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China - Original COVID-19 coronavirus news thread: weeks 1 - 4 (December 30, 2019 - January 25, 2020)

Three new cases of pneumonia confirmed by new coronavirus infection in Hunan Province

2020-01-22 17:58:53

According to the Hunan Health and Health Commission, on January 22, three new cases of pneumonia confirmed by a new type of coronavirus infection were reported in Hunan Province.

Editor-in-chief Zhao Qing

http://www.nbd.com.cn/articles/2020-01-22/1402248.html
 
Source: https://focustaiwan.tw/society/202001220012

One confirmed case, 12 under quarantine for Wuhan coronavirus: CDC
01/22/2020 05:11 PM

Taipei, Jan. 22 (CNA) A Taiwanese woman, confirmed Tuesday as the first domestic case of a new type of coronavirus originating in Wuhan, China, remains in a stable condition, while 12 others are currently under quarantine and being monitored, Taiwan's Centers for Disease Control (CDC) said Wednesday.

According to Chuang Jen-hsiang (莊人祥), a spokesman for the CDC's epidemic response command center, a total of 21 suspected cases of the virus have been reported as of Tuesday, of which one has been confirmed, eight have been ruled out and 12 are currently under quarantine.

Regarding the confirmed case, the CDC announced Tuesday that a 55-year-old Taiwanese woman who works in Wuhan reported to quarantine officials that she was suffering from a fever upon arriving at Taoyuan International Airport on Monday.

The woman later tested positive for the pneumonia-like virus dubbed the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), making her the world's first non-Chinese national diagnosed with the disease, the center said.

On Wednesday, Chuang provided an update on the woman's condition, saying that both her body temperature and respiratory rate are normal...
 
Source: https://cbgc.scol.com.cn/news/219477

Google translation:
Three new confirmed cases of pneumonia imported with new coronavirus infection in Sichuan
Sichuan Daily Watch 2020-01-22 18:32

Sichuan Daily Observation Reporter Shi Xiaohong Yin Peng

On January 22, the reporter learned from the Provincial Health and Health Commission that three new cases of pneumonia diagnosed with imported new coronavirus infection were added to Sichuan.

Patient Deng, a 28-year-old female, traveled from Wuhan to Chengdu on January 17 and went to a hospital in Chengdu for fever on the 19th. The hospital was then admitted and isolated.

Patient Liu, a 37-year-old male, went from Wuhan to Chengdu on January 18 and returned to Mianyang in the early morning of the 19th. On January 20, he went to a hospital in Mianyang due to fever, chills, muscle aches and other symptoms, and the hospital was admitted for isolation.

Patient Qin, a 19-year-old male, traveled from Wuhan to Chengdu on January 13 and returned to Mianyang on the 15th. He went to a hospital in Mianyang for symptoms of fatigue, sore throat, and muscle aches on the 20th, and the hospital was treated and isolated.

At 16:00 on January 22, in accordance with the provisions of the "Diagnosis and Treatment Program for Pneumonia of New Coronavirus Infection" (trial version 2), according to the clinical manifestations of the cases, combined with epidemiological history and laboratory test results, the provincial CDC confirmed the 3 The cases were imported pneumonia cases of new coronavirus infection.

As of 16:00 on January 22, Sichuan has reported 5 confirmed cases of pneumonitis with new coronavirus infection (including 2 in Chengdu, 2 in Mianyang, and 1 in Guang'an), 2 suspected cases (both in Chengdu), and the above 7 persons Received diagnosis and treatment at designated medical institutions, and his condition was stable. Medical observations have been carried out on close contacts, and currently there are no abnormalities such as fever.
 
