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Influenza Other Respir Viruses . Excess All-Cause Mortality by Age and Gender During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegov

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Influenza Other Respir Viruses


. 2025 Mar;19(3):e70086.
doi: 10.1111/irv.70086. Excess All-Cause Mortality by Age and Gender During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2020-2022

Šeila Cilović-Lagarija[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Johanna Thea Mølgaard Rantzau[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Siniša Skočibušić[SUP] 1 3 [/SUP], Sanjin Musa[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Armin Sprečo[SUP] 4 5 [/SUP], Amna Isaković[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Mirza Palo[SUP] 6 [/SUP], Faris Dizdar[SUP] 6 [/SUP], Hidajeta Čolović[SUP] 7 [/SUP], Veronica Ivey Sawin[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Jens Nielsen[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Pernille Jorgensen[SUP] 8 [/SUP]



Affiliations
Abstract

Objectives: COVID-19 has had a profound impact on global mortality and morbidity, yet only a fraction of deaths was confirmed and reported. We estimated all-cause excess mortality from 1 January 2020 to 31 December 2022 in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina (FBiH) to assess the true magnitude of the pandemic.
Methods: Data for this analysis was sourced from the FBiH mortality register and supplemented with population statistics and official COVID-19 death counts (i.e., cases where COVID-19 was registered as the cause of death). Using a Poisson model, all-cause excess number of deaths and rates per 100,000 person-years, adjusted for registration delays and stratified by age and gender, were calculated.
Results: FBiH experienced three periods of excess all-cause mortality throughout the first 3 years of the pandemic, with a total of 12,000 excess deaths, highest among adults 45-74 years and males. No excess mortality was observed in children <15 years.
Conclusions: The true mortality impact of COVID-19 in FBiH was substantially higher than the reported deaths, including among younger adults. Strengthening civil registration and vital statistics, including establishment of all-cause mortality surveillance, is essential for improved monitoring of future pandemics and other important public health events. A detailed review of the direct and indirect effects of COVID-19 on mortality should be conducted to identify areas that require more resources, improve health provision and inform mitigation efforts in future pandemics to save lives.

Keywords: COVID‐19; excess mortality; mortality.

 
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