Ronan Kelly
Retired 2020
Updated to May 13th.
716 cases reported in the previous 8 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#
January: 6,671 (+128)
February: 4,436 (+121)
March: 2,689 (+32)
April: 2,758 (+163)
May: 272 (+272)
Total: 16,826
The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This year a cfr of 0.1% is being reported. This would allow an estimate of between 16 and 109 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 14 fatalities have been reported in the media to Apr 23.
Comparison to previous years:
May 14th 2015 - 13,770 cases, 26 fatalities to June 6th
May 13th 2014 - 9,349 cases, 12 fatalities to March 14th
May 13th 2013 - 12,095 cases, 34 reported fatalities to May 7th
May 11th 2012 - 11,262 cases, 51 fatal
May 9th 2011 - 4,916 cases, 42 fatal
716 cases reported in the previous 8 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#
January: 6,671 (+128)
February: 4,436 (+121)
March: 2,689 (+32)
April: 2,758 (+163)
May: 272 (+272)
Total: 16,826
The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This year a cfr of 0.1% is being reported. This would allow an estimate of between 16 and 109 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 14 fatalities have been reported in the media to Apr 23.
Comparison to previous years:
May 14th 2015 - 13,770 cases, 26 fatalities to June 6th
May 13th 2014 - 9,349 cases, 12 fatalities to March 14th
May 13th 2013 - 12,095 cases, 34 reported fatalities to May 7th
May 11th 2012 - 11,262 cases, 51 fatal
May 9th 2011 - 4,916 cases, 42 fatal