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Jpn J Infect Dis . Trends in COVID-19 Outbreak in Tokyo and Osaka From January 25 to May 06, 2020: A Joinpoint Regression Analysis of the Outbreak D

tetano

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Jpn J Infect Dis


. 2020 Jun 30.
doi: 10.7883/yoken.JJID.2020.332. Online ahead of print.
Trends in COVID-19 Outbreak in Tokyo and Osaka From January 25 to May 06, 2020: A Joinpoint Regression Analysis of the Outbreak Data

Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Jennifer Saulam[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Kanae Kanda[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Nlandu Roger Ngatu[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Tomohiro Hirao[SUP] 1 [/SUP]


AffiliationsExpand

Abstract

We analyzed the trends in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Tokyo and Osaka from January 25 to May 06, 2020. To analyze the trends and to identify significant changes in trends we performed a joinpoint regression analysis. Since the last of March, COVID-19 cases soared up in Tokyo (β = 103.51) and Osaka (β = 28.07). During the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] and 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] weeks of April, both Tokyo (β = 157.53) and Osaka (β = 60.96) experienced the peak growth in COVID-19 cases. Since then, with some hope, almost after 14 days of the state of emergency declaration, the cases showed a containment trend but still increasing at a concerning rate in Tokyo (β = 90.66).

Keywords: COVID-19; Osaka; Tokyo; trend analysis.
 
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