Source: http://news.china.com.cn/2020-01/22/content_75640963.htm

Google translation:

Guizhou Province confirms first confirmed case of imported new pneumonia
Published: 2020-01-22 18:28:18 | Source: Global Times microblogging | Author: Anonymous

According to the Global Times Weibo news, on January 22, the National Health and Health Commission confirmed the first confirmed case of pneumonia imported from Guizhou Province. The patient was a 51-year-old male who now lives in Guiyang. He had a history of living in Wuhan a week before the onset of illness. He was diagnosed with fever on January 14. After preliminary testing by the Provincial CDC, the virus nucleic acid test of China CDC was reported according to the prescribed procedures, and the test result was positive. On January 22, the diagnostic expert group of the National Health and Health Commission's Epidemic Prevention and Control Leadership Group evaluated and confirmed that the case was a confirmed case of pneumonia infected by a new coronavirus. Currently, patients are treated in isolation at designated hospitals, and their condition is stable.
 
Source: http://news.ycwb.com/2020-01/22/content_30488495.htm

Google translation (snip):

...The official website of the Guangdong Provincial Health and Health Committee reported at 12:00 on January 22, and as of 24:00 on January 21, a total of 26 confirmed cases were found in Guangdong (2 in Guangzhou, 14 in Shenzhen, 4 in Zhuhai, 1 in Foshan, and Shaoguan). 2 cases, 1 case in Huizhou, 2 cases in Zhanjiang), of which 7 cases were severe, 3 cases were critically ill, and there were no deaths. Another suspected case is under investigation...
 
Source: http://www.bjnews.com.cn/news/2020/01/22/678042.html

Google translation (snip):

2020-01-22 18:40:12 Beijing News
Shanxi confirmed first case of pneumonitis with new coronavirus infection

According to CCTV news, at 18:30 pm today (22nd), the reporter was informed at the news office of the People's Government of Shanxi Province that on January 22, the National Health and Health Commission confirmed the first case of a new type of coronavirus infection in Shanxi Province. Confirmed cases of pneumonia. Patient, male, native of Taiyuan, traveled to Wuhan from January 12th to 15th, 2020. On the 19th, he developed fever with headache. On the 20th, he went to Shanxi Bethune Hospital for a fever clinic. As tested by the provincial and municipal disease control centers, it was positive for a new type of coronavirus. On the 21st, he was transferred to Shanxi Province's designated hospital (the Fourth People's Hospital of Taiyuan) for isolation and treatment. The patient is currently in stable condition. Six close contacts have been followed up and medically observed, and are currently normal...
 
Shanxi Province: Confirmed first confirmed case of pneumonia with novel coronavirus infection


At 18:30 pm on January 22, the reporter was informed at the news conference held by the Information Office of the People's Government of Shanxi Province that on January 22, the National Health and Health Commission confirmed the first confirmed case of pneumonia in Shanxi Province with a new coronavirus infection. Patient, male, native of Taiyuan, traveled to Wuhan from January 12th to 15th, 2020. On the 19th, he developed fever with headache. On the 20th, he went to Shanxi Bethune Hospital for a fever clinic. As tested by the provincial and municipal disease control centers, it was positive for a new type of coronavirus. On the 21st, he was transferred to the designated hospital of Shanxi Province (the Fourth People's Hospital of Taiyuan) for isolation and treatment. The patient is currently in stable condition. Six close contacts have been followed up and medically observed, and are currently normal.

After the outbreak, the Shanxi Provincial Party Committee and the Provincial Government quickly started the joint prevention and control work mechanism, requiring full treatment of patients, conducting in-depth epidemiological investigations, strengthening close contact follow-up management, intensifying pre-examination and triage of fever clinics, and standardizing the development of suspicious cases Monitoring, screening, diagnosis and treatment. In the next step, the Shanxi Provincial Health and Health Commission will comprehensively strengthen the work of fever diagnosis and pre-checking and triage, and increase the monitoring and screening of cases; comprehensively improve the prevention and treatment capabilities, strictly implement the core system of medical quality and safety, and make every effort to prevent severe cases and deaths. To ensure the safety of patients' lives, to ensure that no medical staff infection occurs, to prevent the spread of the epidemic; Shanxi Province's health and health departments and medical institutions strictly implement the 24-hour watchkeeping system, start daily and zero-report work, and implement various preventive and control measures to ensure People's lives are safe and healthy.

