HURRICANE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
500 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SANDY EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND AND NEW YORK
HARBOR...
...WILL BRING COASTAL HURRICANE WINDS AND HEAVY APPALACHIAN SNOWS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 71.3W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM SSE OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM SURF CITY
NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* BERMUDA

IN ADDITION...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE COAST BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.
THIS INCLUDES THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND TO SMITH POINT...
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE BAY...AND THE COASTS
OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY
AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND RHODE ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF CHATHAM TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND
SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN
ENDPOINT OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

OTHER COASTAL AND INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THESE AREAS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST. SANDY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING. A TURN TO THE NORTH AND
THEN THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SANDY IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SANDY IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A FRONTAL OR WINTERTIME
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HOWEVER...THIS TRANSITION
WILL NOT BE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM...AND IN FACT
A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS PROCESS. SANDY IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER MOVING INLAND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
520 MILES...835 KM. AN AUTOMATED STATION AT CAPE HATTERAS RECENTLY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 48 MPH...78 KM/H...WITH A GUST TO 60
MPH...96 KM/H...AND A STATION AT DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 47 MPH...76
KM/H...WITH A GUST TO 59 MPH...94 KM/H. A BUOY NEAR THE MOUTH OF
THE CHESAPEAKE BAY RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH...
83 KM/H...WITH A GUST TO 59 MPH...94 KM/H.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OVER COASTAL
NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER
TODAY...AND REACH LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY MONDAY
MORNING. WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE COULD REACH THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...BY LATE MONDAY.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING
DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE...

NC NORTH OF SURF CITY INCLUDING PAMLICO/ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...4 TO 6 FT
SE VA AND DELMARVA INCLUDING LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 3 FT
LONG ISLAND SOUND...RARITAN BAY...AND NEW YORK HARBOR...6 TO 11 FT
ELSEWHERE FROM OCEAN CITY MD TO THE CT/RI BORDER...4 TO 8 FT
CT/RI BORDER TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF CAPE COD INCLUDING BUZZARDS
BAY AND NARRAGANSETT BAY...3 TO 6 FT
CAPE COD TO THE MA/NH BORDER INCLUDING CAPE COD BAY...2 TO 4 FT
MA/NH BORDER TO THE U. S./CANADA BORDER...1 TO 3 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
GIVEN THE LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY...ELEVATED WATER
LEVELS COULD SPAN MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES RESULTING IN REPEATED AND
EXTENDED PERIODS OF COASTAL AND BAYSIDE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...
ELEVATED WATERS COULD OCCUR FAR REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF SANDY.
FURTHERMORE...THESE CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR REGARDLESS OF WHETHER
SANDY IS A TROPICAL OR POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. FOR INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...INCLUDING THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS EXPECTED IN
THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA TO THE KENTUCKY BORDER...
WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE
NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE BORDER.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA THROUGH
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND SPREAD INTO
THE NORTHEASTERN STATES LATER TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

StormCentral 2012


<!-- START: PRELOAD LARGE SATELITTE IMAGE --><!-- END: PRELOAD LARGE SATELITTE IMAGE -->
Satellite image of Sandy.

Download here (Credit: NOAA)


EVENT: Sandy

Last update: 10/27/2012

Latest news on Sandy


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NOAA Tropical Storm/Hurricane Resources and Information
Get updates on social media
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​


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Be ready! Hurricane preparedness information
...
http://www.noaa.gov/stormcentral/
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

CBS/AP/ October 28, 2012, 6:26 PM

Hurricane Sandy: Experts see record "destruction potential" in storm surges

...
Louis Uccellini, environmental prediction chief for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, told The Associated Press that given Sandy's due east-to-west track into New Jersey, that puts the worst of the storm surge just north in New York City, Long Island and northern New Jersey.
"Yes, this is the worst case scenario," he said.

In a measurement of pure kinetic energy, NOAA's hurricane research division on Sunday ranked the surge and wave "destruction potential" for Sandy ? just the hurricane, not the hybrid storm it will eventually become ? at 5.8 on a 0 to 6 scale. The damage expected from winds will be far less, experts said. Weather Underground meteorologist Jeff Masters says that surge destruction potential number is a record and it's due to the storm's massive size.

More...

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-201_162...record-destruction-potential-in-storm-surges/
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Stay out of the way of storm surge
It's the deadliest threat from hurricanes and tropical storms

Powerful winds aren't the only deadly force during a hurricane. The greatest threat to life actually comes from the water - in the form of storm surge.

Storm surge is water from the ocean that is pushed toward the shore by the force of the winds swirling around the hurricane. This advancing surge combines with the normal tides and can increase the water level by 30 feet or more.

Storm surge combined with waves can cause extensive damage. It can severely erode beaches and coastal highways. The pounding waves can take out boats and buildings. As the waters move inland, rivers and lakes may be affected, and add to the rising flood levels.
While we can't prevent storm surge, we do have a system that can warn us of the incoming threat.

As a hurricane develops over the open ocean, forecasters at the National Hurricane Center closely monitor its path to evaluate the risk of a coastal strike.

They use a computer model called SLOSH to predict storm surge heights. The model depends critically on the hurricane's track, intensity, and size.
SLOSH uses water depths, land elevations, and barriers to the flow of water to compute surges as they move inland. This data helps determine which areas may need to be evacuated.

When a hurricane slams our coast, it's important to be aware of all the dangers. As a reminder, emergency managers want us to run from the water and hide from the wind. Don't take unnecessary risks during a storm. Conditions can change in the blink of an eye.

Storm surge is a dangerous event during a hurricane, where furious winds are driving deadly flows of water from our seas to our shores.

VIDEO:
http://oceantoday.noaa.gov/hurricanestormsurge/
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

New Jersey

Governor Christie: Don't Be Stupid, Get Out

Sunday, October 28, 2012

<IFRAME height=360 src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/5hpxj6BD8So" frameBorder=0 width=640 allowfullscreen></IFRAME>

http://www.nj.gov/governor/news/news/552012/approved/20121028h.html
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

10/28/2012 @ 5:58PM
Hurricane Sandy: Rare NYSE Closure Monday For Damaging Storm

The NYSE will close its trading floor tomorrow, the first weather-related closure in 27 years, as Hurricane Sandy barrels down on Manhattan.

