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Research progress in establishing baselines and thresholds of influenza epidemic

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi. 2019 Oct 6;53(10):1066-1070. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0253-9624.2019.10.022. [h=1][Research progress in establishing baselines and thresholds of influenza epidemic].[/h]
[Article in Chinese; Abstract available in Chinese from the publisher]

Guo Q[SUP]1[/SUP], Zhou LJ[SUP]2[/SUP], Wang DY[SUP]1[/SUP], Chen T[SUP]1[/SUP].
[h=3]Author information[/h] 1 Chinese National Influenza Center, National Institute for Viral Disease Control and Prevention; WHO Collaborating Center for Reference and Research on Influenza, Chinese Center for Disease Control and prevention, Beijing 102206, China. 2 Department of Science and Technology, Clinical Medical School of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225001, China.

[h=3]Abstract[/h] in English, Chinese
Influenza is an acute respiratory infection that seriously harms the world and public health. Because influenza viruses are prone to mutations and difficult to predict, the World Health Organization has been promoting global continuous strengthening of influenza surveillance to monitor the level of influenza activity and epidemic trends in real time. Establishing baselines and thresholds for influenza epidemic helps to gauge the start and severity of influenza seasons. At present, there are various methods for calculating baseline and threshold, such as annual median value, percentile approach, moving epidemic method, and control chart method. This paper will summarize the methods of establishing influenza baseline or threshold at home and abroad, and hope to provide reference for the establishment of baseline or threshold of influenza in China.


[h=4]KEYWORDS:[/h] Baseline; Influenza, human; Severity; Threshold

PMID: 31607058 DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0253-9624.2019.10.022
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
 
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