Experts remind the public to do a good job of personal protection and personal hygiene, to minimize the need to go to densely populated places, to maintain the habit of regular indoor ventilation, when faced with fever or cough symptoms, be sure to wear a mask; in addition, recently went to Wuhan, fever , Fatigue, dry cough or dyspnea and other symptoms, please take good personal protection, go to the nearest hospital for a hot clinic in time to achieve early detection, early diagnosis, early treatment, and take responsibility for the health and safety of yourself, your family and others.

https://www.yicai.com/news/100478250.html
 
Source: http://www.bjd.com.cn/a/202001/22/WS5e28285fe4b0e6e58393b2e0.html

Just now, good news came from the front line of the fight against the epidemic in Wuhan!
Time: 22 January 2020 Source: Chang'an Avenue governor micro-channel public Author: Editor: Guo Tao

This afternoon, good news came to the forefront of the fight against the epidemic. Wuhan University Zhongnan Hospital successfully used ECMO equipment to treat a patient with severe pneumonitis infection (male, 53 years old), the first case in Hubei Province...

...According to the Changjiang Daily, Xia Jian, deputy director of the Emergency Center of Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, revealed that Mr. Hu, a 53-year-old male patient from Huanggang, Hubei, returned home from the vegetable market on January 1st, and soon developed symptoms of chills and fever, and his temperature reached 39 ? C. At the local hospital, Mr. Hu's treatment did not improve for several days, and he was transferred to Wuhan University Zhongnan Hospital on January 5.

Based on Mr. Hu's medical condition and imaging examination, the doctor highly suspected the new coronavirus pneumonia, and his judgment was quickly confirmed.

Because Mr. Hu's lungs were severely damaged, the doctor activated the ECMO device during the treatment. Since then, Mr. Hu's lung infection has been gradually controlled, and the symptoms of hypoxia have improved significantly.

Dr. Xia Jian Source: Changjiang Daily

After one week, the patient withdrew the "artificial lung". On January 17, the patient's condition was stable and he was transferred to a general fever ward. Mr. Gao Shicheng, a tube bed doctor and deputy director of the infection department of Mr. Hu, said that at present, the lung lesions of patients are significantly reduced. If both nucleic acid tests are negative, the isolation can be released...
 
National Health Commission report confirming earlier government media report. link


Epidemic situation of new coronavirus infection on January 22, 2020


Published: 2020-01-22Source : Health Emergency Office

  At 04:00 on January 21, 2020, our committee received 149 newly diagnosed pneumonia cases with new type of coronavirus infection (5 in Beijing, 2 in Tianjin, and 7 in Shanghai). Cases, 5 cases in Zhejiang Province, 2 cases in Jiangxi Province, 1 case in Shandong Province, 1 case in Henan Province, 105 cases in Hubei Province, 1 case in Hunan Province, 12 cases in Guangdong Province, 5 cases in Chongqing City, 2 cases in Sichuan Province and 1 case in Yunnan Province Cases), 3 new deaths (all from Hubei Province); in addition to Hubei Province, 6 provinces (districts, cities) reported 26 new suspected cases (10 in Shanghai, 10 in Zhejiang Province, 2 in Anhui Province, 1 case in Guangxi Province, 1 case in Guangdong Province and 2 cases in Sichuan Province).