Trading on the Big Board will shift to the NYSE Arca exchange, which is not based near New York, says NYSE spokesman Ray Pellecchia. The NYSE opened the day after Hurricane Irene?s Sunday arrival last year: This time, the major difference is that Hurricane Sandy will hit on a Monday, and transportation will stay offline, Pellechia says.
...
http://www.forbes.com/sites/abrambrown/2012/10/28/nyse-to-shut-trading-hurricane-sandy/
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Ontario -


<TABLE id=ctl03_Alert border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="BACKGROUND-IMAGE: url(/images/eia_bg.gif)" id=ctl03_H_id class=topSignsLeft height=35>ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS </TD></TR><TR><TD style="BORDER-LEFT: rgb(255,231,131) 12px solid; PADDING-LEFT: 8px; PADDING-RIGHT: 8px; COLOR: black; BORDER-RIGHT: rgb(255,231,131) 12px solid" id=ctl03_I_id class=bggrad>ONTARIANS SHOULD PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL IMPACT OF HURRICANE SANDY

Eastern and southern Ontario should prepare for the potential impact of Hurricane Sandy, which may include high winds, heavy rainfall and possible flooding, which may result in road closures and power failure.

Objects that can be blown away by wind such as garbage lids, outdoor furniture and Halloween decorations should be brought inside or secured to prevent additional damage or personal injury.

Information on preparing for an emergency is available on the Emergency Management Ontario (EMO) website.
Ontarians are advised to pay attention to the television and radio for the latest storm information.

Updates will also be posted on the EMO website.
EMO continues to monitor the situation. Sign up for Emergency Alerts here

Useful Websites:
Emergency Management Ontario
Environment Canada
The Canadian Red Cross
The Weather Network
MNR Floods
MTO Road Conditions



</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
http://www.emergencymanagementontario.ca/english/home.html
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Wary airlines preemptively ax 6,800 flights as Sandy nears

Ben Mutzabaugh, USA TODAY

October 28. 2012 - Updated at 7:46 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 28, 2012
Hurricane Sandy is still more than 24 hours away from making landfall in the U.S. Northeast, but already travelers from from Hawaii to Europe and Asia are feeling the storm's wrath.

Airlines have preemptively canceled nearly 7,000 flights in advance of the storm, affecting not only big U.S. airlines like United and Southwest but also international carriers such as Qatar Airways and Lufthansa.

Flight operations will grind to a trickle -- if not an outright halt -- tomorrow (Oct. 29) at major airports like New York JFK, Newark Liberty, Philadelphia and Washington Dulles as Sandy nears.

The thousands of preemptively grounded flights include many domestic routes, everything from New York-Los Angeles transcontinental flights to short hops connecting cities such as Washington and Harrisburg, Pa., or Philadelphia and Ithaca, N.Y. Even Hawaiian Airlines' New York-Honolulu nonstop flight has succumbed to the weather.

More...
http://www.usatoday.com/story/todayinthesky/2012/10/26/sandy-airline-flights/1660875/
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Watches and warnings issued - Large storm could bring strong winds, flooding and extensive power outages to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

<TABLE border=0 borderColor=#ffffff cellPadding=0 width="98%" bgColor=#ffffff align=center height=24><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=#ffffff height=24 borderColor=#ffffff>Winds Increasing and Tides Rising as Sandy Beings to Affect the Area
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION FOR SANDY
Follow NWS New York NY on Twitter
In Other News...



</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!-- begin map code -->

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/okx/


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
755 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
SANDY...WHOSE CENTER WAS LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH OF NEW
YORK CITY AT 2 PM SUNDAY...WILL TURN NORTHWEST AND INTENSIFY
BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON THE NEW JERSEY COAST MONDAY EVENING.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN CONDITIONS
WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...WITH PROLONGED
MAJOR IMPACTS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...INCLUDING DAMAGING
WINDS TO HURRICANE FORCE...LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE...AND
FLOODING RAINS. THE STORM WILL WEAKEN JUST WEST OF THE REGION
STARTING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...

-- Changed Discussion --
TWEAKED TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS TO MATCH OBSERVATIONS. FORECAST
GENERALLY ON TRACK.

NE WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS REACHING
40 MPH IN NYC METRO AND ALL COASTAL AREAS...AND NEARING 50 MPH ON
THE SOUTH SHORE OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. RADAR SHOWS SOME SPOTTY
LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE ACROSS ERN LONG ISLAND AND CENTRAL NJ
ATTM...WHICH SHOULD LIFT NORTH INTO THE REST OF THE CWA THIS
EVENING. STEADIER RAINS STILL WELL TO THE SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHERN NJ
AND DELMARVA UNLIKELY TO MAKE IT IN UNTIL WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S AND 50S.
-- End Changed Discussion --


&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS SANDY MOVES NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST...AND TRANSITIONS FROM A
HURRICANE TO A SEVERE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE LANDFALL...IT
WILL INTENSIFY AND ITS WIND FIELD WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND...WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40-50 MPH EXPECTED BY LATE MON AFTERNOON AND
45-55 MPH MON EVENING. GFS/NAM/ECMWF ALL IN PRETTY CLOSE AGREEMENT
ON DEVELOPMENT AND PLACEMENT OF A BAND OF VERY STRONG 925 MB WINDS
OF 70-90 KT TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER OUR
CWA...ESPECIALLY COASTAL SECTIONS. FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW ENOUGH OF A
SFC-BASED MIXED LAYER UP TO 925 MB THAT COULD ALLOW A LARGE
PORTION OF THESE STRONG WINDS TO MIX DOWN...ESPECIALLY IN HEAVIER
RAIN BANDS...SO AT LEAST OCCASIONAL GUSTS 60-75 MPH EXPECTED IN
NE-E FLOW BEFORE THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL.

OF EVEN GREATER CONCERN IS A SECOND BAND OF FCST 925 MB WINDS OF
SIMILAR STRENGTH ON THE SE FLANK OF THE CYCLONE THAT SHOULD ROTATE
UP INTO LONG ISLAND...SOUTHERN CT AND POSSIBLY NYC METRO DURING
AND JUST AFTER LANDFALL. STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN THIS
QUADRANT OF THE STORM AS LOW LEVEL CAA BEGINS FROM THE SOUTHEAST
COULD LEAD TO EVEN MORE EFFICIENT MOMENTUM TRANSFER DURING THE
EVENING...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH SHORES
OF LONG ISLAND AND CT WHERE WINDS COULD GUST TO 85-90 MPH. THERE
MAY BE A LOW END TORNADO THREAT ACROSS EASTERN CT/LONG ISLAND
DURING THIS TIME VIA STRONG LOW LEVEL HELICITY AND DEVELOPMENT OF
MARGINAL LOW LEVEL CAPE...NOT ENOUGH FOR THUNDER INITIALLY BUT
ENOUGH FOR LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION THAT COULD STRETCH ROTATING UPDRAFTS
AND/OR TAP INTO HIGHER MOMENTUM ALOFT.

