Re: Panasonic Says Bringing Workers Families Home Due to Pandemic Fears - Discussion, Economic Considerations, Other Companies Pan/Flu Plans
A Japanese member here.
Is it a coincidence?
Yes and no.
First of all, we are in the middle of seasonal flu season here in Japan and this year's flu is the most widespread in the last several years. A big news of in-hospital infection last month where one hundred+ aged people got H3N2 and three people were dead. So, people talk a lot about the flu and the media is looking for any news related to the ordinary or pandemic flu.
Actually, japanese gov. made public the details of their revised pandemic plan for public comments during last Nov and Dec. There was a news about that but did not attract much attention. The government wanted to officially realease the revised plan as early as mid-January but it did not happen maybe because there were more opinions than they expected.
Kansen Retto, the movie, was released on Jan 17 most probably considering the flu season.
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SuperNova1987A
Thanks for the "boots on the ground" update. However Panasonics concerns could easily nhave been based on public events. Japan has always had great deal of concern about H5N1. Last spring South Korea reported their biggest H5N1 reported to date. Japan enhanced surveillance and immediately found dead whooper swans that were H5N1 positive. However, the H5N1 was clade 2.3.2, which was the same as that reported in wild birds in Hing Kong, making it clear that wild birds were transporting H5N1 over China, which was not reporting outbreaks.
A culler in South Korea was infected, had symptoms, and was PCR H5 confirmed, but quickly responded to Tamiflu treatment. Korea couldn't isolate the H5N1 from the culler so they didn't report the infection and did hand waving about no clade 2.3.2 infections in humans. WHO did nothing until now, when they reported clade 2.3.2 in a Guangxi fatal case, indirectly addressing Koreas nonsensical argument, but Korea still has no official human case.
Japan then announced that it would start a pre-oandemic campaign. This approach had been validated in multiple clincal trials. but most countries ignored the data and stockpiled outmoded and outdated vaccines that will be useless.
The Tamiflu resistance in seasonalm flu has been clear for some time, and when South Africa went to 100% in teh summer, it was clear H274Y would become fixed. Japan saw that first hand in October, when elementray schools closed to to Tamiflu resistant H1N1.
Vaccines and antivirals will do little, especially if there is no vaccine priming.
The sudden jump (and halt) of cases in China aeree just icing on the cake.
Panasonic knows what it is doing, while those that can't read an H5N1 sequence or understand how H5N1 evolves are surprised.