  As of 24:00 on January 21, our committee had received 440 confirmed cases of pneumonia of new coronavirus infection in 13 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities) in China (10 in Beijing, 2 in Tianjin, 9 in Shanghai, and Zhejiang Province). 5 cases, 2 cases in Jiangxi, 1 case in Shandong Province, 1 case in Henan Province, 375 cases in Hubei Province, 1 case in Hunan Province, 26 cases in Guangdong Province, 5 cases in Chongqing City, 2 cases in Sichuan Province and 1 case in Yunnan Province), of which severe cases 102 cases, 9 deaths (all from Hubei Province); except Hubei Province, a total of 37 suspected cases were reported in 12 provinces (districts, municipalities) (1 in Shanxi Province, 1 in Jilin Province, 1 in Heilongjiang Province, and 10 in Shanghai Cases, 10 cases in Zhejiang Province, 3 cases in Anhui Province, 1 case in Guangdong Province, 2 cases in Guangxi Province, 1 case in Hainan Province, 5 cases in Sichuan Province, 1 case in Guizhou Province and 1 case in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region).

  One confirmed case was reported from Japan, three confirmed from Thailand, and one confirmed from South Korea.

  At present, 2,197 close contacts have been traced, 765 people have been released from medical observation, and 1394 people are still receiving medical observation.


http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s3578/202001/a3c8b5144067417889d8760254b1a7ca.shtml
 
Source: http://www.dg.gov.cn/zwgk/jdhy/rdhy/content/post_2788999.html

Google translation:

9 new cases of pneumonia confirmed by new coronavirus infection in Guangdong, 2 in Foshan, 1 in Foshan
Dongguan government portal in China 2020-01-22 18:19:47 Source: Dongguan Sunshine.com

As of 24:00 on January 21, 9 newly diagnosed pneumonia cases of new coronavirus infection were reported in our province.

The distribution of new cases is as follows: 2 cases in Guangzhou, 4 cases in Shenzhen, 1 case in Foshan, 2 cases in Shaoguan; 4 cases in males and 5 cases in females; 2 cases of severe cases, all were treated in local designated medical institutions for isolation and treatment. Of these, 7 cases had a history of residence or travel in Hubei, and our province has tracked and followed up close contacts, and there is no abnormality at present.

Up to now, 26 confirmed cases have been found in our province (2 in Guangzhou, 14 in Shenzhen, 4 in Zhuhai, 1 in Foshan, 2 in Shaoguan, 1 in Huizhou, and 2 in Zhanjiang), of which 7 were critically ill and 3 were critically ill. There were no deaths. Another suspected case is under investigation.
 
Source: http://www.bjnews.com.cn/news/2020/01/22/678060.html

Google translation:

2020-01-22 19:13:25

Ningxia confirms first imported pneumococcal case of new coronavirus infection

Beijing News Express According to the official website of the Ningxia Health and Health Commission, on January 22, the National Health and Health Commission confirmed the first confirmed case of pneumonia imported from a new coronavirus infection in Ningxia.


The patient was a 29-year-old male from Ningxia who worked in Wuhan. Arrived in Yinchuan by air on January 19, and was treated in isolation and treated at the People's Hospital of the autonomous region that night. After sampling and testing by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention of the Autonomous Region, it was found that the patient's specimen was positive for the new coronavirus nucleic acid. On January 21, the specimens were sent to the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention for viral nucleic acid review testing, and the results were positive. On January 22, the case was evaluated and confirmed by the experts of the diagnosis team under the Epidemic Leadership Group of the National Health and Health Commission,.. The patient is now in stable condition. Our district has tracked 49 close contacts and implemented home-based isolation medical observation for two weeks...
 
Source: http://www.bjd.com.cn/a/202001/22/WS5e282f9ee4b0e6e58393b2ec.html

Google translation:

Two cases of pneumonia confirmed by new coronavirus confirmed in Guangxi
Time: 22 January 2020 Source: People's Daily Client Author: Zhang Yun River Editors: High CNR

On January 22, the National Health and Health Commission confirmed the first confirmed case of pneumonia from imported neocoronavirus infection in Guangxi.