THE COMBINATION OF EVENT DURATION...SATURATED GROUNDS...AND
PARTIAL TO NEARLY FULL TREE CANOPIES...WOULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD
DOWNING OF TREES AND POWER LINES...CAUSING DISRUPTION TO POWER AND
POSSIBLY TRANSIT FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL IMPACTS...DETAILED IN THE TIDES AND COASTAL
FLOODING SECTION.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS THE
STORM INTERACTS WITH INTENSE JET/SHORTWAVE ENERGY...WITH 2 TO 6
INCHES RAINFALL POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME. THINKING THE HIGHEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS NYC METRO AND NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY...CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...AND IN/NEAR UPSLOPE
AREAS OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS VIA STRONG OROGRAPHIC LIFT. SEE THE
HYDROLOGY SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS...AS THE
EXACT TIMING...PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF THE STORM AS IT
APPROACHES AND MAKES LANDFALL WILL DETERMINE THE SEVERITY OF
IMPACTS IN PARTICULAR LOCATIONS. ALSO...REFER TO THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST TRACK AND FORECASTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MODEL CONSENSUS TAKES THE STACKED...CLOSED REMNANT LOW OF SANDY
FROM THE INTERIOR NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC REGION SLOWLY NORTH AND
EAST ACROSS THE UPSTATE OF NEW YORK AND INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES BY THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUALLY
DISSIPATING S/SW FLOW...STILL BREEZY AT THE ONSET OF THE PERIOD
TUE NIGHT INTO WED. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY BY THE END OF
THE WEEK AS THE LOW PASSES TO THE NORTH AND SENDS A TROF/WEAK COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE AREA THU.

SHOWERS TUE NIGHT WILL TRANSITION INTO INSTABILITY SHOWERS FOR
WED AND THU DUE TO A DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLD TEMP ALOFT. THERE
WILL BE PLENTY OF CLOUDS DURING THIS TIME.

THE COMBINATION OF THE CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS WILL KEEP DAYTIME
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S WED AND THU...SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. MORE SUN WILL FOLLOW FOR FRI AND SAT...BUT CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY COOL AS A DRY AIR MASS FILTERS IN ON A GUSTY
NW FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

-- Changed Discussion --
A DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE TERMINALS TONIGHT
AND MONDAY WITH INCREASING WINDS AND DETERIORATING CONDITIONS.

WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. GENERALLY
LOOKING AT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF
PERIOD. SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS INCREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
AND INTO MONDAY. GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 40-50 KT GUSTS BY
12Z...AND REACH 60 PLUS KTS BY 18Z. A FEW GUSTS OVER 70KT CAN NOT
BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY AT COASTAL TERMINALS.

HIGH CONFIDENCE IN MVFR CIGS OVERNIGHT...WITH IFR CONDITIONS
BECOMING LIKELY DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL
GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAIN
DEVELOPING DURING THE DAYTIME ON MONDAY.

WINDS SPEEDS AROUND 2000 FT ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
70-80KT...HOWEVER THE INCREASING SURFACE WINDS WILL MAKE LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR MINIMAL.

.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
.MON NIGHT-TUE...NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASES TO IN EXCESS OF 40-50 KT
LIKELY...WITH GUSTS POSSIBLE OF 70 KT BY MON EVE INTO MON NGT.
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WITH IFR CONDITIONS. WIND VEERS TO
SOUTHEAST BY TUE AM AND GRADUALLY LOWER WITH GUSTS TO 60KT
LOWERING TO 40 KT BY EVENING.
.WED-THU...MVFR CONDS WITH SHOWERS. WIND WSW 20KT BECOMING NW
FRIDAY.
-- End Changed Discussion --


&&

.MARINE...
SANDY...A DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY STORM...WILL AFFECT THE
WATERS MON-TUE. HURRICANE WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.

HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT GALE CONDITIONS WILL BE MET BY EVENING ALL
WATERS...INCREASING TO STORM FORCE LATE TONIGHT INTO MON
MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE MON AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

SEAS WILL GREATLY INCREASE SUNDAY WITH THE STRONG WINDS...WITH
25-35 FT OCEAN SEAS POSSIBLE BY MON NIGHT. SEAS UP TO 14 FT
EXPECTED ON THE SOUND.

CONDS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE INTO MID WEEK AS WEAKENING LOW
PRESSURE LIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SANDY WILL BRING BETWEEN 2 AND 6 INCHES OF RAIN EARLY MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED
HEAVY RAIN BANDS WHICH COULD VERY WELL BE NEAR THE CITY AND
NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS.

THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING MONDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY...WITH FLOODING OF
FLASHY...FAST RESPONDING STREAMS LIKELY AS WELL. THE URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE EXACERBATED BY FALLEN LEAVES
CLOGGING DRAINS...AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME LARGER MAIN STEM RIVER
FLOODING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL DEPEND ON WHERE THE
HEAVIEST RAIN ACTUALLY FALLS.

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MON AND TUE AS A RESULT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN UP FOR ALL COASTAL ZONES.

THIS HISTORIC STORM WITH RESPECT TO ITS LARGE SCALE AND UNUSUAL
TRACK WILL PRODUCE A LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...WITH PARTICULAR EMPHASIS ON THE MONDAY NIGHT HIGH
TIDE CYCLE. MULTIPLE SOURCES OF GUIDANCE AND THE TRACK OF THE
STORM CENTER JUST SOUTH OF THE NEW YORK BIGHT SUPPORTS A STORM
SURGE OF 7 TO 10 FT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE COMBINED EFFECT
OF THE STORM SURGE AND TIDE MAY PRODUCE WATER LEVELS AS HIGH AS 6
TO 10 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OR AGL.

A RAMPING UP EASTERLY FLOW WILL PRODUCE MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD
MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED FOR THE MONDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE
CYCLE....WITH MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING...POSSIBLY TO RECORD
LEVELS...LIKELY DURING THE MONDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLE. MODERATE TO
MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IN POSSIBLE DURING THE TUESDAY MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDES CYCLE AS WELL.

THE COMBINATION OF PILING OF WATER FROM THE PROLONGED NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AND THEN MORE EASTERLY THEREAFTER AS WELL
AS THE EKMAN TRANSPORT WHICH TRANSPORTS WATER TO THE RIGHT OF THE
WIND...WILL BE FACTORS IN THIS PROLONGED COASTAL FLOOD EVENT.

THE EXACT TRACK/TIMING OF THE STORM WILL DETERMINE THE MAGNITUDE OF
COASTAL FLOODING MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE TUESDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE
CYCLES...BUT THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE FOR A MAJOR TO LOCALLY
RECORD BREAKING COASTAL FLOODING EVENT WITH SIGNIFICANT
INUNDATION...AS WELL AS DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES IN HISTORICALLY FLOOD
PRONE SPOTS.

