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Sri Lanka Dengue 2016

Ronan Kelly

Ronan Kelly

Retired 2020
Link to 2015 thread: https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/...ka-dengue-2015

Updated to Jan 8th.
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php?option=com_casesanddeaths&Itemid=448&lang=en#

January: 837

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 1 and 5 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate.
 
Last edited:
Updated to Jan 14th.
1,075 cases reported in the previous 6 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 1,912

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 3 and 12 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate.
 
Updated to Jan 22nd.
1,206 cases reported in the previous 8 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 3,118

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 6 and 20 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate.
 
Updated to Jan 29th.
1,497 cases reported in the previous 7 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 4,685

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 9 and 30 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 8 fatalities have been reported in the media to Jan 31.

Comparison to previous years:
Jan 30th 2015 - 4,659 cases
Jan 31st 2014 - 2,778 cases
Jan 31st 2013 - 2,775 cases
February 4th 2012 - 3,664 cases, 18 fatal
Jan 28th 2011 - 559 cases, 8 fatal
 
Updated to Feb 5th.
1,336 cases reported in the previous 7 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,021

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 12 and 38 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 8 fatalities have been reported in the media to Jan 31.

Comparison to previous years:
Feb 9th 2015 - 6,187 cases
Feb 5th 2014 - 3,147 cases
Feb 11th 2013 - 3,769 cases
Feb 4th 2012 - 3,664 cases, 18 fatal
Feb 11th 2011 - 1,105 cases, 13 fatal
 
Updated to Feb 12th.
1,332 cases reported in the previous 7 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,457 (+436)
February: 896

Total: 7,353

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 14 and 47 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 8 fatalities have been reported in the media to Jan 31.

Comparison to previous years:
Feb 9th 2015 - 6,187 cases
Feb 12th 2014 - 3,817 cases
Feb 11th 2013 - 3,769 cases
Feb 10th 2012 - 4,611 cases, 21 fatal
Feb 11th 2011 - 1,105 cases, 13 fatal
 
Updated to Feb 19th.
1,153 cases reported in the previous 7 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,497 (+40)
February: 2,009 (+1,113)

Total: 8,506

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 17 and 55 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 10 fatalities have been reported in the media to Feb 15.

Comparison to previous years:
Feb 20th 2015 - 8,047 cases
Feb 20th 2014 - 4,223 cases
Feb 21st 2013 - 4,816 cases
Feb 21st 2012 - 5,802 cases, 24 fatal
Feb 21st 2011 - 1,479 cases, 15 fatal

Legal action against dengue breeders
Published inLatest - Defence
[FONT=segoe_uiregular]Last modified on Monday, 15 February 2016 15:45[/FONT]​
Legal action has been taken on 778 dengue breeding site owners in the Western Province and seven other high risk districts, the Ministry of Health revealed.

According to the Ministry, during the three day programme, which ended on Saturday (13), officials identified a number of mosquito breeding grounds in homes and other institutions. Notices were issued on owners of 5,656 premises. A total of 121,481 premises were inspected during the programme while 7,353 dengue cases and 10 deaths were reported this year.
...
http://www.news.lk/news/sri-lanka/item/12230-legal-action-against-dengue-breeders
 
Updated to Feb 26th.
957 cases reported in the previous 7 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,498 (+1)
February: 2,965 (+956)

Total: 9,463

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 18 and 61 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 10 fatalities have been reported in the media to Feb 15.

Comparison to previous years:
Feb 26th 2015 - 8,918 cases
Feb 24th 2014 - 4,535 cases
Feb 27th 2013 - 5,346 cases
Feb 24th 2012 - 6,138 cases, 27 fatal
Feb 25th 2011 - 1,627 cases, 18 fatal
 
Updated to Mar 3rd.
849 cases reported in the previous 6 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,517 (+19)
February: 3,795 (+830)

Total: 10,312

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 20 and 67 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 10 fatalities have been reported in the media to Feb 15.