The first confirmed case, Huang, female, 66 years old, a citizen of Wuhan. On January 12, 2020, Huang followed his family to travel by car from Wuhan. He arrived in Beihai in the afternoon of January 16 and was consciously unwell, January 17. Visited and admitted to hospital. It was positive for nucleic acid of new coronavirus by the autonomous region and Beihai CDC. On January 18, the specimens were sent to the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention for viral nucleic acid review testing, and the results were positive. On January 22, the expert assessment of the National Health and Health Commission's epidemic response management team confirmed that the case was a confirmed case of pneumonia due to a new coronavirus infection. The temperature of the patient is normal and the vital signs are stable. 38 close contacts are under medical observation.

On January 22, a fever patient in Wuzhou was tested positive for the new coronavirus by the Wuzhou, Autonomous Region Disease Control Center. Patient Li, male, 46 years old, a citizen of Wuzhou, had fever symptoms on January 20, had contact with people from Wuhan before the onset of the disease, and was transferred to the designated hospital of Wuzhou for treatment on the 21st. At present, 20 close contacts are undergoing medical observation in.

On January 22, a new suspected case of pneumonia caused by a new coronavirus was added in Guangxi. The patient was a resident of Liuzhou City and lived in Wuhan City. He arrived in Liuzhou from January 20th and developed fever symptoms on January 21st. He was admitted to a designated hospital in Liuzhou City and was in stable condition. The laboratory test results of patients are being reviewed in accordance with regulations. Once the diagnosis is confirmed, they will be announced to the public in time.

In summary, as of 18:00 on January 22, 2 cases of pneumonia diagnosed with new-type coronavirus infection have been reported in our district, of which: 1 in Beihai City and 1 in Wuzhou City; 1 new suspected case in Liuzhou City. All cases had a history of Wuhan work, residence or close contact with Wuhan cases. At present, three patients are diagnosed and treated in designated medical institutions with stable condition. Medical observation was performed on all 63 close contacts, and no symptoms such as fever were found.
 
Source: http://www.bjnews.com.cn/news/2020/01/22/678071.html

Google translation:



2020-01-22 19:23:40 Beijing News

Four new confirmed cases of imported pneumococcal infection in Henan

Beijing News Express According to the official blog of Henan Health and Health Commission, as of 18:00 on January 22, Henan Province has newly added 4 confirmed cases of pneumonia imported new coronavirus infection.


A 32-year-old female patient in Wuhan developed symptoms on January 18 when visiting relatives in Wuchi County, Sanmenxia City, and then went to a local medical institution for treatment.


A 28-year-old male patient from Luoyang County, Luoyang, was admitted to Wuhan Hospital for diabetes treatment on January 9, and was referred to Luoyang from Wuhan on January 19.


A 55-year-old male patient from Luoshan County, Xinyang, who lived in Wuhan City. He went to Yuanyang County to visit relatives on Jan. 11 and was referred to Zhengzhou on Jan. 16.


A 68-year-old male patient from Gongyi City, who lives in Wuhan City, returned to Gongyi on January 11 and went to see a doctor on the 13th.


The above patients are currently undergoing isolation treatment at designated hospitals and are in stable condition.


As of 18:00 on January 22, 2020, 5 cases of pneumonia of new coronavirus infection have been reported in our province (2 in Zhengzhou, 1 in Luoyang, 1 in Sanmenxia, ​​and 1 in Gongyi). All cases have a history of living in Wuhan, and are currently receiving isolation treatment at designated medical institutions. There were no deaths...
 
Source: https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong...na-coronavirus-first-case-confirmed-hong-kong

Hong Kong confirms first case of China coronavirus after man who arrived in city with a fever found positive in two tests

Mainland Chinese passenger travelled to city on high-speed rail, having earlier been to Wuhan
Tests conducted at Queen Elizabeth Hospital before patient was moved to Hospital Authority Infectious Disease Centre in Princess Margaret Hospital.