IN ADDITION...BATTERING WAVES SUPERIMPOSED ON TOP OF THE STORM TIDE
WILL RESULT IN MAJOR TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION...WASHOVERS...AND
DAMAGE TO VULNERABLE SHORELINE STRUCTURES. PARTICULAR EMPHASIS
NEEDS TO BE PLACED ON FIRE ISLAND WHERE WATER MAY BREACH PARTS OF
THE ISLAND.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

-- Changed Discussion --
CT...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
CTZ009>012.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
CTZ005>012.
FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
CTZ005>012.
NY...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
NJZ006-106-108.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO NOON EDT
TUESDAY FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
-- End Changed Discussion --


&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...GOODMAN
NEAR TERM...GOODMAN/PICCA
SHORT TERM...GOODMAN
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...JP
MARINE...GOODMAN
HYDROLOGY...GOODMAN
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

http://forecast.weather.gov/product...&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

BULLETIN
HURRICANE SANDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
800 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...SANDY NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND ACCELERATING...
...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND COASTAL
HURRICANE WINDS PLUS HEAVY APPALACHIAN SNOWS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.8N 71.1W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 310 MI...505 KM SSE OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* BERMUDA

IN ADDITION...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE COAST BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.
THIS INCLUDES THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND TO SMITH POINT...
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE BAY...AND THE COASTS
OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY
AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND RHODE ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF CHATHAM TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND
SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN
ENDPOINT OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

OTHER COASTAL AND INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THESE AREAS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST. SANDY IS NOW MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
SANDY WILL MOVE OVER THE COAST OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS
EVENING OR TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SANDY IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A FRONTAL OR
WINTERTIME LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HOWEVER...THIS
TRANSITION WILL NOT BE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM...
AND IN FACT...A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS
PROCESS. SANDY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER MOVING INLAND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 485
MILES...780 KM. SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING
ALONG THE COASTS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...AND EASTERN
VIRGINIA...AND EXTEND AS FAR INLAND AS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
CHESAPEAKE BAY.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT DATA IS 946 MB...27.94 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...OR GALE FORCE WINDS...ARE ALREADY
OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES FROM NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO LONG ISLAND. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST...NEW YORK CITY...AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATER THIS
MORNING. WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE COULD REACH THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND...LATER TODAY.
WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING
DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE...

NC NORTH OF SURF CITY INCLUDING PAMLICO/ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...4 TO 6 FT
SE VA AND DELMARVA INCLUDING LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 3 FT
LONG ISLAND SOUND...RARITAN BAY...AND NEW YORK HARBOR...6 TO 11 FT
ELSEWHERE FROM OCEAN CITY MD TO THE CT/RI BORDER...4 TO 8 FT
CT/RI BORDER TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF CAPE COD INCLUDING BUZZARDS
BAY AND NARRAGANSETT BAY...3 TO 6 FT
CAPE COD TO THE MA/NH BORDER INCLUDING CAPE COD BAY...2 TO 4 FT
MA/NH BORDER TO THE U.S./CANADA BORDER...1 TO 3 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
GIVEN THE LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY...ELEVATED WATER
LEVELS COULD SPAN MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES RESULTING IN REPEATED AND
EXTENDED PERIODS OF COASTAL AND BAYSIDE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...
ELEVATED WATERS COULD OCCUR FAR REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF SANDY.
FURTHERMORE...THESE CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR REGARDLESS OF WHETHER
SANDY IS A TROPICAL OR POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. FOR INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8 INCHES
POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...INCLUDING THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL..SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA TO THE KENTUCKY BORDER...WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES
OF SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE BORDER
AND IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MARYLAND.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA THROUGH
NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/291149.shtml?

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HURRICANE SANDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
500 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

SANDY CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE
CENTER...WITH AN EYE OCCASIONALLY VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.
ALTHOUGH THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF THE SYSTEM IS NOT VERY
IMPRESSIVE...SFMR MEASUREMENTS...FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS...AND DROPSONDE
DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT THE WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 KT. SINCE THE HURRICANE WILL TRAVERSE
THE GULF STREAM THIS MORNING...AND THE SHEAR IS NOT TOO STRONG AT
THIS TIME...SOME MORE STRENGTHENING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE MAIN MECHANISM
FOR INTENSIFICATION LATER TODAY SHOULD BE BAROCLINIC FORCING. THE
OFFICIAL WIND SPEED FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE LATEST GFS PREDICTION
AS THAT MODEL SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE THE EVOLUTION OF THIS TYPE
OF SYSTEM FAIRLY WELL.

SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT A WELL-MARKED WARM AND COLD FRONT LIE NOT
FAR TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER OF SANDY. AS THE
CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH THESE FRONTS...THE CYCLONE SHOULD BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO
BE COMPLETE BEFORE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. HOWEVER...THIS
TRANSFORMATION WILL NOT DIMINISH THE OVERALL IMPACTS FROM WINDS TO
HURRICANE STRENGTH...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...AND FLOODING
RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DANGEROUS WEATHER SYSTEM. BASED ON THE
GLOBAL MODELS...THE CYCLONE SHOULD WEAKEN FAIRLY RAPIDLY AFTER
LANDFALL.

CENTER FIXES INDICATE THAT SANDY IS NOW MOVING NORTHWARD OR ABOUT
360/13...AS IT BEGINS TO ROTATE AROUND A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL
CYCLONE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. AS IT MOVES BETWEEN
THE CYCLONE AND A HIGHLY ANOMALOUS MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE NEAR
ATLANTIC CANADA...SANDY SHOULD TURN NORTHWESTWARD AND
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH SOME FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
THIS TRACK SHOULD RESULT IN THE CENTER MAKING LANDFALL IN THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT. AFTER LANDFALL...THE
DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT SLOWING OF FORWARD SPEED AS
THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE. THE
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOR THIS PACKAGE IS A BIT FASTER THAN THE
PREVIOUS ONE...AND CLOSE TO THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS.

INTERESTS ARE REMINDED NOT TO FOCUS ON THE CENTER OR THE EXACT
FORECAST TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM...SINCE STRONG WINDS COVER AN AREA
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ACROSS...AND THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL NOT
NECESSARILY BE NEAR THE CENTER.

