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Nat Commun . Higher mortality following SARS-CoV-2 infection in rural versus urban dwellers persists for two years post-infection

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Nat Commun


. 2025 Oct 8;16(1):8933.
doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-63944-8. Higher mortality following SARS-CoV-2 infection in rural versus urban dwellers persists for two years post-infection

A Jerrod Anzalone[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Michael T Vest[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Makayla E Schissel[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Bradley Price[SUP] 4 [/SUP], William B Hillegass[SUP] 5 [/SUP], Ronald Horswell[SUP] 6 [/SUP], San Chu[SUP] 6 [/SUP], Clifford J Rosen[SUP] 7 8 [/SUP], Lucio Miele[SUP] 9 [/SUP], Susan L Santangelo[SUP] 7 8 [/SUP], Gordon S Smith[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Sally L Hodder[SUP] 4 [/SUP]; National Clinical Cohort Collaborative (N3C) Consortium



Collaborators, Affiliations
Free article Abstract

Previous studies demonstrated higher short-term mortality among rural compared with urban residents infected with SARS-CoV-2. However, whether this difference persists remains uncertain. This retrospective cohort study analyzed two-year post-COVID-19 mortality by rurality using the National Clinical Cohort Collaborative COVID-19 Enclave, a United States-based longitudinal electronic health record repository. We analyzed mortality among patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 between April 2020 and December 2022, with follow-up until December 2024. Patients were categorized into urban, urban-adjacent rural (UAR), and nonurban-adjacent rural (NAR) groups based on residential ZIP Code. Mortality differences were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and weighted multivariable Cox regression, with weights derived from demographic factors and models adjusted for background clinical risk and social vulnerability. Among 3,082,978 SARS-CoV-2-infected patients, we found a significant association between rurality and increased two-year all-cause mortality post-infection. Adjusted hazards for two-year mortality for UAR and NAR were 1.19 (95% CI 1.18-1.21) and 1.26 (1.22-1.29). A reference cohort of 4,153,216 COVID-19-negative patients showed a modest yet consistent rural mortality penalty, with a similar relative hazard across cohorts, an observed rurality-COVID-19 interaction, and a greater absolute number of deaths following SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our findings emphasize ongoing rural mortality disparities and the importance of public health efforts in rural communities.


 
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