SCMP
Elizabeth Cheung and Alvin Lum
Published: 5:38pm, 22 Jan, 2020
Updated: 7:13pm, 22 Jan, 2020

A mainland Chinese tourist has become Hong Kong’s first infected case of the new coronavirus, sources told the Post on Wednesday.

The man arrived in Hong Kong on a high-speed train on Tuesday night and is a citizen of the city at the epicentre of the outbreak, Wuhan. He was found to have a fever on his arrival at the rail terminus in West Kowloon. He tested positive to the virus in two tests at Queen Elizabeth Hospital in Jordan, while a third was still ongoing...
 
Source: http://www.bjnews.com.cn/news/2020/01/22/678073.html

Google translation:

2020-01-22 19:31:05 Beijing News Reporter: Liu Mingyang Editor: Li Yan

Mask sales in some provinces are tight, and prices have risen

Affected by the rising number of patients with pneumonitis infected by the new coronavirus in Wuhan, masks have become a popular commodity in various places. On January 21st and 22nd, the Beijing News reporters found that masks for e-commerce platforms and pharmacies and convenience stores in Beijing, Guangdong, Jiangsu and other provinces were selling tightly, and "N95" masks were out of stock. On multiple e-commerce platforms, there are merchants selling N95 masks in 10 packs. The price of each box was close to 1,000 yuan.


Today (January 22), a reporter from the Beijing News learned that for merchants taking this opportunity to increase prices, some e-commerce platforms have made regulations and issued subsidies to prohibit merchants from increasing prices, and launched mask distribution in the same city. In addition, Zhejiang mask makers have paid 3 times the wages to recall employees for overtime production. In addition, Beijing, Guangdong and other provinces' market supervision and administration bureaus have also issued notices prohibiting mask manufacturers and sellers from colluding to increase prices....
 
Source: http://www.kaixian.tv/gd/2020/0122/253853.html

Foshan diagnoses first case of new coronavirus pneumonia
2020-01-22 19:37:14 Source: Southern Metropolis Daily

(Original title: The first case of new coronavirus pneumonia was confirmed in Foshan. The patient is a 40-year-old man and is now in stable condition.)

On January 22, the Provincial Health and Health Commission confirmed the first confirmed case of pneumonia in a new coronavirus infection in Foshan.

The patient was a male, 40 years old, and now lives in Foshan. The patient developed symptoms of dizziness and cough on January 10, and went to the First People's Hospital of Foshan for treatment on January 20 and was isolated for treatment. On January 21, the new CDV-positive nucleic acid was tested by the Provincial CDC. Combined with epidemiological investigation, clinical symptoms, and laboratory test results, confirmed cases of pneumonia confirmed by new coronavirus infection. At present, the hospital is organizing all-out treatment, and the patient's condition is stable...
 
[h=1]Download report 2 (pdf)Download report 1 (pdf)[/h] 22 January 2020 - Imperial College London‌ [h=2]Report 2: Estimating the potential total number of novel Coronavirus cases in Wuhan City, China[/h]
Natsuko Imai, Ilaria Dorigatti, Anne Cori, Christl Donnelly, Steven Riley, Neil M. Ferguson
WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, J-IDEA, Imperial College London, UK

Correspondence: neil.ferguson@imperial.ac.uk

Background
On the 31[SUP]st[/SUP] December 2019, the World Health Organization (WHO) China Country Office was informed of cases of pneumonia of unknown aetiology in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China [1]. A novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) related to the Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome virus (MERS-CoV) and the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome virus (SARS-CoV) has since been implicated [2].

As of 4am 21[SUP]st[/SUP] January (Beijing Time) 2020, 440 cases (including nine deaths) have been confirmed across 13 provinces in China, plus suspected cases in multiple other provinces [3]. As of 9:00 GMT 22[SUP]nd[/SUP] January 7 confirmed cases in travellers from Wuhan with symptom onset on or before the 18[SUP]th[/SUP] January were detected outside mainland China in Thailand (3 cases), Japan (1 case), South Korea (1 case), Taiwan (1 case) and the United States (1 case) [4–10]. Chinese authorities have also confirmed evidence of human-to-human transmission, as well as 15 cases in healthcare workers [11,12]. Of these cases, four travelled before exit screening in Wuhan International Airport was introduced on 15[SUP]th[/SUP] January [13], three (South Korea, Taiwan, USA) on or after.

