Proc Biol Sci . Five approaches to the suppression of SARS-CoV-2 without intensive social distancing

[tetano]

Proc Biol Sci


. 2021 Apr 28;288(1949):20203074.
doi: 10.1098/rspb.2020.3074. Epub 2021 Apr 28.
Five approaches to the suppression of SARS-CoV-2 without intensive social distancing


John M Drake[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Kyle Dahlin[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Pejman Rohani[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Andreas Handel[SUP] 2 3 [/SUP]



Affiliations

• PMID: 33906405
• DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2020.3074

Abstract

Initial efforts to mitigate transmission of SARS-CoV-2 relied on intensive social distancing measures such as school and workplace closures, shelter-in-place orders and prohibitions on the gathering of people. Other non-pharmaceutical interventions for suppressing transmission include active case finding, contact tracing, quarantine, immunity or health certification, and a wide range of personal protective measures. Here we investigate the potential effectiveness of these alternative approaches to suppression. We introduce a conceptual framework represented by two mathematical models that differ in strategy. We find both strategies may be effective, although both require extensive testing and work within a relatively narrow range of conditions. Generalized protective measures such as wearing face masks, improved hygiene and local reductions in density are found to significantly increase the effectiveness of targeted interventions.

Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; non-pharmaceutical interventions.

 

[bertrand789]

Let this be said in courteous terms. I find it unfortunate that there is not a study based solely on a hospital. It is a company with a lot of employees who live in x places. Being able to imagine the living spaces of hospital staff will be enlightening. Being able to obtain, in an anonimized way, their movement in space will be the complement.

The question becomes: for a given place, by focusing on the hospital and its private and public staff (this includes outside workers), will the data produced be efficient?

Isn't that the Chinese model at work?

We have taken too much care of the population, from my point of view, looking at the population through its hospitals seems to me at least to be done in several places.

From my point of view, the Chinese C.D.D. has all the data at this stage ... In addition, this will have an educational effect, the weight of which will have to be established.

The goal is not to be disparaging, but we must get out of doubts from above, for this crisis and the following ... Except that to be neutral, who should do that?
From my point of view, they cannot be people placed under the authority of a hospital director ...