Comparison to previous years:
Mar 6th 2015 - 9,766 cases
Mar 3rd 2014 - 4,999 cases
Mar 1st 2013 - 5,878 cases
Mar 2nd 2012 - 6,780 cases, 28 fatal
Mar 3rd 2011 - 1,817 cases, 18 fatal
 
Updated to Mar 11th.
1,001 cases reported in the previous 8 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,517 (-)
February: 4,165 (+370)
March: 631 (+631)

Total: 11,313

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 22 and 73 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 10 fatalities have been reported in the media to Feb 15.

Comparison to previous years:
Mar 6th 2015 - 9,766 cases
Mar 11th 2014 - 5,525 cases
Mar 11th 2013 - 6,999 cases
Mar 9th 2012 - 7,400 cases, 29 fatal
Mar 11th 2011 - 2,159 cases, 24 fatal
 
Updated to Mar 18th.
613 cases reported in the previous 7 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,517 (-)
February: 4,176 (+11)
March: 1,233 (+602)

Total: 11,926

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 23 and 77 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 10 fatalities have been reported in the media to Feb 15.

Comparison to previous years:
Mar 20th 2015 - 10,851 cases
Mar 18th 2014 - 5,833 cases
Mar 18th 2013 - 7,711 cases
Mar 23rd 2012 - 8,373 cases, 32 fatal
Mar 21st 2011 - 2,512 cases, 27 fatal
 
Updated to Mar 24th.
643 cases reported in the previous 6 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,541 (+24)
February: 4,229 (+53)
March: 1,799 (+566)

Total: 12,569

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 25 and 81 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 12 fatalities have been reported in the media to Mar 25.

Comparison to previous years:
Mar 27th 2015 - 11,278 cases
Mar 24th 2014 - 6,104 cases
Mar 25th 2013 - 8,251 cases
Mar 23rd 2012 - 8,373 cases, 32 fatal
Mar 21st 2011 - 2,512 cases, 27 fatal
 
Updated to Apr 1st.
770 cases reported in the previous 8 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,541 (-)
February: 4,315 (+86)
March: 2,483 (+684)

Total: 13,339

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 26 and 88 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 12 fatalities have been reported in the media to Mar 25.

Comparison to previous years:
Mar 27th 2015 - 11,278 cases
Apr 1st 2014 - 6,627 cases
Apr 2nd 2013 - 8,794 cases
Apr 6th 2012 - 9,317 cases, 38 fatal
Apr 1st 2011 - 2,969 cases, 31 fatal
 
Updated to Apr 8th.
638 cases reported in the previous 7 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,541 (-)
February: 4,315 (-)
March: 2,632 (+149)
April: 489 (+489)

Total: 13,977

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This would allow an estimate of between 27 and 90 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 12 fatalities have been reported in the media to Mar 25.

Comparison to previous years:
April th 2015 - 12,060 cases
Apr 11th 2014 - 7,205 cases
Apr 11th 2013 - 9,503 cases
Apr 11th 2012 - 9,657 cases, 43 fatal
Apr 21st 2011 - 3,784 cases, 32 fatal
 
Colombo, Gampaha, Jaffna record top dengue hits
APR 19 2016

Nadira Gunatilleke


Ten in every 100 houses in Colombo are mosquito breeding sites, Colombo Municipal Council (CMC) Medical Officer Dr. Ruwan Vijayamuni said, adding that the people in Colombo need to begin to check their gutters, water tanks etc. for mosquito larvae.
...
Around 15 deaths have been recorded islandwide as a result of the dengue virus. However, sources said the dengue death rate has gone down to 0.1 percent per 1.000 dengue cases.
...
http://www.dailynews.lk/?q=2016/04/19/local/79218
 
Updated to Apr 22nd.
878 cases reported in the previous 14 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,543 (+2)
February: 4,315 (-)
March: 2,650 (+18)
April: 1,347 (+858)

Total: 14,855

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This year a cfr of 0.1% is being reported. This would allow an estimate of between 14 and 96 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 14 fatalities have been reported in the media to Apr 23.