Using the number of cases detected outside mainland China with who had disease onset by 18[SUP]th[/SUP] January, it is possible (see Report 1 [14]) to infer the number of clinically comparable cases within Wuhan City that may have occurred thus far. Here we update our estimates to account for the additional international exported cases (7 cases).

Summary
We estimate that a total of 4,000 cases of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan City (uncertainty range: 1,000 – 9,700) had onset of symptoms by 18[SUP]th[/SUP] January 2020 (the last reported onset date of any case) [15].

Our estimates should not be interpreted as implying the outbreak has doubled in size in the period 12[SUP]th[/SUP] January to 18[SUP]th[/SUP] January – delays in confirming and reporting exported cases and incomplete information about dates of symptom onset together with the still very small numbers of exported cases mean we are unable to estimate the epidemic growth rate at the current time.

This estimate is based on the following assumptions:
  • Wuhan International Airport has a catchment population of 19 million individuals [1].
  • There is a mean 10-day delay between infection and detection, comprising a 5-6 day incubation period [16,17] and a 4-5 day delay from symptom onset to detection/hospitalisation of a case (the cases detected in Thailand and Japan were hospitalised 3 and 7 days after onset, respectively) [4,18].
  • Total volume of international travel from Wuhan over the last two months has been 3,301 passengers per day. This estimate is derived from the 3,418 foreign passengers per day in the top 20 country destinations based on 2018 IATA data [19], and uses 2016 IATA data held by Imperial College London to correct for the travel surge at Chinese New Year present in the latter data (which has not happened yet this year) and for travel to countries outside the top 20 destination list.
  • Exit screening (which reportedly came into force on the 15[SUP]th[/SUP] January [13]) had no impact on exported cases reported up to 16[SUP]th[/SUP] January. Exit screening may have reduced exports in recent days, in which case our baseline prediction may be an underestimate of the true number of cases in Wuhan.
  • We assume all cases in travellers flying to destinations outside mainland China are being detected at those destinations. This may well not be the case. If cases are being missed in other countries, our baseline prediction will underestimate the true number of cases in Wuhan.
  • We now report uncertainty as the range spanned by the 95% confidence intervals of the first three scenarios in Table 1. Thus, our uncertainty range represents uncertainty in key assumptions as well as statistical assumptions.
Additional caveats
  1. We assume that outbound trip durations are long enough that an infected Wuhan resident travelling internationally will develop symptoms and be detected overseas, rather than being detected after returning to Wuhan. We also do not account for the fact that international visitors to Wuhan (such as the case who was detected in Japan) might be expected to have a shorter duration of exposure and thus a lower infection risk than residents. Accounting for either factor correctly requires additional data but would increase our estimate of the total number of cases.
  2. We estimate the potential number of symptomatic cases with disease severity of a level requiring hospitalisation (both the cases detected in Thailand and Japan were moderately severe). Our estimates do not include cases with mild or no symptoms.
  3. The incubation period of 2019-nCov is not known and has been approximated with the estimates obtained for MERS-CoV and SARS [16,17].
  4. We assume that international travel is independent of the risk of exposure to 2019n-CoV and of infection status. If zoonotic exposure were biased towards wealthier people, travel frequency may be correlated with exposure. Also, some travel might be causally linked to infection status (to seek healthcare overseas) or the infection status of contacts in Wuhan (this may apply to the case detected in Japan) [18]. Accounting for either association would increase the probability of a case travelling and therefore reduce our estimates of the total number of cases.
...
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/
 
Source: http://wjw.wuhan.gov.cn/front/web/showDetail/2020012109085

Wuhan Municipal Commission of Health and Health on pneumonia of new coronavirus infection
Published by: Wuhan Municipal Health Commission | Published: 2020-01-21 17:39:17 | Hits: 37323 |
From 00:00 on January 20, 2020 to 24:00 on January 20, there were 60 new cases, 2 deaths, and no discharged patients.