AS NOTED IN PREVIOUS ADVISORIES...TO AVOID A HIGHLY DISRUPTIVE
CHANGE FROM TROPICAL TO NON-TROPICAL WARNINGS WHEN SANDY BECOMES
POST-TROPICAL...THE WIND HAZARD NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONVEYED THROUGH HIGH WIND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0900Z 35.9N 70.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 29/1800Z 37.8N 72.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 30/0600Z 39.5N 75.5W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 30/1800Z 40.0N 77.3W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 31/0600Z 40.5N 77.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/0600Z 44.0N 76.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 02/0600Z 45.5N 74.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 03/0600Z 46.5N 70.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/290856.shtml?
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Hurricane Sandy barrels toward East Coast, expected to bring 'life-threatening' storm surge

Published October 29, 2012
FoxNews.com
...
Airlines canceled more than 7,200 flights and Amtrak began suspending passenger train service across the Northeast. New York and Philadelphia shut down their subways, buses and commuter trains Sunday night and announced that schools would be closed on Monday. Boston, Washington and Baltimore also called off school. In Washington and New Jersey, Metrorail and PATH train services were canceled.

"The time for preparing and talking is about over," Federal Emergency Management Administrator Craig Fugate said as Hurricane Sandy made its way up the Atlantic on a collision course with two other weather systems that could turn it into one of the most fearsome storms on record in the U.S. "People need to be acting now."

Forecasters said the hurricane could blow ashore Monday night or early Tuesday along the New Jersey coast, then cut across into Pennsylvania and travel up through New York State on Wednesday.

"We're looking at impact of greater than 50 to 60 million people," said Louis Uccellini, head of environmental prediction for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/weather/2012...oast-brace-for-uperstorm-sandy/#ixzz2Ah2tdU6R
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Hurricane Sandy gains strength, speed on East Coast path

Last Updated at 8:37 a.m. ET

The National Hurricane Center said early Monday that Hurricane Sandy increased its top sustained winds from 75 mph to 85 mph, with higher gusts, and was picking up speed.
...
Sandy is about 385 miles south-southeast of New York City and the center of the storm is expected to be near the mid-Atlantic coast on Monday night. It was expected to hook inland during the day, colliding with a wintry storm moving in from the west and cold air streaming down from the Arctic.

CBS News hurricane consultant David Bernard reports that wind gusts of 38 mph and 41 mph have already been reported in New York City and Boston, respectively.

Sandy is likely going to strengthen even more as it approaches the East Coast, Bernard reports, with hurricane-force winds reaching land by Monday afternoon. Flooding will be a huge threat, with many areas potentially seeing rainfall amounts between 5 and 8 inches over a 48-hour period.
...
As rain from the leading edges of the monster hurricane began to fall over the Northeast, hundreds of thousands of people from Maryland to Connecticut were ordered to evacuate low-lying coastal areas, including 375,000 in lower Manhattan and other parts of New York City, 50,000 in Delaware and 30,000 in Atlantic City, N.J., where the city's 12 casinos were forced to shut down for only the fourth time ever.

More...
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-201_162...andy-gains-strength-speed-on-east-coast-path/
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Home > Alerts > Brooklyn > Coastal Flood Warning Issued by NWS New York City - Upton (Long Island and New York City)

<TABLE class=alert><TBODY><TR><TD class=label>Message:</TD><TD>NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-NY124CCACA62F4.CoastalFloodWarning.124CCACBAC40NY.OKXCFWOKX.4859a89c45d017a20382984d09098da4 from w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov</TD></TR><TR><TD class=label>Sent:</TD><TD>03:57 EDT on 10-29-2012</TD></TR><TR><TD class=label>Effective:</TD><TD>03:57 EDT on 10-29-2012</TD></TR><TR><TD class=label>Expires:</TD><TD>12:00 EDT on 10-29-2012</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Coastal Flood Warning

...life threatening coastal flooding expected today through
tuesday morning...

...coastal flood warning remains in effect from 6 am this morning
to 3 pm edt tuesday...

* locations...along new york harbor...newark bay...the arthur
kill...the tidally affected portions of the hackensack and
passaic rivers...long island sound...the southern and eastern
shores of long island...and tidally affected portions of the
hudson and connecticut rivers.

* tidal departures...between 3 to 4.5 ft above astronomical tides
this morning...and potential for 6 to 11 ft above tonight into
tuesday morning. The higher end of the range relegated to the
historically most vulnerable areas along new york
harbor...western long island sound...the long island south shore
back bays...and peconic bay.

* high surf...breaking waves are expected to build to 15 to 20 ft
along ocean facing shorelines by late today into tonight.
Meanwhile...6 to 12 ft waves are expected along exposed eastern
and northeastern facing portions of long island sound...peconic
and gardiners bays...and new york harbor. The destructive waves
on top of the storm surge will cause overwashes and significant
damage to coastal structures nearest to sea level. This is
especially true for low lying areas along ocean parkway and dune
road...the twin forks of long island...fire island communities
such as fair harbor...ocean beach...cherry grove...fire island
pines and davis park...and historically vulnerable locations along
long island sound.

* timing...through tuesday...with the highest storm tide occurring
with tonights high tide cycle.

* impacts...a long duration coastal flood event is expected with
and moderate to major flooding this morning into early
afternoon...and potential historic flooding tonight into early
tuesday morning. The exact track and timing of the coastal storm
will determine the magnitude of coastal flooding tonight through
the tuesday morning high tide cycle...but the potential is high
for significant inundation and damage to structures in
historically flood prone spots.
Water levels for this morning high tide cycle

...ny harbor water levels for this morning...
Coastal............time of......forecast total.....flood.....
Location...........high tide.....water level.......category..

...................................(mllw)....................

The battery nyc.....831 am.........9.0.............moderate..
Bergen point ny.....830 am.........9.9.............moderate..

...western l.i. Sound water levels for this morning...
Coastal............time of......forecast total.....flood.....
Location...........high tide.....water level.......category..

...................................(mllw)....................
Kings point ny......1159 am........12.8............moderate..
Lattingtown ny......1158 am........12.9............moderate..
Stamford ct.........1131 am........12.6............moderate..
Bridgeport ct.......1128 am........12.1............moderate..
New haven ct........1128 am........11.0............moderate..

...eastern l.i. Sound water levels for this morning...
Coastal............time of......forecast total.....flood.....
Location...........high tide.....water level.......category..

...................................(mllw)....................
New london ct.......928 am.........6.3.............moderate..

...south shore bays water levels for this morning...
Coastal............time of......forecast total.....flood.....
Location...........high tide.....water level.......category..

..................................(mllw/ngvd)................
E rockaway inlet ny.814 am.........8.0/6.5.........major.....
Freeport gage ny....858 am.........7.8/7.0.........major.....
Jamaica bay ny......840 am.........9.3/7.1.........moderate..
Rockaway inlet ny...800 am.........9.0/7.5.........moderate..
Point lookout.......741 am.........7.7/6.6.........moderate..
Lindenhurst........1021 am.........5.1/5.3.........major.....

...ocean water levels for this morning...
Coastal............time of......forecast total.....flood.....
Location...........high tide.....water level.......category..