Comparison to previous years:
April 18th 2015 - 12,258 cases
Apr 24th 2014 - 7,763 cases
Apr 24th 2013 - 10,429 cases
Apr 23rd 2012 - 10,098 cases, 46 fatal
Apr 21st 2011 - 3,784 cases, 32 fatal
 
Target dengue zero deaths: Test at first sign of fever

By Kumudini Hettiarachchi


Have a fever – think dengue.

As men, women and children being hit by dengue add up, with a death toll of 14 in 3? months this year, Consultant Paediatrician Dr. LakKumar Fernando who has pulled back many from death’s door has a simple answer in striving for zero-deaths.
...
With solid data to back him up, Dr. Fernando compares numbers between 2010 and 2016 (this year). The whole of 2010 saw 35,000 cases of dengue with 346 deaths. If considering the first four months of that year, the dengue numbers would have been around 12,000 and the deaths 115. This year the number of dengue patients has already reached 14,000 but the deaths have been limited to 14.

“This proves my point that prevention has not progressed at the expected levels but clinical management has saved numerous lives,” he says, reiterating that the next step is to make a concerted effort to bring down the dengue-deaths to zero.
...
http://www.sundaytimes.lk/160424/new...er-190942.html
 
Updated to Apr 29th.
647 cases reported in the previous 7 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,543 (-)
February: 4,315 (-)
March: 2,657 (+7)
April: 1,987 (+640)

Total: 15,502

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This year a cfr of 0.1% is being reported. This would allow an estimate of between 15 and 100 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 14 fatalities have been reported in the media to Apr 23.

Comparison to previous years:
April 18th 2015 - 12,258 cases
Apr 29th 2014 - 8,150 cases, 11 fatalities to March 20th
Apr 29th 2013 - 10,673 cases, 15 reported fatalities to April 27
Apr 23rd 2012 - 10,098 cases, 46 fatal
Apr 28th 2011 - 4,210 cases, 36 fatal
 
Dengue breakthrough: Lanka agrees to preventive vaccine trial



Sri Lanka is among 10 countries which will participate in a dengue vaccine development study.
A Memorandum of Understanding on this research collaboration to conduct the Phase 3 Clinical Trials for DENVax was signed this week between the Health Ministry and Takeda, a research-based global pharmaceutical company headquartered in Japan.
The Clinical Trials for DENVax, which is the second potential dengue vaccine produced in the world, have been launched as a collaboration between Japan and the United States of America. The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved the study design, which is modelled on the ?Guidelines for the clinical evaluation of dengue vaccines? ? guidelines set out by the World Health Organization (WHO).
...
http://www.sundaytimes.lk/160501/ne...grees-to-preventive-vaccine-trial-191727.html
 
Updated to May 5th.
608 cases reported in the previous 6 days
http://www.epid.gov.lk/web/index.php...d=448&lang=en#

January: 6,543 (-)
February: 4,315 (-)
March: 2,657 (-)
April: 2,595 (+608)

Total: 16,110

The Epidemiology Unit no longer reports fatalities. Official %cfr over the past few years has decreased from 0.65% in 2010 to 0.61% in 2011 to 0.41% in 2012 to 0.28% in 2013 to 0.21% in 2014 and a preliminary 0.2% in 2015. This year a cfr of 0.1% is being reported. This would allow an estimate of between 16 and 104 fatal cases so far in 2016, with the official figure on the lower side of this estimate. 14 fatalities have been reported in the media to Apr 23.

Comparison to previous years:
May 14th 2015 - 13,770 cases
May 7th 2014 - 8,708 cases, 11 fatalities to March 20th
May 6th 2013 - 11,113 cases, 29 reported fatalities to May 3rd
May 5th 2012 - 11,197 cases, 47 fatal
May 9th 2011 - 4,916 cases, 42 fatal
 
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