The city continued to increase the collection and testing of samples, and immediately collected the collected patient samples from hospitals and sent them to the Provincial Center for Disease Control for new coronavirus detection. The expert group made comprehensive investigations based on clinical manifestations, epidemiological history, and pathogenic test results, and newly confirmed 60 cases of pneumonia confirmed by new coronavirus infection.

Of the 60 patients, 33 were male and 27 were female; the youngest was 15 years old and the oldest was 88 years old; the onset dates were before January 18, 2020; the first symptoms were mostly fever, cough or chest tightness, and dyspnea. Among the patients, 17 were critically ill and 3 were critically ill. Epidemiological investigations of new cases are underway, and close contacts are being tracked.

The deceased Li Moumou, male, 66 years old, was admitted to the hospital for "intermittent cough, headache, fatigue and fever for 6 days" on January 16, 2020; dyspnea occurred on January 17, and multiple organs appeared at 10:35 on January 20 Functional failure, rescue ineffective death. The deceased had basic diseases such as COPD, hypertension, type 2 diabetes, and chronic renal insufficiency.

The deceased Yin Moumou, female, 48 years old, became ill on December 10, 2019, developed dyspnea on December 27, and was transferred to Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital for treatment on December 31. She had severe respiratory distress upon admission, January 20, 2020 At 14:31, multiple organ failure occurred, and the rescue died. The deceased had basic diseases such as diabetes, cerebral infarction and gallstones during his lifetime.

As of 24:00 on January 20, 258 cases of pneumonia of new coronavirus infection have been reported in our city, 25 cases have been cured and 6 cases have died. Currently, 227 patients are still being treated in the hospital, of which 51 cases are critically ill and 12 cases are critically ill. They are all under isolation treatment at designated medical institutions in Wuhan. A total of 988 close contacts have been tracked, 739 have been released from medical observation, and 249 are still receiving medical observation.

We will continue to conduct timely sampling and detection of newly discovered suspected cases.




January 21, 2020.
 
Source: http://www.bjnews.com.cn/news/2020/01/22/678113.html

google translation;

2020-01-22 20:49:00 Beijing News Reporter: Zhang Jingye Editor: Bai Ye

Suspected case of a new type of coronavirus is being treated in Nanjing, and close contacts are being investigated

Beijing News (Reporter Zhang Jingyi) This afternoon (January 22), a reporter from the Beijing News obtained a consultation notice issued by the Management Committee of Jiangbei New District, Nanjing, which requested the Jiangbei New District Construction and Transportation Bureau, Yangzi State-owned Assets Group Assist in investigating personal information in close contact with a suspected case of pneumonia associated with a new coronavirus. Tonight, a reporter from the Beijing News confirmed the authenticity of the online notification from the Jiangbei New District Management Committee. Staff said that the suspected case has not yet been diagnosed, but has been isolated for observation. As of 20:00 today, no contact has been found with the patient. Disease symptoms...

...The above notice stated that the Jiangbei New District of Nanjing was informed by the CDC that a suspected case of new type of coronavirus pneumonia was admitted to the Nanjing Public Health Center. The patient is an employee of a company in Nanjing and has a history of travel in Wuhan. He has been living in Huangshi for a long time. On January 18, he took the G678 high-speed train (Wuhan to Shanghai Hongqiao) and returned to Nanjing. In the afternoon of that day, he took Nanjing Metro Line 2 and Line 3 and Bus 692 twice. On the 19th, he took buses 637, 692 and 558 respectively...
 
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