...................................(mllw)....................
Montauk point ny....903 am.........5.9.............moderate..
Water levels for this evening and tonights high tide cycle

...ny harbor water levels for this evening...
Coastal............time of......forecast total.....flood.....
Location...........high tide.....water level.......category..

...................................(mllw)....................

The battery nyc.....813 pm.........10-12.............major....
Bergen point ny.....814 pm.........12-13.............major....

...western l.i. Sound water levels for tonight...
Coastal............time of......forecast total.....flood.....
Location...........high tide.....water level.......category..

...................................(mllw)....................
Kings point ny......1227 am........15-16............major....
Lattingtown ny......1205 am........15-16............major....
Stamford ct.........1201 am........14-15............major....
Bridgeport ct.......1158 pm........14-15............major....
New haven ct........1157 pm........13-14............major....

...eastern l.i. Sound water levels for this evening...
Coastal............time of......forecast total.....flood.....
Location...........high tide.....water level.......category..

...................................(mllw)....................
New london ct.......952 pm.........8.5-9.5..........major....

...south shore bays water levels for this evening...
Coastal............time of......forecast total.....flood.....
Location...........high tide.....water level.......category..

..................................(mllw/ngvd)................
E rockaway inlet ny..814 pm.........12/10.5.........major....
Freeport gage ny.....858 pm.........11/10.2.........major....
Jamaica bay ny.......900 pm.......12.2/10...........major....
Rockaway inlet ny....820 pm.......11.5/9.5..........major....
Point lookout........801 pm.........11/9.9..........major....
Lindenhurst.........1041 pm.......8.4/8.6...........major....

...ocean water levels for tonight...
Coastal............time of......forecast total.....flood.....
Location...........high tide.....water level.......category..

...................................(mllw)....................
Montauk point ny.....923 pm.........7.5-8.5..........major...


<TABLE class=entry><TBODY><TR><TD class=label>Instructions:</TD><TD class=description>A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.</TD></TR><TR><TD class=label>Target Area:</TD><TD><TABLE class=detail><TBODY><TR><TD colSpan=2>Bronx
Kings (Brooklyn)
New York (Manhattan)
Northeast Suffolk
Northern Nassau
Northern Queens
Northwest Suffolk
Richmond (Staten Is.)
Southeast Suffolk
Southern Nassau
Southern Queens
Southern Westchester
Southwest Suffolk
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwaca...NY.OKXCFWOKX.4859a89c45d017a20382984d09098da4
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Home > Alerts > West Virginia > Blizzard Warning Issued by NWS Charleston (West Virginia)
<TABLE class=alert><TBODY><TR><TD class=label>Message:</TD><TD>NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-WV124CCACACBA4.BlizzardWarning.124CCACC0618WV.RLXWSWRLX.0a80ebf9bbe8dbadfe837fa074db8ac9 from w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov</TD></TR><TR><TD class=label>Sent:</TD><TD>06:25 EDT on 10-29-2012</TD></TR><TR><TD class=label>Effective:</TD><TD>06:25 EDT on 10-29-2012</TD></TR><TR><TD class=label>Expires:</TD><TD>14:30 EDT on 10-29-2012</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


...first winter storm is a blizzard for the high terrain...

.the remains of hurricane sandy will combine with an upper level
low to produce heavy snow and strong winds across the mountainous
counties.

...blizzard warning remains in effect from noon today to 4 pm edt
wednesday...

* locations...very elevation dependent with the best chances
across high terrain...but can not be ruled out in the valleys.

* hazard types...heavy wet snow...and strong gusty winds.

* snow accumulations...ranging from 1 to 6 inches below 2000
feet...to 1 to 3 feet above 3000 feet.

* winds...increasing this afternoon with gusts of 35 to 45 mph.
Some of the highest ridges could gust to near 50 mph.

* timing...periods of snow...mixed with rain for the valleys...
Will increase in intensity during this afternoon and evening.
The brunt of the storm occurs overnight tonight and on tuesday.

* impacts...the heavy wet snow may bring down tree limbs...
Causing power outages or fluctuations. Snow loading...or the
weight of the snow...may cause structural damage...including
collapsing roofs. The combination of snow and wind would lead
to blowing snow and reduced visibility.


<TABLE class=entry><TBODY><TR><TD class=label>Instructions:</TD><TD class=description>A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RLX.</TD></TR><TR><TD class=label>Target Area:</TD><TD><TABLE class=detail><TBODY><TR><TD colSpan=2>Fayette
Nicholas
Pocahontas
Raleigh
Randolph
Webster
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwaca...WV.RLXWSWRLX.0a80ebf9bbe8dbadfe837fa074db8ac9
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

University of Wisconsin

Satellite image hurricane Sandy:

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/1min/
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Canada -

WOCN31 CWHX 291145
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT UPDATED BY THE CANADIAN
HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8:52 AM ADT MONDAY
29 OCTOBER 2012.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR:
NOVA SCOTIA
NEW BRUNSWICK
SOUTHERN QUEBEC
SOUTHERN ONTARIO.

FOR HURRICANE SANDY.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3:00 PM ADT.

LARGE AND DANGEROUS HURRICANE SANDY BEGINNING TO TURN TOWARD
THE U.S. COASTLINE. SOUTHERN ONTARIO, SOUTHERN QUEBEC AND
SOUTHWESTERN MARITIMES WILL EXPERIENCE HIGH WIND GUSTS AND
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN BEGINNING LATER TODAY AND CONTINUING INTO
TUESDAY.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
==DISCUSSION==
1. SUMMARY OF BASIC INFORMATION AT 9.00 AM ADT.

LOCATION: NEAR 36.8 NORTH 71.1 WEST, OR ABOUT 490 KILOMETRES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 140 KM/H.

PRESENT MOVEMENT: NORTH AT 32 KM/H.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 946 MB.

2. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY.

HURRICANE SANDY INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUES TO BE AN
EXTREMELY LARGE AND DANGEROUS TROPICAL CYCLONE. SANDY HAS TURNED
NORTHWARD AND WILL TURN NORTHWESTWARD TODAY WHILE MAINTAINING
HURRICANE INTENSITY. SANDY IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY UNDERGO
EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE NEW JERSEY COAST.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SANDY COULD STRENGTHEN FURTHER PRIOR TO MOVING
INLAND TONIGHT.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO EMPHASIZE THAT IMPACTS FROM POST-TROPICAL SANDY
EXTEND OVER AN EXTREMELY LARGE AREA WELL AWAY FROM THE STORM CENTER.
IT IS ADVISED THAT PERSONS IN THE ABOVE LISTED REGIONS PAY CLOSE
ATTENTION TO MESSAGES FROM THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE, AS WELL AS
INFORMATION FROM REGIONAL STORM PREDICTION CENTRES FOR THE LATEST
OFFICIAL FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FOR YOUR AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO WARNING BULLETINS ISSUED
THIS MORNING BY THE ONTARIO STORM PREDICTION CENTRE AND THE QUEBEC
STORM PREDICTION CENTRE.

A. RAINFALL.

RAIN DIRECTLY RELATED TO POST-TROPICAL SANDY WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT
SOUTHERN ONTARIO LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HEAVIEST BANDS
REACHING THE PROVINCE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. LATEST
INDICATIONS ARE THAT GENERAL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 40 MILLIMETRES ARE
POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MILLIMETRES
POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD VARY GREATLY WITH LOCATION DEPENDING
ON THE MOVEMENT OF SOME OF THE SMALLER HEAVIER RAINBANDS WITH THIS
SYSTEM.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL QUEBEC
STARTING THIS EVENING. AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 40 MILLIMETRES ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.

THE PRECIPITATION COULD MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW OVER PARTS OF
ONTARIO AND EXTREME WESTERN QUEBEC AS TEMPERATURES APPROACH THE
FREEZING MARK NORTH AND WEST OF THE STORM.

RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHWESTERN MARITIMES UNTIL
TUESDAY MORNING BUT COULD PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY FROM A DEVELOPING
FRONTAL SYSTEM NOT DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY. AMOUNTS COULD BE
SIGNIFICANT AND TOTAL AMOUNTS COULD EXCEED 50 MILLIMETRES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

B. WINDS.

THE QUEBEC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE HAS ISSUED WIND WARNINGS FOR
PARTS OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY BEGINNING LATER TODAY. THE
ONTARIO STORM PREDICTION CENTRE HAS ISSUED WIND WARNINGS FOR
ADJACENT AREAS OF THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY AS WELL AS OTHER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN ONTARIO FOR HIGH WIND GUSTS BEGINNING LATER TONIGHT AND
CONTINUING ON TUESDAY.

OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO, GUSTS TO 90 KM/H OR HIGHER ARE LIKELY
ESPECIALLY ALONG WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO AND THE NIAGARA ESCARPMENT AS
WELL AS AREAS ADJACENT TO LAKE HURON AND GEORGIAN BAY. THESE WIND
GUSTS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE BROKEN TREE LIMBS OR IN SOME CASES
UPROOTED TREES WHICH MAY RESULT IN DOWNED UTILITY LINES. RESIDUAL
FALLING LEAVES CAN ALSO OBSTRUCT STORM WATER DRAINAGE SYSTEMS ALONG
ROADWAYS PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS. THIS COMBINED WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD INCREASE THE RISK OF FLOODING IN SOME AREAS.

VERY STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN QUEBEC STARTING
THIS EVENING AND PERSISTING TUESDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY WHERE GUSTS COULD ALSO EXCEED
90 KM/H.

GUSTY WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN THE MARITIMES STARTING MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND PERSISTING TUESDAY. GUSTS UP TO 80 KM/H ARE EXPECTED
ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA, WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER
WINDS EXPECTED FURTHER TO THE NORTH AND EAST.

C. WAVES.

LARGE WAVES ARE VERY LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES
BEGINNING LATER TODAY AND INTO TUESDAY. HIGH SEASTATES UP TO 7 METRES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN LAKE HURON.

THERE WILL BE LARGE WAVES AND POUNDING SURF ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. SEASTATES NEAR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA
SCOTIA WILL BE IN THE 5 TO 7 METRE RANGE AND SEAS FATHER OFFSHORE
WILL BE NEAR 9 METRES. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCALLY ELEVATED WATER
LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE.

3. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY.

GALE AND STORM FORCE WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
MARITIMES MARINE AREAS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. GALE AND STORM FORCE
WIND WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT MOST OF THE GREAT LAKES.

GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND SEVERAL HUNDRED KILOMETRES OUTWARD FROM THE
CENTER OF SANDY'S CIRCULATION AND HAVE ALREADY REACHED SOUTHWESTERN
MARITIME MARINE WATERS. WINDS OVER GEORGES BANK COULD REACH UP TO 60
KNOTS BY NOON TODAY.

ALSO, HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON THE ST LAWRENCE
RIVER DURING HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY EVENING.
THIS COULD RESULT IN COASTAL FLOODING IN THE QUEBEC CITY REGION.


VISIT WEATHEROFFICE.GC.CA/HURRICANE (ALL IN LOWER CASE) FOR THE
LATEST:

- FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE TABLE.

- STRENGTH AND PREDICTED WIND RADII TABLE.

- HURRICANE TRACK INFORMATION MAP.

- TECHNICAL DISCUSSION.

PLEASE ALSO REFER TO THE PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA FOR YOUR AREA.

END
http://www.atl.ec.gc.ca/weather/hurricane/bulletins/20121029115312.Sandy.info.txt.en
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Extremely large and dangerous storm could bring extensive power outages, flooding, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Extremely large and dangerous storm could bring extensive power outages, flooding, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

The satellite image posted by pathfinder clearly shows that the trajectory has now shifted in the direction of land, exactly as predicted. This means that all possible doubts about the forecast track are now removed.

Stay safe everyone if you are in this storms path.
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Large storm could bring extensive power outages, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Pathfinder said:
University of Wisconsin

Satellite image hurricane Sandy:

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/1min/
Click to expand...

This animation is excellent!

J.
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Extremely large and dangerous storm could bring extensive power outages, flooding, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Extremely large and dangerous storm could bring extensive power outages, flooding, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Vibrant62 said:
The satellite image posted by pathfinder clearly shows that the trajectory has now shifted in the direction of land, exactly as predicted. This means that all possible doubts about the forecast track are now removed.

Stay safe everyone if you are in this storms path.
Click to expand...

Several of us are in the path of this storm. Stay safe everyone. Please remember most injuries and deaths occur after the storm as people remove storm debris and drive into flooded areas. Don't take any chances. If a situation looks dangerous....it probably is. Get help before attempting repairs. Play it safe for your loved ones.

All best wishes to everyone.
 
Re: Hurricane Sandy - Extremely large and dangerous storm could bring extensive power outages, flooding, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

Re: Hurricane Sandy - Extremely large and dangerous storm could bring extensive power outages, flooding, life-threatening storm surge, coastal hurricane winds, heavy appalachian snows to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast

BULLETIN
HURRICANE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
1100 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...SANDY FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD SOON...
...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND COASTAL
HURRICANE WINDS PLUS HEAVY APPALACHIAN SNOWS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.5N 71.5W
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SSE OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

IN ADDITION...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE COAST BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.
THIS INCLUDES THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND TO SMITH POINT...
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE BAY...AND THE COASTS
OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY
AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND RHODE ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF CHATHAM TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND
SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN
ENDPOINT OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

OTHER COASTAL AND INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THESE AREAS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASEMONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.5 WEST. SANDY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED SOON...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF
SANDY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SANDY IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A
FRONTAL OR WINTERTIME LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
HOWEVER...THIS TRANSITION WILL NOT BE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAKENING OF
THE SYSTEM...AND...IN FACT...A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
DURING THIS PROCESS. SANDY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER MOVING
INLAND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...
MAINLY SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 485 MILES...780 KM. SUSTAINED WINDS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE OCCURRING FROM LONG ISLAND SOUTHWARD ALONG
THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...AND
EXTEND AS FAR INLAND AS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY AND
DELAWARE BAY. A WEATHERFLOW REPORT INDICATES A SUSTAINED WIND OF 53
MPH...85 KM/H...WITH A GUST TO 63 MPH...102 KM/H...HAS RECENTLY
OCCURRED ON LONG ISLAND AT EATONS NECK NEW YORK.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...OR GALE-FORCE WINDS...ARE ALREADY
OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES FROM NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO LONG ISLAND. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST...NEW YORK CITY...AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND...BY THIS EVENING. WINDS
AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING
DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE...

NC NORTH OF SURF CITY INCLUDING PAMLICO/ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...4 TO 6 FT
SE VA AND DELMARVA INCLUDING LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 3 FT
LONG ISLAND SOUND...RARITAN BAY...AND NEW YORK HARBOR...6 TO 11 FT
ELSEWHERE FROM OCEAN CITY MD TO THE CT/RI BORDER...4 TO 8 FT
CT/RI BORDER TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF CAPE COD INCLUDING BUZZARDS
BAY AND NARRAGANSETT BAY...3 TO 6 FT
CAPE COD TO THE MA/NH BORDER INCLUDING CAPE COD BAY...2 TO 4 FT
MA/NH BORDER TO THE U.S./CANADA BORDER...1 TO 3 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
GIVEN THE LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY...ELEVATED WATER
LEVELS COULD SPAN MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES RESULTING IN REPEATED AND
EXTENDED PERIODS OF COASTAL AND BAYSIDE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...
ELEVATED WATERS COULD OCCUR FAR REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF SANDY.
FURTHERMORE...THESE CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR REGARDLESS OF WHETHER
SANDY IS A TROPICAL OR POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. FOR INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...INCLUDING THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL..SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA TO THE KENTUCKY BORDER...WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES
OF SNOW EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE
BORDER AND IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MARYLAND.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA THROUGH
NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/291439.shtml

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HURRICANE SANDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
1100 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

SANDY IS MAINTAINING A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE
CENTER...WITH BOTH AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA
AND VARIOUS MICROWAVE SATELLITE DATA INDICATING A 20 N MI DIAMETER
EYE HAS DEVELOPED SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. MAXIMUM 700 MB
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BEEN 94 KT IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT...AND
SFMR-ADJUSTED SURFACE WINDS OF 80-83 KT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT MORE THAN 90 N MI FROM THE CENTER. THE
AIRCRAFT DATA ALSO INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN A
LITTLE...TO ABOUT 943 MB. BASED ON THE LATEST RECONNAISSANCE
DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 80 KT.

RECONNAISSANCE CENTER FIXES INDICATE THAT SANDY HAS BEEN GRADUALLY
TURNING TO THE LEFT AND IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR ABOUT
330/16 KT. THE LATEST RECON FIXES HAVE BEEN FALLING ON THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST TRACK...AND SO HAVE THE LATEST 12Z NHC FORECAST MODELS.
THEREFORE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE ADVISORY PREVIOUS TRACK
OR REASONING ARE REQUIRED. SANDY IS NOW LOCATED NORTH OF THE AXIS
OF A STRONG NEGATIVELY TILTED MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...AND THE
HURRICANE SHOULD TURN NORTHWESTWARD VERY SOON. LANDFALL ALONG OR
JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST IS EXPECTED LATE THIS
EVENING...AT WHICH TIME A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED.
AFTER MOVING INLAND OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED. BY 48 HOURS...THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD. THE OFFICIAL
NHC FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK...AND
LIES CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE CONSENSUS MODELS TV15 AND TVCN.

SANDY IS CURRENTLY TRAVERSING A NARROW RIDGE OF WARM SSTS AROUND
27C...WHICH ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF STREAM. THIS EXTRA
LOW-LEVEL HEAT INPUT HAS LIKELY CONTRIBUTED TO THE RECENT INCREASE
IN CONVECTION AROUND THE EYE. HOWEVER...SANDY WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE NORTH WALL OF THE GULFSTREAM WITHIN THE NEXT 3 HOURS...WHICH
WILL BRING A HALT TO ANY SIGNIFICANT INNER-CORE CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THIS SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON THE
OVERALL INTENSITY OR THE SIZE OF THE EXTREMELY LARGE WIND FIELD
THAT IS NOW MORE THAN 1000 N MI IN DIAMETER. AT THE MOMENT...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ONLY OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT...BUT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THESE COULD SPREAD INTO
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT WELL-DEFINED WARM AND COLD FRONTS LIE
VERY NEAR THE CENTER OF SANDY...AND THE COMBINATION OF COLDER OCEAN
WATER AND NEARBY FRONTAL SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BEFORE THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE REACHES
THE COAST. HOWEVER...THIS TRANSFORMATION WILL NOT DIMINISH THE
OVERALL IMPACTS FROM WINDS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...LIFE-THREATENING
STORM SURGE... AND FLOODING RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DANGEROUS
WEATHER SYSTEM. BASED ON THE GLOBAL MODELS...THE CYCLONE SHOULD
WEAKEN FAIRLY RAPIDLY AFTER LANDFALL.

INTERESTS ARE REMINDED NOT TO FOCUS ON THE CENTER OR THE EXACT
FORECAST TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM...SINCE STRONG WINDS COVER AN AREA
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ACROSS...AND THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL NOT
NECESSARILY BE NEAR THE CENTER...ESPECIALLY JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET
ABOVE THE GROUND.

AS NOTED IN PREVIOUS ADVISORIES...TO AVOID A HIGHLY DISRUPTIVE
CHANGE FROM TROPICAL TO NON-TROPICAL WARNINGS WHEN SANDY BECOMES
POST-TROPICAL...THE WIND HAZARD NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONVEYED THROUGH HIGH WIND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/1500Z 37.5N 71.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 30/0000Z 39.0N 74.0W 80 KT 90 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 30/1200Z 39.9N 76.7W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 31/0000Z 40.4N 77.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 31/1200Z 41.5N 77.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/1200Z 44.5N 75.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 02/1200Z 45.9N 72.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 03/1200Z 47.5N 68.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/291443.shtml?
 
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